Lexington vs Sacramento Republic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Lexington - Sacramento Republic
Result
2:2
17/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Snyder T. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.842.01
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
89% (476/534)88% (381/434)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.842.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.592.44
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
714
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
12
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1938
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
127
Passes
89% (476/534)88% (381/434)
Long passes
50% (21/42)31% (10/32)
Passes in final third
76% (93/123)84% (135/161)
Crosses
7% (1/14)37% (11/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.862.27
Throw-ins
88
Fouls
712
Tackles
55% (6/11)82% (9/11)
Duels won
4141
Clearances
2917
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
2.441.59
Goals prevented
0.44-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Burke C. , Epps M. (A),
  • 5', Burke C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Ross N. , Lopez R. ,
  • 46', Willey B. , Portillo J. J. ,
  • 56', Midence A. , Zengue X. ,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Epps M. , Ferri B. (A),
  • 66', Jamieson L. 🟨,
  • 73', Blessing L. , Williams D. ,
  • 73', Epps M. , Gilbert G. ,
  • 75', Jamieson L. , Bennett K. ,
  • 75', Benitez M. , Spaulding R. ,
  • 80', Burke C. , Ajago F. ,
  • 80', Rodrigues B. P. , Adedokun M. ,
  • 80', Wanner D. , Baker C. ,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Parano C. , Lopez R. (A),
  • 89', Herrera J. 🟨,
  • 89', Burks K. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Herrera J. , Gurr J. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Lexington
37.1%
Draw
29.7%
Sacramento Republic
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 30.5% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 29.8% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Lexington - Sacramento Republic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.61)
    3.14
    (3.05)
    2.8
    (2.76)
    7.5%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Lexington - Sacramento Republic?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sacramento Republic (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    • Lexington has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sacramento Republic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
    19.07.2025 Sacramento Republic - Lexington 0:0
    Latest results of Lexington
    USL Championship Table
    Main

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City30227156:193773
    2Charleston30195662:323062
    3North Carolina301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh301281032:28444
    6Loudoun301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa30169550:302057
    2New Mexico301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

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