Result
1:2
05/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 6
- Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | Azam Sports 1, Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport |
Europe | Go3 Sport Open Baltic |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 1 |
Kuwait | Shasha |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV4 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
South-america | ESPN 2 South |
South-korea | SPOTV Now |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1 |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 3 |
Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, DAZN UK, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Vietnam | ON Football |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.84 | 1.35 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
80% (297/373) | 83% (388/470) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.84 | 1.35 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.14 | 1.00 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
12 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
21 | 19 |
Passes |
---|
80% (297/373) | 83% (388/470) |
Long passes |
---|
34% (14/41) | 39% (20/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
59% (49/83) | 69% (70/101) |
Crosses |
---|
22% (4/18) | 31% (4/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.55 | 1.26 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 13 |
Fouls |
---|
19 | 21 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (9/12) | 47% (8/17) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
13 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.00 | 0.14 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.00 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 3', Cristante B. 🟨,
- 14', 1 - 0, Kean M. ⚽, Nicolussi Caviglia H. (A),
- 22', 1 - 1, Soule M. ⚽, Dovbyk A. (A),
- 30', 1 - 2, Cristante B. ⚽, Soule M. (A),
- 43', Gudmundsson A. 🟨,
- 44', Pioli S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Piccoli R. ↑,
- 59', Dovbyk A. ↓, Dybala P. ↑,
- 59', Baldanzi T. ↓, Pellegrini Lo. ↑,
- 65', Tsimikas K. 🟨,
- 67', Fazzini J. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,
- 68', Tsimikas K. ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
- 68', Wesley Franca 🟨,
- 70', Mari P. 🟨,
- 75', Mandragora R. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,
- 75', Mari P. ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,
- 81', Wesley Franca ↓, Ziolkowski J. ↑,
- 81', Dodo ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
- 81', Soule M. ↓, El Aynaoui N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fiorentina 31.2% | Draw 29.9% | Roma 38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Fiorentina - Roma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.06 ↓ (3.15) |
3.2 ↓ (3.5) |
2.47 ↑ (2.21) |
4.4% (5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Roma?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Roma will win (votes: 13 - 44.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 31%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 26.7% – 62.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Roma (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Roma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Kouame C.
(Knee Injury)
Lamptey T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Roma: Bailey L.
(Thigh Injury)
Bove E.
(Heart Problems)
Dybala P.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 32:37. (average 1.6:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 2.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Roma?
Fiorentina has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Fiorentina?
Roma has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Roma were as follows:
04.05.2025
Roma
-
Fiorentina
1:0
27.10.2024
Fiorentina
-
Roma
5:1
10.03.2024
Fiorentina
-
Roma
2:2
10.12.2023
Roma
-
Fiorentina
1:1
27.05.2023
Fiorentina
-
Roma
2:1
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Napoli | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
2 | AS Roma | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 15 |
3 | AC Milan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Inter | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 12 |
5 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Atalanta | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Bologna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
8 | Sassuolo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Como | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Cremonese | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
11 | Cagliari | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
12 | Udinese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Lazio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
14 | Lecce | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
15 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Torino | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Verona | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
18 | Fiorentina | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
19 | Pisa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 3 |
20 | Genoa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B