Result
2:0
29/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 12
- Referee: Novikov N. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Kovacevic V. 🟨,
- 36', Kahrimanovic A. 🟨,
- 39', Daurov R. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Ushatov K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kahrimanovic A. ↓, Mukhin A. ↑,
- 46', Daurov R. ↓, Nikitin K. ↑,
- 62', Dyatlov I. ↓, Sokol A. ↑,
- 68', Golijanin A. ↓, Lazarev V. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 0, Reyna Y. ⚽,
- 73', Ushatov K. ↓, Musaev L. ↑,
- 73', Maksimenko A. ↓, Kontsevoy A. ↑,
- 74', Churikov I. ↓, Gribov S. ↑,
- 82', Krizan M. ↓, Kuzmichev I. ↑,
- 84', Lazarev V. 🟨,
- 84', Gordyushenko A. ↓, Kozhedub S. ↑,
- 89', Kozhedub S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rodina Moscow
61.9% | Draw
24.5% | Sokol Saratov
13.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rodina Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Sokol Saratov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rodina Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokol Saratov than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Rodina Moscow - Sokol Saratov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↑
(1.45) |
3.87 ↓
(3.9) |
6.95 ↓
(7.5) |
5.8%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rodina Moscow - Sokol Saratov?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Rodina will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Sokol Saratov will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sokol Saratov (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Rodina (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rodina (votes: 1 - 50%). Sokol Saratov (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 3.
- Rodina is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Sokol Saratov has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sokol Saratov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Rodina is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Rodina will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rodina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Rodina Moscow won against Sokol Saratov?
Rodina Moscow has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sokol Saratov won against Rodina Moscow?
Sokol Saratov has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rodina Moscow - Sokol Saratov were as follows:
13.04.2025
Sokol Saratov
-
Rodina Moscow
1:2
09.09.2024
Rodina Moscow
-
Sokol Saratov
2:0
07.04.2024
Sokol Saratov
-
Rodina Moscow
1:1
16.07.2023
Rodina Moscow
-
Sokol Saratov
4:0
Latest results of Rodina Moscow
Latest results of Sokol Saratov
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 51 |
| 2 | Ural | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 30:19 | 11 | 41 |
| 3 | Rodina Moscow | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 30:17 | 13 | 39 |
| 4 | S. Kostroma | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 31:25 | 6 | 35 |
| 5 | Chelyabinsk | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 28:20 | 8 | 35 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 37:25 | 12 | 33 |
| 7 | SKA Khabarovsk | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24:22 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 31 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 27:24 | 3 | 31 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 22 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 30:26 | 4 | 29 |
| 11 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 26 |
| 12 | Yenisey | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 15:26 | -11 | 24 |
| 13 | Torpedo Moscow | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 24 |
| 14 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Ulyanovsk | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
| 16 | Ufa | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 20 |
| 17 | Saratov | 22 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 10:23 | -13 | 16 |
| 18 | FK Chayka | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 19:47 | -28 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
