Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs Rodina Moscow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian FNL Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow
Result
1:5
03/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 8
  • Referee: Falov V. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
57
Corner Kicks
47
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
812
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
47
Free Kicks
1712
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Nikitin A. ,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Timoshenko I. ,
  • 38', 1 - 2, Timoshenko I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 60', 1 - 3, Maksimenko A. ,
  • 62', Koryan A. , Ushatov K. ,
  • 63', Kokoev D. , Kantaria G. ,
  • 63', Sukhomlinov D. , Mikhaylov D. ,
  • 63', Shiltsov K. , Dzhamilov S. ,
  • 70', Ushatov K. 🟨,
  • 71', Magomedov R. , Mashukov I. ,
  • 74', 1 - 4, Abdusalamov M. ,
  • 75', Abdusalamov M. , Gueye P. ,
  • 76', Reyna Y. , Gordyushenko A. ,
  • 76', Maksimenko A. , Kontsevoy A. ,
  • 77', Timoshenko I. , Egorychev A. ,
  • 87', Nikitin A. , Budylin A. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 5, Kontsevoy A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
23.3%
Draw
30.1%
Rodina Moscow
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.7% 30.4% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8% 29.4% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk's form might have worsened.
  • Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rodina Moscow's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.11
    (3.29)
    3.18
    (3.11)
    2.06
    (2.3)
    4.5%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rodina (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Rodina Moscow will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 13)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Rodina will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.5:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Neftekhimik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1.3:3.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Rodina Moscow - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 0:3
    29.09.2024 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow 2:1
    25.05.2024 Rodina Moscow - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 3:0
    27.08.2023 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow 1:4
    13.05.2023 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow 1:5
    Latest results of Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
    Latest results of Rodina Moscow
    23.08.2025 Shinnik - Rodina Moscow 1:1
    16.08.2025 Ufa - Rodina Moscow 0:0
    02.08.2025 Ural - Rodina Moscow 2:1
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1S. Kostroma1384121:12928
    2Fakel Voronezh1383212:8427
    3Ural1273220:101024
    4Chelyabinsk1264218:10822
    5R. Volgograd1364318:71122
    6Rodina Moscow1355319:13620
    7Kamaz1254316:13319
    8SKA Khabarovsk1354415:14119
    9Neftekhimik1346313:13018
    10Shinnik Yaroslavl1345410:10017
    11Arsenal Tula1336418:16215
    12Chernomorets Novorossijsk1343618:17115
    13Ulyanovsk1333713:23-1012
    14Ufa1326513:14-112
    15Yenisey122467:14-710
    16Saratov131666:14-89
    17Torpedo Moscow132388:20-129
    18FK Chayka131579:26-178

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