Result
1:0
25/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 19
Chances of winning
Mercadal
57.9% | Draw
25.9% | Santanyí
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mercadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mercadal's performance.Santanyí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santanyí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mercadal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santanyí than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santanyí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mercadal - Santanyí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(2.04) |
3.5 ↑
(2.93) |
5.61 ↑
(3.67) |
10.2%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercadal won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Mercadal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mercadal is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mercadal won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mercadal won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mercadal won against Santanyí?
Mercadal has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santanyí won against Mercadal?
Santanyí has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mercadal - Santanyí were as follows:
13.09.2025
Santanyí
-
Mercadal
3:0
19.01.2025
Mercadal
-
Santanyí
3:2
06.04.2024
Santanyí
-
Mercadal
1:0
18.11.2023
Mercadal
-
Santanyí
2:1
23.04.2023
Mercadal
-
Santanyí
1:0
Latest results of Mercadal
Latest results of Santanyí
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mallorca B | 32 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 97:21 | 76 | 80 |
| 2 | Manacor | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 68:34 | 34 | 76 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 66:28 | 38 | 65 |
| 4 | Constancia | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 56:28 | 28 | 56 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 56:38 | 18 | 54 |
| 6 | Inter Ibiza | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 50 |
| 7 | Formentera | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 35:26 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 28:36 | -8 | 46 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 34:51 | -17 | 41 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Santanyi | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 40:55 | -15 | 38 |
| 12 | Binissalem | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 37 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 34:58 | -24 | 37 |
| 14 | Son Cladera | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 37:58 | -21 | 35 |
| 15 | Portmany | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 24:47 | -23 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 39:61 | -22 | 25 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 32 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 27:57 | -30 | 23 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32:66 | -34 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
