Sacramento Republic vs Lexington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/07/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Heart Health Park (Sacramento, CA).

USL Championship
Referee: Dickerson J. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	0.37
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
20	8
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
10	2
Passes
86% (426/494)	78% (275/352)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	0.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.80	0.15
Total shots
20	8
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
10	2
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
12	4
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
10	2
Touches in opposition box
22	11
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
12	14
Passes
86% (426/494)	78% (275/352)
Long passes
54% (21/39)	25% (15/59)
Passes in final third
73% (91/124)	62% (54/87)
Crosses
24% (9/37)	33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.76	0.47
Throw-ins
26	12
Fouls
14	12
Tackles
58% (11/19)	50% (3/6)
Duels won
55	36
Clearances
13	30
Interceptions
3	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	6
xGOT faced
0.15	0.80
Goals prevented
0.15	0.80

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Wu D. 🟨,
37', Wu D. 🟨,
41', Nick Firmino ↓, Burks K. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Midence A. ↓, Gilbert G. ↑,
67', Lopez R. ↓, Parano C. ↑,
78', Kleemann F. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
78', Willey B. ↓, Wanner D. ↑,
78', Epps M. ↓, Olney C. ↑,
90+2', Parano C. 🟨,
90+3', Gurr J. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
90+3', Herrera J. ↓, Amann T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Sacramento Republic
53%

Draw
27%

Lexington
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

25.1%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

27.2%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sacramento Republic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Sacramento Republic - Lexington Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.71)	3.42 ↓ (3.69)	4.61 ↑ (4.49)	8.5% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
Sacramento Republic has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Lexington is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of away games.
In this match, Sacramento Republic is the team to beat.
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Lexington?

Sacramento Republic has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Sacramento Republic?

Lexington has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Lexington were as follows:

Latest results of Sacramento Republic

12.07.2025 Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive 3:0 ✺

04.07.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺

21.06.2025 Rhode Island - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺

18.06.2025 Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic 1:0 ✺

14.06.2025 Sacramento Republic - San Antonio 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Lexington

12.07.2025 Miami - Lexington 1:1 ✺

04.07.2025 Phoenix Rising - Lexington 0:1 ✺

20.06.2025 Lexington - Colorado Springs Switchbacks 2:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Lexington - New Mexico United 2:1 ✺

07.06.2025 Monterey Bay - Lexington 2:1 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City	19	13	5	1	38:15	23	44
2	Charleston	19	13	2	4	39:20	19	41
3	North Carolina	18	9	2	7	28:25	3	29
4	Loudoun	19	8	4	7	28:27	1	28
5	Pittsburgh	19	7	6	6	18:16	2	27
6	Detroit	19	6	6	7	21:23	-2	24
7	Hartford Athletic	18	6	4	8	25:22	3	22
8	Rhode Island	20	5	6	9	15:20	-5	21
9	Indy Eleven	18	5	5	8	27:32	-5	20
10	Miami FC	19	5	5	9	17:27	-10	20
11	Birmingham	20	4	7	9	23:32	-9	19
12	Tampa Bay	18	5	2	11	21:28	-7	17

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	19	11	5	3	35:22	13	38
2	Sacramento Republic	18	8	6	4	26:13	13	30
3	San Antonio	18	8	4	6	25:25	0	28
4	El Paso	18	7	6	5	30:25	5	27
5	New Mexico	17	8	1	8	24:26	-2	25
6	Orange County SC	17	7	3	7	27:24	3	24
7	Colorado Springs	18	6	6	6	24:24	0	24
8	Phoenix Rising	19	6	6	7	30:35	-5	24
9	Monterey Bay	20	6	4	10	21:27	-6	22
10	Lexington	19	5	7	7	20:26	-6	22
11	Oakland Roots	18	6	2	10	20:27	-7	20
12	Las Vegas Lights	19	5	4	10	14:35	-21	19

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )