Result
2:2
14/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 37
- Referee: Oldham J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (158/265) | 79% (358/455) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 2.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (158/265) | 79% (358/455) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (26/70) | 50% (35/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (64/122) | 64% (80/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 33% (8/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 2.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', Erhahon E. 🟨,
- 21', Blackett-Taylor C. ↓, Gale T. ↑,
- 38', Rafferty J. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Nombe S. ⚽,
- 42', 2 - 0, Nombe S. ⚽, Martha A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Rodrigues R. ↓, Kenny J. ↑,
- 46', Erhahon E. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
- 48', Cover B. 🟨,
- 51', 2 - 1, Forino-Joseph C. ⚽, Kenny J. (A),
- 57', Cann T. 🟨,
- 58', Rafferty J. ↓, Benson J. ↑,
- 67', Osei-Tutu J. ↓, Christie C. ↑,
- 78', Martha A. ↓, Watmore D. ↑,
- 79', Conway M. ↓, Apter R. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 2, Dalby S. ⚽, Kenny J. (A),
- 89', Agbaire L. ↓, Adegboyega E. ↑,
- 89', Gray H. ↓, Biancheri G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rotherham United
22.9% | Draw
24.9% | Bolton Wanderers
52.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Rotherham United - Bolton Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.09 ↓
(4.15) |
3.75 ↑
(3.65) |
1.79 ↑
(1.76) |
6.9%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rotherham United - Bolton Wanderers?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Rotherham (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Bolton Wanderers will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rotherham (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 3.
- Rotherham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bolton is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rotherham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bolton is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Rotherham: Douglas H.
(Injury)
Hall D.
(Inactive)
Hatton B.
(Inactive)
Hugill J.
(Inactive)
Kaleta M.
(Injury)
Kayode J.
(Knee Injury)
Spence K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bolton: Cozier-Duberry A.
(Inactive)
Forss M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Rotherham: Yearwood D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bolton: McAtee J.
(Inactive)
Taylor R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:16. (average 2.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:7. (average 3.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Bolton Wanderers?
Rotherham United has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Rotherham United?
Bolton Wanderers has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rotherham United - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
26.12.2025
Bolton Wanderers
-
Rotherham United
1:0
02.09.2025
Bolton Wanderers
-
Rotherham United
1:0
08.04.2025
Bolton Wanderers
-
Rotherham United
0:1
11.01.2025
Rotherham United
-
Bolton Wanderers
3:1
Latest results of Rotherham United
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
