Sacramento Republic vs Lexington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/07/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Heart Health Park (Sacramento, CA).

USL Championship
Referee: Dickerson J. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	0.37
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
20	8
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
10	2
Passes
86% (426/494)	78% (275/352)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	0.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.80	0.15
Total shots
20	8
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
10	2
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
12	4
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
10	2
Touches in opposition box
22	11
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
12	14
Passes
86% (426/494)	78% (275/352)
Long passes
54% (21/39)	25% (15/59)
Passes in final third
73% (91/124)	62% (54/87)
Crosses
24% (9/37)	33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.76	0.47
Throw-ins
26	12
Fouls
14	12
Tackles
58% (11/19)	50% (3/6)
Duels won
55	36
Clearances
13	30
Interceptions
3	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	6
xGOT faced
0.15	0.80
Goals prevented
0.15	0.80

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Wu D. 🟨,
37', Wu D. 🟨,
41', Nick Firmino ↓, Burks K. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Midence A. ↓, Gilbert G. ↑,
67', Lopez R. ↓, Parano C. ↑,
78', Kleemann F. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
78', Willey B. ↓, Wanner D. ↑,
78', Epps M. ↓, Olney C. ↑,
90+2', Parano C. 🟨,
90+3', Gurr J. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
90+3', Herrera J. ↓, Amann T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Sacramento Republic
53%

Draw
27%

Lexington
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

25.1%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

27.2%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sacramento Republic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Sacramento Republic - Lexington Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.71)	3.42 ↓ (3.69)	4.61 ↑ (4.49)	8.5% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
Sacramento Republic has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Lexington is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of away games.
In this match, Sacramento Republic is the team to beat.
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Lexington?

Sacramento Republic has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Sacramento Republic?

Lexington has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Lexington were as follows:

Latest results of Sacramento Republic

12.07.2025 Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive 3:0 ✺

04.07.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺

21.06.2025 Rhode Island - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺

18.06.2025 Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic 1:0 ✺

14.06.2025 Sacramento Republic - San Antonio 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Lexington

12.07.2025 Miami - Lexington 1:1 ✺

04.07.2025 Phoenix Rising - Lexington 0:1 ✺

20.06.2025 Lexington - Colorado Springs Switchbacks 2:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Lexington - New Mexico United 2:1 ✺

07.06.2025 Monterey Bay - Lexington 2:1 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Charleston	18	13	2	3	38:16	22	41
2	Louisville City	17	11	5	1	30:13	17	38
3	Loudoun	17	8	3	6	26:24	2	27
4	North Carolina	16	8	2	6	25:20	5	26
5	Pittsburgh	16	6	4	6	14:14	0	22
6	Detroit	17	5	6	6	20:22	-2	21
7	Indy Eleven	16	5	5	6	26:28	-2	20
8	Miami FC	16	5	3	8	16:24	-8	18
9	Birmingham	18	4	6	8	19:25	-6	18
10	Rhode Island	17	4	5	8	14:18	-4	17
11	Tampa Bay	16	4	2	10	17:25	-8	14
12	Hartford Athletic	15	3	4	8	15:21	-6	13

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	16	8	5	3	24:16	8	29
2	San Antonio	16	8	3	5	23:21	2	27
3	New Mexico	15	8	1	6	22:17	5	25
4	Sacramento Republic	16	6	6	4	22:12	10	24
5	Phoenix Rising	16	6	5	5	26:26	0	23
6	El Paso	16	6	5	5	24:25	-1	23
7	Monterey Bay	18	6	4	8	19:23	-4	22
8	Orange County SC	15	6	2	7	22:22	0	20
9	Oakland Roots	17	6	2	9	19:25	-6	20
10	Lexington	17	4	7	6	17:23	-6	19
11	Las Vegas Lights	17	5	3	9	13:28	-15	18
12	Colorado Springs	16	4	6	6	19:22	-3	18

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )