Mainz vs Rosenborg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Mainz - Rosenborg
Result
4:1
28/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
germanyGermanySWR Fernsehen
norwayNorwayVG+
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.800.55
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
225
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
79% (287/365)71% (253/358)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.800.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.940.90
Total shots
225
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
121
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
163
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
3612
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
62
Free Kicks
612
Passes
79% (287/365)71% (253/358)
Long passes
53% (40/75)40% (34/85)
Passes in final third
67% (101/151)52% (53/102)
Crosses
38% (13/34)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.900.73
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
127
Tackles
75% (15/20)73% (8/11)
Duels won
5046
Clearances
3923
Interceptions
1511
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.902.94
Goals prevented
-0.10-1.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Bell S. ,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Islamovic D. ,
  • 43', 2 - 1, Lee Jae-Sung , Caci A. (A),
  • 44', 3 - 1, Weiper N. , Amiri N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fossum I. , Reitan-Sunde J. ,
  • 54', Vaananen S. 🟨,
  • 58', 4 - 1, Amiri N. ,
  • 61', Saeter O. , Ceide E. K. ,
  • 71', Weiper N. , Sieb A. ,
  • 71', Mwene P. , Widmer S. ,
  • 73', Nebel P. 🟨,
  • 80', Caci A. , Veratschnig N. ,
  • 90', Lee Jae-Sung , Maloney L. ,
  • 90', Amiri N. , Kawasaki S. ,

Chances of winning


Mainz
70.5%
Draw
17.8%
Rosenborg
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.1% 19.8% 14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8% 19.3% 13.6%

Mainz - Rosenborg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.34
(1.38)
5.2
(4.6)
7.98
(6.5)
6.6%
(9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Mainz - Rosenborg?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). Rosenborg will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 63.4%93.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mainz will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
    • In recent matches, Mainz has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Rosenborg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Rosenborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Mainz is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mainz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Rosenborg were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Rosenborg - Mainz 2:1
    Latest results of Mainz
    24.08.2025 Mainz - Köln 0:1
    21.08.2025 Rosenborg - Mainz 2:1
    18.08.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Mainz 0:1
    09.08.2025 Mainz - Strasbourg 0:0
    25.07.2025 Mainz - Seekirchen 5:0
    Latest results of Rosenborg
    21.08.2025 Rosenborg - Mainz 2:1
    14.08.2025 Hammarby - Rosenborg 0:1
    07.08.2025 Rosenborg - Hammarby 0:0
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Samsunspor33007:079
    2Celje33007:259
    3Mainz33004:139
    4AEK Larnaca32105:057
    5Lausanne32105:147
    6Rayo Vallecano32107:437
    7Strasbourg32105:327
    8Fiorentina32016:246
    9Crystal Palace32015:236
    10Shakhtar Donetsk32016:426
    11KuPS31204:225
    12Rakow31203:125
    13Drita31203:215
    14Jagiellonia31203:215
    15AEK Athens FC31118:444
    16Sparta Prague31114:224
    17Noah31113:304
    18Rijeka31112:204
    19Sigma Olomouc31113:4-14
    20Univ. Craiova31112:3-14
    21Shkendija31112:3-14
    22Lincoln Red Imps31113:7-44
    23Lech Poznan31027:613
    24Dyn. Kyiv31026:513
    25Legia31023:4-13
    26Zrinjski31025:7-23
    27AZ Alkmaar31022:7-53
    28Hacken30213:4-12
    29Omonia30212:3-12
    30Shelbourne30120:2-21
    31Shamrock Rovers30122:7-51
    32Breidablik30120:5-51
    33Aberdeen30122:9-71
    34Slovan Bratislava30032:6-40
    35Hamrun30030:5-50
    36SK Rapid30031:8-70

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