Burton Albion vs Rotherham United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One
Result
1:0
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 33
  • Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.770.62
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
34
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
103
Passes
55% (180/328)57% (199/347)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.770.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.360.28
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
45
Shots inside the box
88
Shots outside the box
35
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
2719
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free kicks
712
Passes
55% (180/328)57% (199/347)
Long passes
27% (23/85)29% (30/103)
Passes in final third
45% (67/149)44% (55/125)
Crosses
16% (3/19)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.66
Throw ins
2635
Fouls
127
Tackles
63% (5/8)76% (16/21)
Duels won
5959
Clearances
2338
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
0.280.36
Goals prevented
0.28-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Douglas H. ↓, Rafferty J. ↑,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Shade T. ⚽, Lofthouse K. (A),
  • 36', Yearwood D. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Jules Z. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Yearwood D. ↓, Kaleta M. ↑,
  • 54', Vancooten T. 🟨,
  • 69', Larsson J. ↓, Cannon A. ↑,
  • 69', Cover B. ↓, Watmore D. ↑,
  • 81', Vancooten T. ↓, Moon J. ↑,
  • 85', Kaleta M. ↓, Sousa L. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Burton Albion
43.3%		Draw
28.3%		Rotherham United
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 29.1% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 28.6% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
    •

    Burton Albion - Rotherham United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.17 ↓
    (2.21)    		 3.31 ↑
    (3.2)    		 3.28 ↑
    (3.24)    		 6.8%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Rotherham United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Burton (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Burton (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Burton Albion will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Burton (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2.
    • Burton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Rotherham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Burton won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Rotherham United were as follows:
    04.11.2025 Rotherham United - Burton Albion 2:2
    25.01.2025 Burton Albion - Rotherham United 4:2
    14.09.2024 Rotherham United - Burton Albion 2:2
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    14.02.2026 Burton Albion - West Ham United 0:1 ✺
    07.02.2026 Port Vale - Burton Albion 2:2 ✺
    03.02.2026 Burton Albion - Doncaster Rovers 1:2 ✺
    31.01.2026 Burton Albion - Cardiff City 2:2 ✺
    27.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Rotherham United
    07.02.2026 Rotherham United - Cardiff City 0:3 ✺
    31.01.2026 Exeter City - Rotherham United 0:4 ✺
    27.01.2026 Rotherham United - Northampton Town 2:1 ✺
    24.01.2026 Rotherham United - AFC Wimbledon 1:1 ✺
    17.01.2026 Stockport County - Rotherham United 3:2 ✺
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff34226668:363272
    2Lincoln34218563:313271
    3Bolton351613650:341661
    4Bradford City341771043:38558
    5Stockport County341681047:43456
    6Wycombe3514111050:361453
    7Huddersfield351571355:46952
    8Reading341312950:44651
    9Stevenage331491037:35251
    10Luton341381343:41247
    11Peterborough351441750:49146
    12Plymouth341441649:50-146
    13Barnsley321281253:54-144
    14AFC Wimbledon331271441:48-743
    15Exeter341191439:40-142
    16Mansfield3310111239:37241
    17Burton3510101539:50-1140
    18Doncaster331161636:55-1939
    19Wigan339101435:46-1137
    20Blackpool341071740:54-1437
    21Leyton Orient331061744:56-1236
    22Rotherham34981733:47-1435
    23Northampton35981831:47-1635
    24Port Vale32691726:44-1827

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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