Fiorentina vs Roma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
05/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 6
  • Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 1, Sporty TV, StarTimes App
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport
europeEuropeGo3 Sport Open Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport 2
portugalPortugalSport TV4
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, DAZN, DAZN UK, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Football

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.841.35
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
80% (297/373)83% (388/470)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.841.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.141.00
Total shots
118
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
2119
Passes
80% (297/373)83% (388/470)
Long passes
34% (14/41)39% (20/51)
Passes in final third
59% (49/83)69% (70/101)
Crosses
22% (4/18)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.551.26
Throw-ins
1713
Fouls
1921
Tackles
75% (9/12)47% (8/17)
Duels won
5045
Clearances
1321
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.000.14
Goals prevented
-1.00-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 3', Cristante B. 🟨,
  • 14', 1 - 0, Kean M. , Nicolussi Caviglia H. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Soule M. , Dovbyk A. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 2, Cristante B. , Soule M. (A),
  • 43', Gudmundsson A. 🟨,
  • 44', Pioli S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gudmundsson A. , Piccoli R. ,
  • 59', Dovbyk A. , Dybala P. ,
  • 59', Baldanzi T. , Pellegrini Lo. ,
  • 65', Tsimikas K. 🟨,
  • 67', Fazzini J. , Ndour C. ,
  • 68', Tsimikas K. , Rensch D. ,
  • 68', Wesley Franca 🟨,
  • 70', Mari P. 🟨,
  • 75', Mandragora R. , Dzeko E. ,
  • 75', Mari P. , Comuzzo P. ,
  • 81', Wesley Franca , Ziolkowski J. ,
  • 81', Dodo , Fortini N. ,
  • 81', Soule M. , El Aynaoui N. ,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
31.2%
Draw
29.9%
Roma
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 27.1% 42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8% 26.8% 43.3%

Fiorentina - Roma Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.06
(3.15)
3.2
(3.5)
2.47
(2.21)
4.4%
(5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Roma?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Roma will win (votes: 13 - 44.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 31%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 26.7%62.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Roma (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Roma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Roma: Bailey L. (Thigh Injury) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dybala P. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 32:37. (average 1.6:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 2.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Roma were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Roma - Fiorentina 1:0
    27.10.2024 Fiorentina - Roma 5:1
    10.03.2024 Fiorentina - Roma 2:2
    10.12.2023 Roma - Fiorentina 1:1
    27.05.2023 Fiorentina - Roma 2:1
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    02.10.2025 Fiorentina - Sigma Olomouc 2:0
    28.09.2025 Pisa - Fiorentina 0:0
    21.09.2025 Fiorentina - Como 1:2
    13.09.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 1:3
    31.08.2025 Torino - Fiorentina 0:0
    Latest results of Roma
    02.10.2025 Roma - Lille 0:1
    28.09.2025 Roma - Verona 2:0
    24.09.2025 Nice - Roma 1:2
    21.09.2025 Lazio - Roma 0:1
    14.09.2025 Roma - Torino 0:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter15110434:142033
    2AC Milan1595124:131132
    3Napoli15101422:13931
    4AS Roma15100516:8830
    5Juventus1575319:14526
    6Bologna1574423:131025
    7Como1566319:12724
    8Lazio1564517:11622
    9Sassuolo1563621:19221
    10Udinese1563616:22-621
    11Cremonese1555518:18020
    12Atalanta1547419:18119
    13Torino1545615:26-1117
    14Lecce1544711:19-816
    15Cagliari1535715:21-614
    16Genoa1535716:23-714
    17Parma1535710:18-814
    18Verona1526713:22-912
    19Pisa1517710:20-1010
    20Fiorentina1506912:26-146

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B