Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
117:130
20/01/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
8798
Field goals made
4447
Field goals %
50.57%47.96%
2-point field goals attempts
5756
2-point field goals made
3326
2-point field goals %
57.89%46.43%
3-point field goals attempts
3042
3-point field goals made
1121
3-point field goals %
36.67%50%
Free throws attempts
2124
Free throws made
1815
Free throws %
85.7%62.5%
Offensive rebounds
812
Defensive rebounds
4134
Total rebounds
4946
Assists
2733
Blocks
42
Turnovers
1610
Steals
66
Personal fouls
2013
Technical fouls
20

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sacramento Kings
39.3%
Miami Heat
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 59.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sacramento Kings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sacramento Kings's form might have worsened.
  • Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miami Heat's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Kings than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Sacramento Kings - Miami Heat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.12)

    1.58
    (1.72)
    4.1%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 238.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    What is the prediction for Sacramento Kings - Miami Heat?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sacramento will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Miami will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sacramento (votes: 1 - 50%). Miami (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +2.5, OT - Sacramento (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • H/A, 1st Half - Miami (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Sacramento (votes: 3 - 60%). Miami (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 117:121.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento won 3.
    • Sacramento is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Miami has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Sacramento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Sacramento has had a series of home games.
    • Miami is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sacramento: Ellis K. (Knee Injury) Murray K. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Miami: Herro T. (Toe Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Miami: Jaquez Jr. J. (Knee Injury) Mitchell D. (Shoulder Injury)
    • We predict that Sacramento will win today's game, with odds of 2.37.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sacramento won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2123:2123. (average 106.2:106.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1134:1114. (average 103.1:101.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Kings - Miami Heat were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Miami Heat - Sacramento Kings 111:127
    06.01.2025 Sacramento Kings - Miami Heat 123:118
    04.11.2024 Miami Heat - Sacramento Kings 110:111
    07.07.2024 Sacramento Kings - Miami Heat 86:102
    26.02.2024 Sacramento Kings - Miami Heat 110:121
    Latest results of Sacramento Kings
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    15.01.2026 Miami Heat - Boston Celtics 114:119
    13.01.2026 Miami Heat - Phoenix Suns 127:121
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 7963169422:84740.797
    2San Antonio Spurs ✔ 7960199457:87960.759
    3Denver Nuggets ✔ 7951289619:92440.646
    4Houston Rockets ✔ 7950299072:86820.633
    5Los Angeles Lakers ✔ 7950299189:91130.633
    6Minnesota Timberwolves ✔ 7947329288:90110.595
    7Phoenix Suns ✔ 7943368912:88010.544
    8Los Angeles Clippers ✔ 7941389007:88820.519
    9Portland Trail Blazers ✔ 7940399130:91740.506
    10Golden State Warriors ✔ 7937429067:90860.468
    11New Orleans Pelicans8026549229:95660.325
    12Memphis Grizzlies7925549082:94810.316
    13Dallas Mavericks7925548982:94310.316
    14Utah Jazz8021599388:101010.263
    15Sacramento Kings8021598868:96820.263


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons ✔ 7957229269:86560.722
    2Boston Celtics ✔ 7954259055:84490.684
    3New York Knicks ✔ 7951289229:87190.646
    4Cleveland Cavaliers ✔ 7950299447:91070.633
    5Atlanta Hawks7945349357:91490.570
    6Toronto Raptors7944359041:88410.557
    7Orlando Magic7943369124:91030.544
    8Philadelphia 76ers7943369169:92040.544
    9Charlotte Hornets8043379303:89030.538
    10Miami Heat ✔ 7941389514:93580.519
    11Milwaukee Bucks7931488730:92100.392
    12Chicago Bulls7930499187:95800.380
    13Brooklyn Nets7920598383:91210.253
    14Indiana Pacers7918618881:95420.228
    15Washington Wizards7917628916:98510.215

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Antonio Spurs is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Denver Nuggets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Houston Rockets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles Lakers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota Timberwolves is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Phoenix Suns is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Los Angeles Clippers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Portland Trail Blazers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Golden State Warriors is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Detroit Pistons is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boston Celtics is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York Knicks is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Cleveland Cavaliers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Miami Heat is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )