Result
1:4
30/06/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- JAPAN: J1 League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 606 | 446 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 512 | 342 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 117 | 99 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 36 | 31 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Togashi C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 46', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
- 57', Takamine T. ↓, Shirai E. ↑,
- 58', Yamada Y. ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Matheus Savio (Pen),
- 64', 1 - 2, Matheus Savio ⚽, Hosoya M. (A),
- 65', Tezuka K. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
- 66', Horigome Y. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 3, Kinoshita K. ⚽, Diego (A),
- 74', Togashi C. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
- 78', Kim Tae-Hyeon 🟨,
- 80', Hosoya M. ↓, Kumasawa K. ↑,
- 81', Ueebisu K. ↓, Araujo V. ↑,
- 81', Fukuta A. ↓, Fujita N. ↑,
- 89', Matheus Savio ↓, Mitsumaru H. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 4, Kinoshita K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sagan Tosu
25.5% | Draw
25.8% | Kashiwa Reysol
48.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Sagan Tosu - Kashiwa Reysol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.69 ↑
(3.36) |
3.64 ↑
(3.49) |
1.93 ↓
(2.06) |
6.5%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Kashiwa Reysol?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 19.5% – 68.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 16).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tosu won 1.
- Recent matches Tosu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Kashiwa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Kashiwa will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Tosu won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28-22.
- Including matches at home between the teams Tosu won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-12.
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Sagan Tosu has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Sagan Tosu?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
28.04.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Sagan Tosu
1:1
25.11.2023
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Sagan Tosu
2:2
15.04.2023
Sagan Tosu
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:1
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 55 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 54 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 52 |
| 5 | Machida | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:32 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 35:21 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 39:30 | 9 | 47 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 50:38 | 12 | 45 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 40 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 42:39 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Okayama | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Verdy | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Tokyo | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 31 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 29 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:35 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:47 | -21 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:36 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27:48 | -21 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
