Result
2:2
17/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Snyder T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (476/534) | 88% (381/434) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 2.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (476/534) | 88% (381/434) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (21/42) | 31% (10/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (93/123) | 84% (135/161) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 37% (11/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 2.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.44 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Burke C. ⚽, Epps M. (A),
- 5', Burke C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Ross N. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 46', Willey B. ↓, Portillo J. J. ↑,
- 56', Midence A. ↓, Zengue X. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 0, Epps M. ⚽, Ferri B. (A),
- 66', Jamieson L. 🟨,
- 73', Blessing L. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
- 73', Epps M. ↓, Gilbert G. ↑,
- 75', Jamieson L. ↓, Bennett K. ↑,
- 75', Benitez M. ↓, Spaulding R. ↑,
- 80', Burke C. ↓, Ajago F. ↑,
- 80', Rodrigues B. P. ↓, Adedokun M. ↑,
- 80', Wanner D. ↓, Baker C. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Parano C. ⚽, Lopez R. (A),
- 89', Herrera J. 🟨,
- 89', Burks K. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Herrera J. ⚽, Gurr J. (A),
Chances of winning
Lexington
37.1% | Draw
29.7% | Sacramento Republic
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Lexington - Sacramento Republic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↓
(2.61) |
3.14 ↑
(3.05) |
2.8 ↑
(2.76) |
7.5%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lexington - Sacramento Republic?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sacramento Republic (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
- Lexington has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sacramento Republic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Sacramento Republic?
Lexington has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Lexington?
Sacramento Republic has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
19.07.2025
Sacramento Republic
-
Lexington
0:0
Latest results of Lexington
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Charleston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Tampa Bay | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Indy Eleven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Detroit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Miami FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Hartford Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Loudoun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Rhode Island | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Sporting Jax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Brooklyn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Orange County SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Oakland Roots | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Monterey Bay | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | El Paso | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Lexington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
