Result
0:1
04/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS, ESPN App, ESPN+, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (277/365) | 72% (178/246) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (277/365) | 72% (178/246) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (30/79) | 40% (25/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (67/114) | 61% (62/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Greene K. 🟨,
- 24', Desmond L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Njie B. 🟨,
- 48', 0 - 1, Cicerone R. (Pen),
- 53', Riley C. ↓, Armenakas P. ↑,
- 70', Sinisterra J. ↓, Johnson E. ↑,
- 70', Njie B. ↓, Rasmussen J. ↑,
- 72', Cicerone R. ↓, Willey B. ↑,
- 74', Benitez M. 🟨,
- 82', Parano C. ↓, Wanner D. ↑,
- 82', Lopez R. ↓, Ross N. ↑,
- 84', Luis Felipe 🟨,
- 86', Gibson T. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
- 86', Prentice W. ↓, Saldana L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oakland Roots
24.8% | Draw
27.3% | Sacramento Republic
47.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oakland Roots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oakland Roots's form might have worsened.Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sacramento Republic's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oakland Roots, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sacramento Republic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Oakland Roots - Sacramento Republic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.74 ↑
(2.62) |
3.38 ↑
(3.28) |
1.93 ↓
(2.48) |
8.1%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Oakland Roots - Sacramento Republic?
Users Predictions:
Sacramento Republic will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oakland Roots won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Sacramento Republic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sacramento Republic will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Oakland Roots won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oakland Roots won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Oakland Roots won against Sacramento Republic?
Oakland Roots has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Oakland Roots?
Sacramento Republic has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oakland Roots - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
21.07.2024
Oakland Roots
-
Sacramento Republic
2:5
15.06.2024
Sacramento Republic
-
Oakland Roots
2:3
02.09.2023
Oakland Roots
-
Sacramento Republic
0:1
20.05.2023
Sacramento Republic
-
Oakland Roots
3:1
27.08.2022
Sacramento Republic
-
Oakland Roots
1:0
Latest results of Oakland Roots
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34:14 | 20 | 41 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 17:15 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 27:31 | -4 | 20 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 19 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 17 |
| 11 | Rhode Island | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 27 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | El Paso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 30:33 | -3 | 24 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
| 11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13:34 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
