Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 19
- Referee: Frolov A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (318/402) | 58% (129/221) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (318/402) | 58% (129/221) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (40/78) | 39% (26/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (90/128) | 48% (47/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 35% (6/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', Ronaldo 🟨,
- 8', 1 - 0, Spertsyan E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 12', Shchetinin K. 🟨,
- 45+3', Gonzalez G. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Mironov A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+4', Chistyakov D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gonzalez G. ↓, Lenini K. ↑,
- 46', Chernikov A. ↓, Paltsev V. ↑,
- 51', Chistyakov D. 🟨,
- 54', Komarov I. ↓, Ignatov G. ↑,
- 63', Diego Costa 🟨,
- 69', Douglas Augusto ↓, Krivtsov N. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 1, Krivtsov N. ⚽, Joao Batxi (A),
- 74', Joao Batxi ↓, Boselli J. ↑,
- 77', Suleymanov T. ↓, Golenkov E. ↑,
- 81', Victor Sa ↓, Cobnan M. D. ↑,
- 83', Semenchuk D. ↓, Prokhin D. ↑,
- 83', Shchetinin K. ↓, Bayramyan K. ↑,
- 90+6', Vakhania I. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Krasnodar
60.7% | Draw
22.9% | Rostov
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Krasnodar - Rostov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↑
(1.58) |
4.24 ↑
(4.07) |
5.94 ↑
(5.55) |
3%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Krasnodar - Rostov?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Krasnodar (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Krasnodar will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Krasnodar (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Krasnodar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Krasnodar is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Krasnodar: Koksharov A.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Petrov S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Rostov: Melnikov S.
(Inactive)
Sako O.
(Red Card)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 41:20. (average 2.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Krasnodar won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 2.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against Rostov?
Krasnodar has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rostov won against Krasnodar?
Rostov has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Krasnodar - Rostov were as follows:
27.09.2025
Rostov
-
Krasnodar
0:0
05.07.2025
Krasnodar
-
Rostov
4:2
16.03.2025
Rostov
-
Krasnodar
0:0
14.09.2024
Krasnodar
-
Rostov
2:0
06.07.2024
Krasnodar
-
Rostov
3:2
Latest results of Krasnodar
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 47:16 | 31 | 49 |
| 2 | Zenit | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 41:15 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 48:30 | 18 | 44 |
| 4 | Baltika | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:9 | 21 | 42 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34:24 | 10 | 39 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 35:30 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:28 | -1 | 30 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 37:30 | 7 | 30 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 22 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 22 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 12:27 | -15 | 21 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22:40 | -18 | 21 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 18:36 | -18 | 20 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21:33 | -12 | 18 |
| 16 | Sochi | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 20:52 | -32 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
