Rot-Weiß Essen vs Erzgebirge Aue – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 3 Bundesliga Rot-Weiß Essen - Erzgebirge Aue
Result
4:2
12/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 33
  • Referee: Wittmann T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, WDR Fernsehen
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
75
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
108
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
27
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
159
Fouls
811
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 18', Burghardt M. , Fallmann P. ,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Moustier T. ,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Loune A. , Fallmann P. (A),
  • 41', Rios Alonso J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 2 - 1, Arslan A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', Majetschak E. , Hoffmann T. ,
  • 59', Schmid M. , Sijaric O. ,
  • 65', Eitschberger J. , Voufack E. ,
  • 67', Seitz S. , Stefaniak M. ,
  • 68', Tashchy B. , Bornschein R. ,
  • 68', Brumme L. , Wagner M. ,
  • 72', 3 - 1, Arslan A. ,
  • 76', Mizuta K. , Martinovic D. ,
  • 86', 3 - 2, Nkansah S. ,
  • 89', Pepic M. 🟨,
  • 90', Stefaniak M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Arslan A. , Kaparos J. ,
  • 90+2', Safi R. , Wintzheimer M. ,
  • 90+5', 4 - 2, Voufack E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rot-Weiß Essen
50%
Draw
26.3%
Erzgebirge Aue
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 24.9% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 24.1% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Erzgebirge Aue aligns with the current prediction.
  • Rot-Weiß Essen - Erzgebirge Aue Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.84)
    3.55
    (3.73)
    3.91
    (3.79)
    7.1%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Rot-Weiß Essen - Erzgebirge Aue?
  • Users Predictions: Rot-Weiß Essen will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Rot-Weiß Essen won 1.
    • Recent matches Rot-Weiß Essen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Aue is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Aue could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Rot-Weiß Essen is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Rot-Weiß Essen: Celebi E. (Muscle Injury) Doumbouya M. (Knock) Eisfeld T. (Knee Injury) Swajkowski G. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Aue: Bar M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ozkan C. (Knee Injury) Vukancic N. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Rot-Weiß Essen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Rot-Weiß Essen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rot-Weiß Essen - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - Rot-Weiß Essen 2:1
    19.01.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - Rot-Weiß Essen 2:1
    20.08.2023 Rot-Weiß Essen - Erzgebirge Aue 1:1
    11.03.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Rot-Weiß Essen 2:1
    02.09.2022 Rot-Weiß Essen - Erzgebirge Aue 2:1
    Latest results of Rot-Weiß Essen
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1RW Essen00000:000
    2Verl00000:000
    3Regensburg00000:000
    4Stuttgart II00000:000
    5Ingolstadt00000:000
    6TSV Havelse00000:000
    7Cottbus00000:000
    8Hansa Rostock00000:000
    9Duisburg00000:000
    10Alemannia Aachen00000:000
    11Wehen00000:000
    12Munich 186000000:000
    13VfL Osnabruck00000:000
    14Aue00000:000
    15Mannheim00000:000
    16Ulm00000:000
    17Saarbrucken00000:000
    18Schweinfurt00000:000
    19Hoffenheim II00000:000
    20Viktoria Koln00000:000

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