Rotherham United vs Oldham Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English EFL Trophy Rotherham United - Oldham Athletic
Result
3:2
07/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.59
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
67% (236/353)67% (202/301)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.981.14
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2521
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
67% (236/353)67% (202/301)
Long passes
41% (30/73)45% (33/73)
Passes in final third
56% (60/107)58% (61/105)
Crosses
35% (8/23)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.55
Throw-ins
3734
Fouls
1214
Tackles
80% (12/15)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5254
Clearances
1419
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.140.98
Goals prevented
-0.86-1.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Hannant L. , Payne K. (A),
  • 27', Conlon T. , Morris K. ,
  • 36', 0 - 2, Ogle R. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Douglas H. , Rafferty J. ,
  • 46', Etete K. , Hugill J. ,
  • 46', Richardson K. , James R. ,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Spence K. ,
  • 61', Hannant L. 🟨,
  • 63', Quigley J. , Fondop-Talum M. ,
  • 63', Payne K. , Hammond O. ,
  • 63', Spence K. , Gore D. ,
  • 75', Olson C. , Monthe M. ,
  • 77', McWilliams S. 🟨,
  • 80', McWilliams S. , Ayres J. ,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Leake J. (Own goal),
  • 90+1', 3 - 2, James R. ,
  • 90+2', Hugill J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Rotherham United
44.4%
Draw
26.3%
Oldham Athletic
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 26.5% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 27.5% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Rotherham United - Oldham Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.04)
    3.55
    (3.47)
    3.18
    (3.24)
    7.3%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Rotherham United - Oldham Athletic?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Oldham will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rotherham: 58.6%97%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rotherham (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rotherham is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Oldham is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Oldham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Rotherham will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 4:1.5).
    Latest results of Rotherham United
    Latest results of Oldham Athletic
    English EFL Trophy Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWLLPts
    1Salford220005:16
    2Stockport County210016:63
    3Wolves U21210015:63
    4Wigan200021:40


    Group 2
    PlWWLLPts
    1Tranmere211004:35
    2Blackpool110005:03
    3Nottingham U21100102:21
    4Barrow200021:70


    Group 3
    PlWWLLPts
    1Doncaster220005:16
    2Bradford City110002:13
    3Everton U21100011:20
    4Grimsby200021:50


    Group 4
    PlWWLLPts
    1Lincoln220006:06
    2Notts Co210012:43
    3Barnsley100011:20
    4Manchester Utd U21100010:30


    Group 5
    PlWWLLPts
    1Bolton220004:06
    2Manchester City U21210015:43
    3Rotherham210013:33
    4Oldham200023:80


    Group 6
    PlWWLLPts
    1Harrogate220002:06
    2Huddersfield210016:33
    3Mansfield100010:10
    4Newcastle Utd U21100012:60


    Group 7
    PlWWLLPts
    1Port Vale220006:16
    2Fleetwood211006:25
    3Accrington200112:41
    4Leeds U21200021:80


    Group 8
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crewe110007:13
    2Burton210012:13
    3Chesterfield210012:73
    4Liverpool U21100010:20


    Group 9
    PlWWLLPts
    1Arsenal U21110002:13
    2Newport210012:23
    3Cardiff210011:13
    4Exeter100010:10


    Group 10
    PlWWLLPts
    1Plymouth220008:26
    2Bristol Rovers211005:45
    3Tottenham U21200116:101
    4Cheltenham200020:30


    Group 11
    PlWWLLPts
    1Northampton220004:06
    2Walsall210013:23
    3Shrewsbury210014:43
    4Chelsea U21200021:60


    Group 12
    PlWWLLPts
    1Reading320016:46
    2West Ham U21210016:43
    3Swindon110003:23
    4MK Dons200021:60


    Group 13
    PlWWLLPts
    1Stevenage220007:26
    2AFC Wimbledon210014:63
    3Bromley201014:52
    4Crystal Palace U21200114:61


    Group 14
    PlWWLLPts
    1Leyton Orient220005:26
    2Crawley210015:43
    3Peterborough210015:53
    4Aston Villa U21200024:80


    Group 15
    PlWWLLPts
    1Colchester220004:26
    2Gillingham210015:33
    3Wycombe210014:33
    4Fulham U21200022:70


    Group 16
    PlWWLLPts
    1Cambridge Utd110003:13
    2Luton210015:43
    3Barnet201012:52
    4Brighton U21100101:11