Bolton Wanderers vs Rotherham United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United
Result
0:1
08/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 38
  • Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.150.11
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
285
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
122
Passes
86% (476/552)63% (157/248)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.150.11
xG on target (xGOT)
1.040.56
Total shots
285
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
122
Blocked Shots
102
Shots inside the Box
153
Shots outside the Box
132
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
122
Touches in opposition box
538
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
86% (476/552)63% (157/248)
Long passes
66% (31/47)30% (23/77)
Passes in final third
85% (227/267)52% (50/96)
Crosses
24% (14/58)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.730.16
Fouls
1111
Tackles
67% (8/12)78% (7/9)
Duels won
5438
Clearances Total
1739
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.561.04
Goals prevented
-0.441.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Nombe S. , Wilks M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 66', Dacres-Cogley J. , Dempsey K. ,
  • 67', Holmes J. , Hugill J. ,
  • 69', Wilks M. , Douglas H. ,
  • 76', McAtee J. , Randall J. ,
  • 76', Thomason G. , Mendes C. ,
  • 84', Jones G. , Etete K. ,
  • 85', Baxter N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bolton Wanderers
55%
Draw
25.3%
Rotherham United
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.6% 25.6% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 23% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolton Wanderers's performance.
  • Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rotherham United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolton Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rotherham United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.93)
    3.72
    (3.59)
    4.73
    (3.44)
    6.1%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United?
  • Users Predictions: Bolton Wanderers will win (37 of 41 users predict this - 90.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.16%99.32%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bolton Wanderers will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bolton won 1.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Recently Rotherham have a series of home games.
    • In this match Bolton is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Bolton: Toal E. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Rotherham: Gore D. (Leg Injury) Green A. (Inactive) Jules Z. (Injury) Kayode J. (Inactive) MacDonald A. (Hip Injury) McWilliams S. (Inactive) Raggett S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Forrester W. (Injury) Santos R. (Lower Back Injury) Schon S. (Inactive)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Bolton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14:28 (average 1.3:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United were as follows:
    11.01.2025 Rotherham United - Bolton Wanderers 3:1
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    Latest results of Rotherham United
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stevenage44008:3512
    2Cardiff43106:1510
    3Barnsley43108:4410
    4Bradford City43106:3310
    5Huddersfield43019:369
    6Luton43015:239
    7Lincoln43016:429
    8Stockport County42117:527
    9Leyton Orient42115:507
    10Doncaster42114:407
    11Exeter42026:426
    12Mansfield42026:516
    13Wigan42025:416
    14AFC Wimbledon42024:316
    15Bolton41214:405
    16Burton31114:404
    17Rotherham31022:5-33
    18Blackpool41036:11-53
    19Port Vale40222:4-22
    20Wycombe40133:6-31
    21Reading40132:7-51
    22Northampton40131:6-51
    23Plymouth40043:9-60
    24Peterborough40041:7-60

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two