Result
2:2
17/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Snyder T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (476/534) | 88% (381/434) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 2.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (476/534) | 88% (381/434) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (21/42) | 31% (10/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (93/123) | 84% (135/161) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 37% (11/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 2.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.44 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Burke C. ⚽, Epps M. (A),
- 5', Burke C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Ross N. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 46', Willey B. ↓, Portillo J. J. ↑,
- 56', Midence A. ↓, Zengue X. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 0, Epps M. ⚽, Ferri B. (A),
- 66', Jamieson L. 🟨,
- 73', Blessing L. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
- 73', Epps M. ↓, Gilbert G. ↑,
- 75', Jamieson L. ↓, Bennett K. ↑,
- 75', Benitez M. ↓, Spaulding R. ↑,
- 80', Burke C. ↓, Ajago F. ↑,
- 80', Rodrigues B. P. ↓, Adedokun M. ↑,
- 80', Wanner D. ↓, Baker C. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Parano C. ⚽, Lopez R. (A),
- 89', Herrera J. 🟨,
- 89', Burks K. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Herrera J. ⚽, Gurr J. (A),
Chances of winning
Lexington
37.1% | Draw
29.7% | Sacramento Republic
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Lexington - Sacramento Republic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↓
(2.61) |
3.14 ↑
(3.05) |
2.8 ↑
(2.76) |
7.5%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lexington - Sacramento Republic?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sacramento Republic (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
- Lexington has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sacramento Republic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Sacramento Republic?
Lexington has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Lexington?
Sacramento Republic has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
19.07.2025
Sacramento Republic
-
Lexington
0:0
Latest results of Lexington
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
USL Championship Table
MainEastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
