Result
2:3
22/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Chances of winning
Bugesera 45.8% | Draw 30.8% | Rutsiro 23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bugesera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Rutsiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rutsiro than the current prediction. (+1%)
Bugesera - Rutsiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2 ↓ (2.07) |
2.97 ↑ (2.9) |
3.89 ↑ (3.68) |
9.6% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 1.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Recently, Rutsiro has had a series of away games.
- Bugesera might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bugesera won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bugesera won against Rutsiro?
Bugesera has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rutsiro won against Bugesera?
Rutsiro has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bugesera - Rutsiro were as follows:
20.04.2025
Rutsiro
-
Bugesera
4:2
15.09.2024
Bugesera
-
Rutsiro
2:3
17.02.2023
Bugesera
-
Rutsiro
3:0
21.12.2022
Rutsiro
-
Bugesera
2:1
Latest results of Bugesera
Latest results of Rutsiro
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 50:16 | 34 | 45 |
| 2 | APR | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:17 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Police | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | Rayon Sport | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 6 | Mukura Victory Sports | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Kiyovu | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 33 |
| 8 | Musanze | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Marines | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 28 |
| 10 | Bugesera | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Gasogi United | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 17:26 | -9 | 25 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:38 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | AS Kigali | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Gorilla | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Etincelles | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Rutsiro | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 18 |
| 17 | Amagaju | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 9:27 | -18 | 18 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13:28 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation