Result
3:3
16/08/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (284/351) | 90% (535/597) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 2.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (284/351) | 90% (535/597) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (20/45) | 57% (25/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (62/99) | 80% (125/157) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 13% (4/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 100% (9/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | -1.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Gomez D. ⚽,
- 18', 1 - 1, Lopez R. ⚽,
- 27', Byaruhanga B. 🟨,
- 31', Bennett K. 🟨,
- 34', 2 - 1, Parano C. ⚽,
- 38', Kleemann F. 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 2, Wilson P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 3 - 2, Cicerone R. ⚽,
- 55', Bravo J. ↓, Prentice W. ↑,
- 62', Desmond L. 🟨,
- 68', Bennett K. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
- 68', Lopez R. ↓, Ross N. ↑,
- 73', Bettache F. ↓, Trejo D. ↑,
- 81', 🟨,
- 82', 🟨,
- 83', 🟨,
- 88', 3 - 3, ⚽,
- 90+2', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sacramento Republic
59.1% | Draw
24.4% | Oakland Roots
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Oakland Roots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Sacramento Republic - Oakland Roots Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.51) |
3.79 ↓
(4) |
5.57 ↓
(5.95) |
8.4%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 4.
- Sacramento Republic has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Oakland Roots has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Oakland Roots may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Oakland Roots has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Sacramento Republic is the team to beat.
- We predict that Sacramento Republic will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Oakland Roots?
Sacramento Republic has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oakland Roots won against Sacramento Republic?
Oakland Roots has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Oakland Roots were as follows:
04.05.2025
Oakland Roots
-
Sacramento Republic
0:1
21.07.2024
Oakland Roots
-
Sacramento Republic
2:5
15.06.2024
Sacramento Republic
-
Oakland Roots
2:3
02.09.2023
Oakland Roots
-
Sacramento Republic
0:1
20.05.2023
Sacramento Republic
-
Oakland Roots
3:1
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
Latest results of Oakland Roots
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina ✔ | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh ✔ | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun ✔ | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico ✔ | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
