Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
31/08/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 8
  • Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
32
Yellow Cards
30
Total shots
810
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
65
Corner Kicks
32
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1514
Throw-ins
2021
Fouls
105
Goalkeeper Saves
30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, Pisek J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Szwoch M. , Ventura D. ,
  • 61', Bala T. , Kolar M. ,
  • 69', Losada M. 🟨,
  • 69', Kruszelnicki P. , Sadlocha K. ,
  • 72', Losada M. , Odolak K. ,
  • 76', Nagamatsu S. , Sobeczko J. ,
  • 76', Szwedzik P. , Zurawski M. ,
  • 80', Domanski M. , Niedzwiedz N. ,
  • 80', Puerto I. , Kwiatkowski P. ,
  • 82', Preisler D. , Karasinski S. ,
  • 84', 2 - 0, Odolak K. , Sadlocha K. (A),
  • 87', 2 - 1, Kolar M. ,
  • 89', Gerbowski F. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Karasinski S. ,

Chances of winning


Stal Mielec
33.2%
Draw
27.9%
Ruch Chorzów
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 28.6% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 27.6% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Stal Mielec - Ruch Chorzów Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.68)
    3.32
    (3.25)
    2.37
    (2.52)
    8%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Ruch Chorzów?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Ruch Chorzów (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ruch Chorzów (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 12 and 14)
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Ruch Chorzów were as follows:
    10.03.2024 Stal Mielec - Ruch Chorzów 3:1
    01.09.2023 Ruch Chorzów - Stal Mielec 1:1
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Latest results of Ruch Chorzów
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla23147254:193549
    2Polonia Warszawa23117539:32740
    3Grodzisk M23109441:301139
    4Chrobry Glogow23115732:221038
    5Wieczysta Krakow23107648:351337
    6Slask Wroclaw23107642:37537
    7Polonia Bytom23105838:30835
    8Legnica23105839:39035
    9S. Rzeszow23105835:36-135
    10Ruch Chorzow2397735:33234
    11LKS Lodz2396834:35-133
    12Puszcza23610729:30-128
    13Pogon Siedlce2369825:25027
    14Odra Opole2368921:29-826
    15Pruszkow23551324:45-2120
    16Stal Mielec23451427:48-2117
    17Leczna232101126:42-1616
    18Tychy23351528:50-2214

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2