Erzgebirge Aue vs Rot-Weiß Essen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
05/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 10
  • Referee: Hilsberg S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
815
Shots on target
39
Corner Kicks
310
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
815
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
310
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1111
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
710

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Guttau J. , Clausen M. (A),
  • 24', Schultz M. , Kraulich T. ,
  • 38', Guttau J. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Kraulich T. , Moustier T. (A),
  • 42', 2 - 1, Guttau J. , Stefaniak M. (A),
  • 45+2', Barylla A. , Collins J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Moustier T. 🟨,
  • 57', Majetschak E. 🟨,
  • 61', Safi R. , Obuz M. ,
  • 62', Moustier T. , Musel T. ,
  • 65', 2 - 2, Obuz M. , Mizuta K. (A),
  • 69', Schmid M. , Weinhauer E. ,
  • 69', Guttau J. , Malone R. ,
  • 73', Uhlmann E. 🟨,
  • 78', Stefaniak M. , Ehlers J. ,
  • 78', Uhlmann E. , Simnica L. ,
  • 88', Arslan A. , Owusu K. ,
  • 88', Mause J. , Janssen M. ,
  • 89', Collins J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
33%
Draw
25.8%
Rot-Weiß Essen
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.4% 25.1% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 24.5% 44.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue - Rot-Weiß Essen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.93)
    3.61
    (3.68)
    2.27
    (2.12)
    7%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Rot-Weiß Essen?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Aue (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 3.
    • Aue has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Rot-Weiß Essen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Aue won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.6:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Rot-Weiß Essen were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Rot-Weiß Essen - Erzgebirge Aue 4:2
    10.11.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - Rot-Weiß Essen 2:1
    19.01.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - Rot-Weiß Essen 2:1
    20.08.2023 Rot-Weiß Essen - Erzgebirge Aue 1:1
    11.03.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Rot-Weiß Essen 2:1
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of Rot-Weiß Essen
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cottbus25146551:381348
    2Duisburg25137546:321446
    3VfL Osnabruck25137538:241446
    4Verl25128560:382244
    5RW Essen251110448:41743
    6Wehen25125838:281041
    7Hansa Rostock251010541:281340
    8Munich 186025116840:35539
    9Ingolstadt2599744:341036
    10Mannheim251131141:46-536
    11Viktoria Koln251051036:33335
    12Stuttgart II251051032:40-835
    13Hoffenheim II25951147:45232
    14Alemannia Aachen25951142:46-432
    15Regensburg25941233:38-531
    16Saarbrucken25610933:36-328
    17Aue25591128:40-1224
    18Ulm25721633:51-1823
    19TSV Havelse25471435:55-2019
    20Schweinfurt25312121:59-3810

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