Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs Rodina Moscow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian FNL Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow
Result
1:5
03/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 8
  • Referee: Falov V. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
57
Corner Kicks
47
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
812
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
47
Free Kicks
1712
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Nikitin A. ,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Timoshenko I. ,
  • 38', 1 - 2, Timoshenko I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 60', 1 - 3, Maksimenko A. ,
  • 62', Koryan A. , Ushatov K. ,
  • 63', Kokoev D. , Kantaria G. ,
  • 63', Sukhomlinov D. , Mikhaylov D. ,
  • 63', Shiltsov K. , Dzhamilov S. ,
  • 70', Ushatov K. 🟨,
  • 71', Magomedov R. , Mashukov I. ,
  • 74', 1 - 4, Abdusalamov M. ,
  • 75', Abdusalamov M. , Gueye P. ,
  • 76', Reyna Y. , Gordyushenko A. ,
  • 76', Maksimenko A. , Kontsevoy A. ,
  • 77', Timoshenko I. , Egorychev A. ,
  • 87', Nikitin A. , Budylin A. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 5, Kontsevoy A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
23.3%
Draw
30.1%
Rodina Moscow
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.7% 30.4% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8% 29.4% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk's form might have worsened.
  • Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rodina Moscow's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.11
    (3.29)
    3.18
    (3.11)
    2.06
    (2.3)
    4.5%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rodina (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Rodina Moscow will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 13)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Rodina will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.5:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Neftekhimik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1.3:3.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Rodina Moscow - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 0:3
    29.09.2024 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow 2:1
    25.05.2024 Rodina Moscow - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 3:0
    27.08.2023 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow 1:4
    13.05.2023 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow 1:5
    Latest results of Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
    Latest results of Rodina Moscow
    23.08.2025 Shinnik - Rodina Moscow 1:1
    16.08.2025 Ufa - Rodina Moscow 0:0
    02.08.2025 Ural - Rodina Moscow 2:1
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1S. Kostroma1072116:9723
    2Fakel Voronezh97119:4522
    3Ural962116:61020
    4Kamaz953116:9718
    5Chelyabinsk952213:9417
    6R. Volgograd952215:51017
    7Rodina Moscow934215:9613
    8Arsenal Tula1034315:12313
    9Shinnik Yaroslavl93337:7012
    10Ulyanovsk1032510:16-611
    11SKA Khabarovsk92348:11-39
    12Ufa92349:909
    13Yenisey92346:11-59
    14Neftekhimik91537:12-58
    15Chernomorets Novorossijsk91359:14-56
    16Torpedo Moscow101366:15-96
    17FK Chayka91356:18-126
    18Saratov90454:11-74

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