Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Stal Mielec - Ruch Chorzów
Result
2:2
31/08/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 8
  • Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
32
Yellow Cards
30
Total shots
810
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
65
Corner Kicks
32
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1514
Throw-ins
2021
Fouls
105
Goalkeeper Saves
30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, Pisek J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Szwoch M. , Ventura D. ,
  • 61', Bala T. , Kolar M. ,
  • 69', Losada M. 🟨,
  • 69', Kruszelnicki P. , Sadlocha K. ,
  • 72', Losada M. , Odolak K. ,
  • 76', Nagamatsu S. , Sobeczko J. ,
  • 76', Szwedzik P. , Zurawski M. ,
  • 80', Domanski M. , Niedzwiedz N. ,
  • 80', Puerto I. , Kwiatkowski P. ,
  • 82', Preisler D. , Karasinski S. ,
  • 84', 2 - 0, Odolak K. , Sadlocha K. (A),
  • 87', 2 - 1, Kolar M. ,
  • 89', Gerbowski F. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Karasinski S. ,

Chances of winning


Stal Mielec
33.2%
Draw
27.9%
Ruch Chorzów
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 28.6% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 27.6% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Stal Mielec - Ruch Chorzów Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.68)
    3.32
    (3.25)
    2.37
    (2.52)
    8%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Ruch Chorzów?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 12 and 14)
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Ruch Chorzów were as follows:
    10.03.2024 Stal Mielec - Ruch Chorzów 3:1
    01.09.2023 Ruch Chorzów - Stal Mielec 1:1
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Latest results of Ruch Chorzów
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla760128:72118
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow742118:9914
    3Slask Wroclaw842213:13014
    4Polonia Bytom841312:11113
    5Pogon Siedlce83328:5312
    6Polonia Warszawa833214:14012
    7Grodzisk M832315:12311
    8LKS Lodz832313:12111
    9Tychy832314:14011
    10S. Rzeszow832313:13011
    11Stal Mielec832312:17-511
    12Chrobry Glogow824211:9210
    13Ruch Chorzow824211:10110
    14Legnica831413:17-410
    15Odra Opole82336:10-49
    16Puszcza80627:9-26
    17Leczna80539:17-85
    18Pruszkow81078:26-183

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2