Mercadal vs Rotlet Molinar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
11/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)

Chances of winning


Mercadal
53.4%
Draw
26%
Rotlet Molinar
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 29.8% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 29.3% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mercadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mercadal's performance.
  • Rotlet Molinar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rotlet Molinar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mercadal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotlet Molinar than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Mercadal - Rotlet Molinar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (2.04)
    3.5
    (3.03)
    4.45
    (3.47)
    9.6%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mercadal - Rotlet Molinar?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Rotlet Molinar (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rotlet Molinar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In recent matches, Mercadal has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rotlet Molinar's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Rotlet Molinar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Mercadal could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mercadal won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mercadal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mercadal - Rotlet Molinar were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Rotlet Molinar - Mercadal 0:0
    Latest results of Mercadal
    08.03.2026 Mercadal - Binissalem 0:0
    04.03.2026 Collerense - Mercadal 1:0
    28.02.2026 Felanitx - Mercadal 1:1
    22.02.2026 Mercadal - Peña Deportiva 0:1
    25.01.2026 Mercadal - Santanyí 1:0
    Latest results of Rotlet Molinar
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mallorca B30235287:206774
    2Manacor30234364:313373
    3Pena Deportiva30187557:263161
    4Constancia291541047:262149
    5Llosetense29147848:351349
    6Inter Ibiza301451139:37247
    7Formentera301112734:231145
    8Mercadal281341125:25043
    9Cardassar301071332:50-1837
    10Binissalem30991223:31-836
    11Santanyi301061437:52-1536
    12Platges de Calvia291051433:37-435
    13Son Cladera301041636:50-1434
    14Alcudia301031730:56-2633
    15Portmany30841822:45-2328
    16Felanitx294111426:44-1823
    17Collerense304101634:55-2122
    18Rotlet Molinar30471928:59-3119

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation