Result
1:1
15/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Women - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | DSPORTS+ Plus |
 Venezuela | DSPORTS+ Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (258/339) | 82% (390/475) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (258/339) | 82% (390/475) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (29/56) | 44% (19/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (75/117) | 68% (99/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 5% (1/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', Woldvik E. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Janogy M. ⚽, Lombardi E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Babajide R. ↓, Bergamaschi V. ↑,
- 46', Csiki A. ↓, Haavi E. ↑,
- 47', Viens E. 🟨,
- 64', Lombardi E. 🟨,
- 70', Eiriksdottir H. ↓, Omarsdottir I. ↑,
- 70', Lombardi E. ↓, Johansen O. ↑,
- 71', Dragoni G. ↓, Brennskag-Dorsin F. ↑,
- 71', Thogersen F. ↓, Galli G. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Galli G. ⚽, Giugliano M. (A),
- 84', Cherubini M. ↓, Curmark F. ↑,
- 84', Bonfantini A. ↓, Wijnants S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Roma
52.7% | Draw
24.6% | Fiorentina
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Roma - Fiorentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.84) |
3.72 ↓
(3.78) |
4.01 ↑
(3.73) |
9.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 3.
- Roma is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fiorentina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Fiorentina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Roma is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roma won 15 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 47:21. (average 2.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:11. (average 2.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Fiorentina?
Roma has won 11 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Roma?
Fiorentina has won 1 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Fiorentina were as follows:
07.11.2025
Fiorentina
-
Roma
5:2
10.05.2025
Fiorentina
-
Roma
0:1
29.03.2025
Roma
-
Fiorentina
2:0
09.02.2025
Fiorentina
-
Roma
0:0
06.01.2025
Roma
-
Fiorentina
3:1
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AS Roma W ✔ | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 36:19 | 17 | 43 |
| 2 | Inter W | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 43:19 | 24 | 37 |
| 3 | Juventus W | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 24:12 | 12 | 32 |
| 4 | Napoli W | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 29 |
| 5 | AC Milan W | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 28 |
| 6 | Lazio W | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25:24 | 1 | 27 |
| 7 | Fiorentina W | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 26 |
| 8 | Como W | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 25 |
| 9 | Parma W | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | Ternana W | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16:34 | -18 | 13 |
| 11 | Sassuolo W | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13:30 | -17 | 13 |
| 12 | Genoa W | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15:36 | -21 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Women
Clinched Spots for Teams
AS Roma W is Qualified for Champions League Women (League phase )
