Result
1:3
13/12/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
- Referee: Aghayev A. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Mickels J. ⚽,
- 43', Ygor Nogueira 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Nacafov K. ↓, Sadykhov R. ↑,
- 46', Souza Alex ↓, Guseynov A. ↑,
- 54', Aliyev K. 🟨,
- 66', Aliyev K. ↓, Parris K. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 2, Simic V. ⚽,
- 76', Miller R. ↓, Ozobic F. ↑,
- 78', Zedadka A. ↓, Seydiyev A. ↑,
- 79', 0 - 3, Rakhmonaliyev U. ⚽,
- 80', Seydiyev A. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 3, Ozobic F. ⚽,
- 83', Malouda A. 🟨,
- 89', Henrique 🟨,
- 90', Rakhmonaliyev U. ↓, Khaybulaev A. ↑,
- 90', Malouda A. ↓, Guliev A. ↑,
- 90+3', Lepinjica I. 🟨,
- 90+4', Pokatilov S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Turan Tovuz
19.1% | Draw
26.5% | Sabah
54.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Turan Tovuz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Turan Tovuz's form might have worsened.Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sabah's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turan Tovuz than the current prediction. (+15%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Turan Tovuz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (-16.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sabah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Turan Tovuz - Sabah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.55 ↑
(2.69) |
4.73 ↑
(3.27) |
2.31 ↓
(2.4) |
-20.2%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Turan Tovuz - Sabah?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Turan will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sabah will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Turan won 1.
- Recent performances by Turan have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sabah is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Turan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Turan has had a series of away games.
- Sabah is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Turan won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Turan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Turan Tovuz won against Sabah?
Turan Tovuz has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sabah won against Turan Tovuz?
Sabah has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Turan Tovuz - Sabah were as follows:
20.09.2025
Sabah
-
Turan Tovuz
2:0
12.04.2025
Turan Tovuz
-
Sabah
2:1
09.02.2025
Sabah
-
Turan Tovuz
2:1
03.12.2024
Turan Tovuz
-
Sabah
2:3
24.11.2024
Turan Tovuz
-
Sabah
1:1
Latest results of Turan Tovuz
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 60:17 | 43 | 62 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 48:18 | 30 | 52 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 32:17 | 15 | 48 |
| 4 | Zira | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Araz | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:43 | -9 | 39 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 37 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 30 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 22 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 21:48 | -27 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 23:42 | -19 | 16 |
| 12 | Karvan | 25 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 16:49 | -33 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
