Result
0:0
07/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 23
- Referee: Behrens K. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Croatia | SportKlub 9 |
Germany | Magenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, SR Fernsehen |
Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Bormuth R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Kamara A. 🟨,
- 60', Fabisch J. 🟨,
- 76', Kamara A. ↓, Elongo-Yombo R. ↑,
- 78', Bar M. ↓, Guttau J. ↑,
- 84', Clausen M. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,
- 85', Baumann D. ↓, Schmidt P. ↑,
- 85', Krahn E. ↓, Vasiliadis S. ↑,
- 88', Stefaniak M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Pick F. ↓, Civeja T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Erzgebirge Aue 31.4% | Draw 26.6% | Saarbrücken 42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)The chances for Saarbrücken have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Erzgebirge Aue - Saarbrücken Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.96 ↑ (2.88) |
3.5 ↓ (3.6) |
2.22 ↑ (2.21) |
7.4% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Saarbrücken?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Saarbrücken will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Saarbrücken may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Saarbrücken?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saarbrücken won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Saarbrücken has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Saarbrücken were as follows:
30.08.2025
Saarbrücken
-
Erzgebirge Aue
4:1
08.04.2025
Saarbrücken
-
Erzgebirge Aue
2:0
02.11.2024
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Saarbrücken
1:1
09.03.2024
Saarbrücken
-
Erzgebirge Aue
2:0
07.10.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Saarbrücken
2:0
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
Latest results of Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 49:26 | 23 | 58 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 54:43 | 11 | 53 |
| 3 | RW Essen | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 59:48 | 11 | 52 |
| 4 | Verl | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 67:41 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Duisburg | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 52:40 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 52:32 | 20 | 50 |
| 7 | Munich 1860 | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:37 | 8 | 49 |
| 8 | Wehen | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 42:32 | 10 | 48 |
| 9 | Mannheim | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 47:53 | -6 | 42 |
| 10 | Alemannia Aachen | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 51:50 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Ingolstadt | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 49:39 | 10 | 40 |
| 12 | Viktoria Koln | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 40:39 | 1 | 38 |
| 13 | Stuttgart II | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 |
| 14 | Regensburg | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim II | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 53:53 | 0 | 35 |
| 16 | Saarbrucken | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 40:43 | -3 | 33 |
| 17 | Aue | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 33:52 | -19 | 24 |
| 18 | Ulm | 29 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 38:61 | -23 | 24 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 41:64 | -23 | 23 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 29 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 26:68 | -42 | 14 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation