Result
2:2
18/12/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- I Liqa - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Bagirov S. ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 1, Agalarov S. ⚽,
- 35', 2 - 1, Voronsov R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 69', 2 - 2, Haziyev B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Shahdag Qusar
17% | Draw
23.3% | Səbail
59.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shahdag Qusar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Səbail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shahdag Qusar than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Səbail could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Shahdag Qusar - Səbail Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.3 ↓
(6.4) |
3.86 ↓
(3.95) |
1.51 ↑
(1.45) |
11.1%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
- Recent form of Shahdag has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Səbail has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Səbail may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Səbail has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Səbail is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shahdag won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Shahdag Qusar won against Səbail?
Shahdag Qusar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Səbail won against Shahdag Qusar?
Səbail has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shahdag Qusar - Səbail were as follows:
24.09.2025
Səbail
-
Shahdag Qusar
2:0
Latest results of Shahdag Qusar
Azerbaijan First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Safa Baku ✔ | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 50:19 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | Sabail | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 42:17 | 25 | 46 |
| 3 | Mingachevir | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 48:23 | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Baku Sporting | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 42 |
| 5 | Sahdag Qusar | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 38 |
| 6 | MOIK Baku | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:36 | -9 | 29 |
| 7 | Zaqatala | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 25:37 | -12 | 25 |
| 8 | Cebrayil | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 36:49 | -13 | 24 |
| 9 | Shimal | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19:57 | -38 | 16 |
| 10 | Difai Agsu | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 27:56 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
I Liqa (Relegation)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Safa Baku is Qualified for Premier League
