Result
1:4
30/06/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- JAPAN: J1 League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 606 | 446 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 512 | 342 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 117 | 99 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 36 | 31 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Togashi C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 46', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
- 57', Takamine T. ↓, Shirai E. ↑,
- 58', Yamada Y. ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Matheus Savio (Pen),
- 64', 1 - 2, Matheus Savio ⚽, Hosoya M. (A),
- 65', Tezuka K. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
- 66', Horigome Y. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 3, Kinoshita K. ⚽, Diego (A),
- 74', Togashi C. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
- 78', Kim Tae-Hyeon 🟨,
- 80', Hosoya M. ↓, Kumasawa K. ↑,
- 81', Ueebisu K. ↓, Araujo V. ↑,
- 81', Fukuta A. ↓, Fujita N. ↑,
- 89', Matheus Savio ↓, Mitsumaru H. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 4, Kinoshita K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sagan Tosu
25.5% | Draw
25.8% | Kashiwa Reysol
48.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Sagan Tosu - Kashiwa Reysol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.69 ↑
(3.36) |
3.64 ↑
(3.49) |
1.93 ↓
(2.06) |
6.5%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Kashiwa Reysol?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 19.5% – 68.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 16).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tosu won 1.
- Recent matches Tosu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Kashiwa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Kashiwa will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Tosu won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28-22.
- Including matches at home between the teams Tosu won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-12.
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Sagan Tosu has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Sagan Tosu?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
28.04.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Sagan Tosu
1:1
25.11.2023
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Sagan Tosu
2:2
15.04.2023
Sagan Tosu
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:1
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 64 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 43:27 | 16 | 60 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:34 | 22 | 59 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 32 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 47:33 | 14 | 57 |
| 5 | Machida | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 48:33 | 15 | 55 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 37:22 | 15 | 55 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 52 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 49 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 46:47 | -1 | 49 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 49:47 | 2 | 43 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 40 |
| 12 | Okayama | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 28:34 | -6 | 40 |
| 13 | FC Tokyo | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 35:45 | -10 | 40 |
| 14 | Verdy | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 21:35 | -14 | 39 |
| 15 | Avispa Fukuoka | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 31:37 | -6 | 37 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 36 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 21:36 | -15 | 31 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 29:54 | -25 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
