Result
4:2
14/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 29
- Referee: Nouhoum A. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 28', 1 - 0, Musel T. ⚽, Reisig R. (A),
- 32', 2 - 0, Hofmann J. ⚽, Brumme L. (A),
- 37', 3 - 0, Janssen M. ⚽, Hofmann J. (A),
- 45+2', 3 - 1, Ehlers J. ⚽, Gunther-Schmidt J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Clausen M. ↓, Stefaniak M. ↑,
- 46', Weinhauer E. ↓, Uhlmann E. ↑,
- 59', Collins J. 🟨,
- 61', 3 - 2, Bar M. ⚽,
- 67', Safi R. ↓, Obuz M. ↑,
- 67', Brumme L. ↓, Abiama D. ↑,
- 72', Bouebari F. 🟨,
- 74', Uhlmann E. 🟨,
- 74', Gunther-Schmidt J. ↓, Guttau J. ↑,
- 83', 4 - 2, Mizuta K. ⚽,
- 83', Janssen M. ↓, Cuber Potocnik J. ↑,
- 90+1', Mizuta K. ↓, Swajkowski G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rot-Weiß Essen
57% | Draw
22.1% | Erzgebirge Aue
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rot-Weiß Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Rot-Weiß Essen - Erzgebirge Aue Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.68) |
4.25 ↑
(4.02) |
4.42 ↑
(4.15) |
7.5%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Rot-Weiß Essen - Erzgebirge Aue?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Rot-Weiß Essen will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 1.
- Rot-Weiß Essen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Aue is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Rot-Weiß Essen is the team to beat.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rot-Weiß Essen won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Rot-Weiß Essen won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Rot-Weiß Essen has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Rot-Weiß Essen?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rot-Weiß Essen - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
05.10.2025
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Rot-Weiß Essen
2:2
12.04.2025
Rot-Weiß Essen
-
Erzgebirge Aue
4:2
10.11.2024
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Rot-Weiß Essen
2:1
19.01.2024
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Rot-Weiß Essen
2:1
20.08.2023
Rot-Weiß Essen
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:1
Latest results of Rot-Weiß Essen
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 49:26 | 23 | 58 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 54:43 | 11 | 53 |
| 3 | RW Essen | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 59:48 | 11 | 52 |
| 4 | Verl | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 67:41 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Duisburg | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 52:40 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 52:32 | 20 | 50 |
| 7 | Munich 1860 | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:37 | 8 | 49 |
| 8 | Wehen | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 42:32 | 10 | 48 |
| 9 | Mannheim | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 47:53 | -6 | 42 |
| 10 | Alemannia Aachen | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 51:50 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Ingolstadt | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 49:39 | 10 | 40 |
| 12 | Viktoria Koln | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 40:39 | 1 | 38 |
| 13 | Stuttgart II | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 |
| 14 | Regensburg | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim II | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 53:53 | 0 | 35 |
| 16 | Saarbrucken | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 40:43 | -3 | 33 |
| 17 | Aue | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 33:52 | -19 | 24 |
| 18 | Ulm | 29 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 38:61 | -23 | 24 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 41:64 | -23 | 23 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 29 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 26:68 | -42 | 14 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
