Result
1:0
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 33
- Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (180/328) | 57% (199/347) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (180/328) | 57% (199/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (23/85) | 29% (30/103) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (67/149) | 44% (55/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.66 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Douglas H. ↓, Rafferty J. ↑,
- 23', 1 - 0, Shade T. ⚽, Lofthouse K. (A),
- 36', Yearwood D. 🟨,
- 45+1', Jules Z. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Yearwood D. ↓, Kaleta M. ↑,
- 54', Vancooten T. 🟨,
- 69', Larsson J. ↓, Cannon A. ↑,
- 69', Cover B. ↓, Watmore D. ↑,
- 81', Vancooten T. ↓, Moon J. ↑,
- 85', Kaleta M. ↓, Sousa L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion
43.3% | Draw
28.3% | Rotherham United
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Burton Albion - Rotherham United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.21) |
3.31 ↑
(3.2) |
3.28 ↑
(3.24) |
6.8%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Rotherham United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Burton (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Burton Albion will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Burton Albion will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Burton (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2.
- Burton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Rotherham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Burton won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Rotherham United?
Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Burton Albion?
Rotherham United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Rotherham United were as follows:
04.11.2025
Rotherham United
-
Burton Albion
2:2
25.01.2025
Burton Albion
-
Rotherham United
4:2
14.09.2024
Rotherham United
-
Burton Albion
2:2
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Rotherham United
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
