Result
4:1
30/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 4
- Referee: Exuzidis L. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 8 |
 Germany | Magenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, SR Fernsehen, SWR Fernsehen |
 Serbia | SportKlub 8 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 28', Krahn E. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Brunker K. ⚽, Pick F. (A),
- 34', 2 - 0, Pick F. ⚽, Elongo-Yombo R. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Weinhauer E. ↓, Schmid M. ↑,
- 46', Majetschak E. ↓, Clausen M. ↑,
- 50', Rizzuto C. 🟨,
- 63', Uhlmann E. 🟨,
- 64', Brunker K. 🟨,
- 69', Pick F. 🟨,
- 69', Mannel M. 🟨,
- 71', Fallmann P. ↓, Barylla A. ↑,
- 71', Gunther-Schmidt J. ↓, Guttau J. ↑,
- 74', Krahn E. ↓, Zeitz M. ↑,
- 74', Rizzuto C. ↓, Fahrner P. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Schmid M. ⚽, Simnica L. (A),
- 82', Clausen M. 🟨,
- 85', 3 - 1, Pick F. ⚽, Elongo-Yombo R. (A),
- 86', Simnica L. ↓, Seiffert M. ↑,
- 89', 4 - 1, Elongo-Yombo R. ⚽, Pick F. (A),
- 90', Pick F. ↓, Civeja T. ↑,
- 90+3', Elongo-Yombo R. ↓, Wollschlager L. ↑,
- 90+3', Brunker K. ↓, Schmidt P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Saarbrücken
51.1% | Draw
24.4% | Erzgebirge Aue
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)The ML Model estimate for Saarbrücken aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(1.86) |
3.79 ↓
(3.93) |
3.77 ↑
(3.5) |
7.5%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue?
Users Predictions:
Saarbrücken will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saarbrücken won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Saarbrücken is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Saarbrücken won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Saarbrücken won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Saarbrücken won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Saarbrücken has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Saarbrücken?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
08.04.2025
Saarbrücken
-
Erzgebirge Aue
2:0
02.11.2024
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Saarbrücken
1:1
09.03.2024
Saarbrücken
-
Erzgebirge Aue
2:0
07.10.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Saarbrücken
2:0
26.02.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Saarbrücken
2:1
Latest results of Saarbrücken
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Duisburg | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Saarbrucken | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Cottbus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim II | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | RW Essen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | VfL Osnabruck | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Verl | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:12 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Viktoria Koln | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | Wehen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 10 | Munich 1860 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Stuttgart II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Ulm | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Hansa Rostock | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Ingolstadt | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 7 |
| 15 | Mannheim | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Alemannia Aachen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 17 | Regensburg | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Aue | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 4 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 3 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:15 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
