Bolton Wanderers vs Rotherham United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English EFL Trophy Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United
Result
1:0
02/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.64
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
82% (325/395)84% (417/496)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.330.71
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2613
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
109
Passes
82% (325/395)84% (417/496)
Long passes
39% (27/69)53% (33/62)
Passes in final third
66% (66/100)69% (81/117)
Crosses
15% (2/13)24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.67
Throw-ins
1621
Fouls
910
Tackles
71% (12/17)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4542
Clearances
3212
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.711.33
Goals prevented
0.710.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Gale T. , Taylor R. (A),
  • 45+2', Gale T. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Christie C. , Dacres-Cogley J. ,
  • 52', Kaleta M. 🟨,
  • 61', Dalby S. , Randall J. ,
  • 61', Forss M. , Erhahon E. ,
  • 62', Gore D. , McWilliams S. ,
  • 62', Baptiste J. , Powell J. ,
  • 63', Holmes J. , Richardson K. ,
  • 79', Simons X. , Sharples-Ahmed S. ,
  • 79', Smith O. , Warren C. ,
  • 86', Taylor R. 🟨,
  • 88', Clarke J. , Ayres J. ,
  • 90+3', Jules Z. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bolton Wanderers
63.9%
Draw
21%
Rotherham United
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.2% 24.4% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 20.2% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolton Wanderers's performance.
  • Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolton Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rotherham United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.57)
    4.37
    (3.75)
    6.03
    (5.24)
    8.6%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 22 - 95.7%). Rotherham will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 87.4%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bolton Wanderers will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 0.
    • Bolton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Rotherham has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bolton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Rotherham has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Bolton is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 1.2:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United 0:1
    11.01.2025 Rotherham United - Bolton Wanderers 3:1
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    Latest results of Rotherham United
    English EFL Trophy Table
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