Roma vs Fiorentina: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Olimpico (Rome).

: Serie A - Round 35
Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	0.83
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
12	13
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
7	4
Passes
87% (366/422)	90% (546/604)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	0.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.37	1.23
Total shots
12	13
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
3	6
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
7	4
Shots outside the Box
5	9
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
20	19
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
8	9
Passes
87% (366/422)	90% (546/604)
Long passes
59% (29/49)	54% (19/35)
Passes in final third
70% (75/107)	81% (125/155)
Crosses
23% (3/13)	28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.85	0.78
Throw-ins
16	15
Fouls
9	8
Tackles
53% (8/15)	50% (10/20)
Duels won
38	46
Clearances
29	19
Interceptions
5	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	3
xGOT faced
1.23	1.37
Goals prevented
1.23	0.37

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+5', 1 - 0, Dovbyk A. ⚽, Shomurodov E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
46', Gosens R. ↓, Fagioli N. ↑,
61', Zaniolo N. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
64', Ndour C. 🟨,
65', Cristante B. ↓, Gourna-Douath L. ↑,
65', Shomurodov E. ↓, Baldanzi T. ↑,
71', Pongracic M. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
71', Richardson A. ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
77', Dovbyk A. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
77', Celik Z. ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
85', Kean M. 🟨,
89', Soule M. 🟨,
90', Ndour C. ↓, Adli Y. ↑,
90+4', Pisilli N. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Roma
54.6%

Draw
26.3%

Fiorentina
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

26%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

25.6%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Roma - Fiorentina Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.81)	3.65 ↓ (3.69)	4.99 ↑ (4.57)	4.7% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Roma - Fiorentina?

Users Predictions: 85 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 67 - 78.8%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 7 - 8.2%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 70.1% – 87.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Roma will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 1.
Roma is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Fiorentina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Roma is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Roma: Dybala P. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dodo (Surgery) Ranieri L. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Fiorentina: Cataldi D. (Injury)
We predict that Roma will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roma won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:33. (average 1.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2.2:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Fiorentina?

Roma has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Roma?

Fiorentina has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Fiorentina were as follows:

27.10.2024 Fiorentina - Roma 5:1

10.03.2024 Fiorentina - Roma 2:2

10.12.2023 Roma - Fiorentina 1:1

27.05.2023 Fiorentina - Roma 2:1

15.01.2023 Roma - Fiorentina 2:0

Latest results of Roma

27.04.2025 Inter Milan - Roma 0:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Roma - Verona 1:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Lazio - Roma 1:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Roma - Juventus 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Lecce - Roma 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Fiorentina

01.05.2025 Betis - Fiorentina 2:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Fiorentina - Empoli 2:1 ✺

23.04.2025 Cagliari - Fiorentina 1:2 ✺

17.04.2025 Fiorentina - Celje 2:2 ✺

13.04.2025 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pisa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cremonese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Inter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Torino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Parma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Verona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Como	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Which TV channels are streaming of Roma - Fiorentina?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 3, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2, Sport 3
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 3
Tajikistan	Varzish Sport
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Onefootball