Result
4:1
30/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 4
- Referee: Exuzidis L. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Croatia | SportKlub 8 |
Germany | Magenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, SR Fernsehen, SWR Fernsehen |
Serbia | SportKlub 8 |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 8 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 3 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 16 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 11 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
7 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 28', Krahn E. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Brunker K. ⚽, Pick F. (A),
- 34', 2 - 0, Pick F. ⚽, Elongo-Yombo R. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Weinhauer E. ↓, Schmid M. ↑,
- 46', Majetschak E. ↓, Clausen M. ↑,
- 50', Rizzuto C. 🟨,
- 63', Uhlmann E. 🟨,
- 64', Brunker K. 🟨,
- 69', Pick F. 🟨,
- 69', Mannel M. 🟨,
- 71', Fallmann P. ↓, Barylla A. ↑,
- 71', Gunther-Schmidt J. ↓, Guttau J. ↑,
- 74', Krahn E. ↓, Zeitz M. ↑,
- 74', Rizzuto C. ↓, Fahrner P. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Schmid M. ⚽, Simnica L. (A),
- 82', Clausen M. 🟨,
- 85', 3 - 1, Pick F. ⚽, Elongo-Yombo R. (A),
- 86', Simnica L. ↓, Seiffert M. ↑,
- 89', 4 - 1, Elongo-Yombo R. ⚽, Pick F. (A),
- 90', Pick F. ↓, Civeja T. ↑,
- 90+3', Elongo-Yombo R. ↓, Wollschlager L. ↑,
- 90+3', Brunker K. ↓, Schmidt P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Saarbrücken 51.1% | Draw 24.4% | Erzgebirge Aue 24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)The ML Model estimate for Saarbrücken aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.83 ↓ (1.86) |
3.79 ↓ (3.93) |
3.77 ↑ (3.5) |
7.5% (7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue?
Users Predictions:
Saarbrücken will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saarbrücken won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Saarbrücken is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Saarbrücken won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Saarbrücken won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Saarbrücken won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Saarbrücken has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Saarbrücken?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
08.04.2025
Saarbrücken
-
Erzgebirge Aue
2:0
02.11.2024
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Saarbrücken
1:1
09.03.2024
Saarbrücken
-
Erzgebirge Aue
2:0
07.10.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Saarbrücken
2:0
26.02.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Saarbrücken
2:1
Latest results of Saarbrücken
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Duisburg | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 12 |
2 | Hoffenheim II | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 10 |
3 | Munich 1860 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
4 | Wehen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
5 | Saarbrucken | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
6 | Mannheim | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
7 | VfL Osnabruck | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | Viktoria Koln | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
9 | RW Essen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Stuttgart II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
11 | Hansa Rostock | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
12 | Cottbus | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
13 | Regensburg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
14 | Alemannia Aachen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
15 | Aue | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
16 | Verl | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 3 |
17 | Ingolstadt | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
18 | Ulm | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
19 | TSV Havelse | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
20 | Schweinfurt | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation