Rotherham United vs Doncaster Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Aesseal New York Stadium (Rotherham).

League One - Round 34
Referee: Mather S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.20	1.96
Ball possession
53%	47%
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
2	3
Big chances
1	5
Corner kicks
2	3
Passes
66% (241/365)	62% (204/328)
Yellow cards
3	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.20	1.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.06	1.30
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked shots
2	4
Shots inside the box
4	8
Shots outside the box
5	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	5
Corner kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
16	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	2
Free kicks
11	14
Passes
66% (241/365)	62% (204/328)
Long passes
30% (19/64)	28% (22/80)
Passes in final third
53% (65/122)	41% (39/96)
Crosses
8% (1/13)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.32	0.31
Throw ins
28	24
Fouls
14	11
Tackles
65% (17/26)	53% (9/17)
Duels won
65	62
Clearances
27	32
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	1
xGOT faced
1.30	1.06
Goals prevented
-0.70	0.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', McGrath J. 🟨,
3', 1 - 0, Nombe S. (Penalty Awarded),
10', McWilliams S. 🟨,
17', Byrne N. 🟨,
45', Spence K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sharp B. ↓, Hanlan B. ↑,
46', Lee E. ↓, Clifton H. ↑,
46', Adelakun H. ↓, Middleton G. ↑,
46', McWilliams S. ↓, Martha A. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Hanlan B. ⚽, Middleton G. (A),
68', 1 - 2, Molyneux L. ⚽,
73', Sterry J. 🟨,
75', Watmore D. ↓, Biancheri G. ↑,
75', Benson J. ↓, Yearwood D. ↑,
79', Gotts R. ↓, Broadbent G. ↑,
79', Rafferty J. ↓, Cover B. ↑,
87', Molyneux L. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
90+1', James R. ↓, Sousa L. ↑,
90+6', Gray H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Rotherham United
34.6%

Draw
26.9%

Doncaster Rovers
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

28.2%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

28.3%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Rotherham United - Doncaster Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.84)	3.48 ↑ (3.25)	2.45 ↑ (2.33)	6.5% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Rotherham United - Doncaster Rovers?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Doncaster will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rotherham: 26.7% – 80.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Doncaster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Doncaster has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Rotherham: Gore D. (Injury) Hall D. (Inactive) Hugill J. (Inactive) Kayode J. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Doncaster: Clark Z. (Inactive)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:10. (average 2.2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Doncaster Rovers?

Rotherham United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Rotherham United?

Doncaster Rovers has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rotherham United - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:

30.08.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Rotherham United 1:0

03.08.2024 Rotherham United - Doncaster Rovers 0:0

Latest results of Rotherham United

17.02.2026 Burton Albion - Rotherham United 1:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Rotherham United - Cardiff City 0:3 ✺

31.01.2026 Exeter City - Rotherham United 0:4 ✺

27.01.2026 Rotherham United - Northampton Town 2:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Rotherham United - AFC Wimbledon 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Doncaster Rovers

17.02.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Huddersfield Town 1:0 ✺

10.02.2026 Huddersfield Town - Doncaster Rovers 1:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Wycombe Wanderers - Doncaster Rovers 4:0 ✺

03.02.2026 Burton Albion - Doncaster Rovers 1:2 ✺

31.01.2026 Bradford City - Doncaster Rovers 1:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	38	24	9	5	71:34	37	81
2	Cardiff	38	23	7	8	73:41	32	76
3	Bolton	38	17	15	6	55:38	17	66
4	Bradford City	38	19	8	11	48:42	6	65
5	Stockport County	36	17	8	11	50:47	3	59
6	Reading	38	15	13	10	57:50	7	58
7	Huddersfield	38	16	9	13	58:48	10	57
8	Stevenage	37	16	9	12	40:38	2	57
9	Wycombe	38	15	11	12	55:41	14	56
10	Plymouth	38	17	5	16	57:53	4	56
11	Luton	38	15	9	14	51:48	3	54
12	Barnsley	36	13	11	12	59:59	0	50
13	Peterborough	37	15	4	18	56:51	5	49
14	AFC Wimbledon	37	14	7	16	48:54	-6	49
15	Mansfield	36	11	13	12	43:40	3	46
16	Leyton Orient	37	13	6	18	53:62	-9	45
17	Doncaster	37	12	8	17	40:59	-19	44
18	Burton	38	11	10	17	42:53	-11	43
19	Exeter	38	11	9	18	42:50	-8	42
20	Wigan	37	10	12	15	39:51	-12	42
21	Blackpool	38	11	8	19	46:63	-17	41
22	Rotherham	37	9	9	19	35:55	-20	36
23	Northampton	38	9	8	21	32:52	-20	35
24	Port Vale	35	6	10	19	28:49	-21	28

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two