Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Referee: Karasev S. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (201/272) | 83% (388/468) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (201/272) | 83% (388/468) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (28/62) | 56% (35/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (52/85) | 68% (89/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Kuchaev K. ⚽,
- 16', Mironov A. 🟨,
- 26', Krugovoy D. 🟨,
- 30', Chistyakov D. 🟨,
- 43', Gajic M. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Shumansky A. ↓, Musaev T. ↑,
- 50', Matheus Alves 🟨,
- 70', Suleymanov T. ↓, Golenkov E. ↑,
- 70', Mironov A. ↓, Shantaliy D. ↑,
- 76', Alerrandro ↓, Abdulkadyrov D. ↑,
- 76', Krugovoy D. ↓, Lukin M. ↑,
- 76', Kislyak M. ↓, Di Luciano R. ↑,
- 82', Shchetinin K. ↓, Komarov I. ↑,
- 84', Matheus Alves 🟨,
- 84', 🟨,
- 86', Kuchaev K. 🟨,
- 90+8', Ronaldo ↓, Langovich A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rostov
27.2% | Draw
27.6% | CSKA Moscow
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Rostov - CSKA Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.53 ↑
(3.5) |
3.48 ↑
(3.45) |
2.12 ↑
(1.99) |
4.3%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rostov - CSKA Moscow?
Users Predictions:
CSKA Moscow will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 1.
- Rostov is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- CSKA is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- CSKA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- CSKA might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Rostov: Odoevski D.
(Broken nose)
- There will not play in CSKA: Villagra R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Rostov: Sako O.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:33. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Rostov won against CSKA Moscow?
Rostov has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Moscow won against Rostov?
CSKA Moscow has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rostov - CSKA Moscow were as follows:
01.06.2025
Rostov
-
CSKA Moscow
0:1
31.01.2025
CSKA Moscow
-
Rostov
1:0
23.11.2024
CSKA Moscow
-
Rostov
1:2
20.07.2024
Rostov
-
CSKA Moscow
0:0
12.03.2024
CSKA Moscow
-
Rostov
2:0
Latest results of CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:7 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Baltika | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Zenit | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 | Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Akron Togliatti | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Sochi | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:24 | -19 | 1 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
