Sagan Tosu vs Kashiwa Reysol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Sagan Tosu - Kashiwa Reysol
Result
1:4
30/06/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J1 League - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
1018
Shots on Goal
48
Shots off Goal
610
Free Kicks
816
Corner Kicks
91
Offsides
10
Goalkeeper Saves
43
Fouls
178
Yellow Cards
10
Total Passes
606446
Completed Passes
512342
Tackles
1514
Attacks
11799
Dangerous Attacks
3631
Clearances Completed
1318
Crosses Completed
82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Marcelo Ryan , Togashi C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 46', Koyamatsu T. , Kinoshita K. ,
  • 57', Takamine T. , Shirai E. ,
  • 58', Yamada Y. , Shimamura T. ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Matheus Savio (Pen),
  • 64', 1 - 2, Matheus Savio , Hosoya M. (A),
  • 65', Tezuka K. , Kawahara S. ,
  • 66', Horigome Y. , Yokoyama A. ,
  • 72', 1 - 3, Kinoshita K. , Diego (A),
  • 74', Togashi C. , Nakahara H. ,
  • 78', Kim Tae-Hyeon 🟨,
  • 80', Hosoya M. , Kumasawa K. ,
  • 81', Ueebisu K. , Araujo V. ,
  • 81', Fukuta A. , Fujita N. ,
  • 89', Matheus Savio , Mitsumaru H. ,
  • 90', 1 - 4, Kinoshita K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sagan Tosu
25.5%
Draw
25.8%
Kashiwa Reysol
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.9% 26.8% 45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5% 26.4% 45.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Sagan Tosu - Kashiwa Reysol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.69
    (3.36)
    3.64
    (3.49)
    1.93
    (2.06)
    6.5%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Kashiwa Reysol?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 19.5%68.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 16).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tosu won 1.
    • Recent matches Tosu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Kashiwa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Kashiwa will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Tosu won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28-22.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tosu won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-12.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
    28.04.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Sagan Tosu 1:1
    25.11.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Sagan Tosu 2:2
    15.04.2023 Sagan Tosu - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    26.06.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Sagan Tosu 1:0
    22.06.2024 Sagan Tosu - Kyoto Sanga 3:0
    12.06.2024 Sagan Tosu - Kochi United 2:1
    31.05.2024 Sagan Tosu - Tokyo 0:1
    Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers34206852:282466
    2Kashiwa Reysol341712553:332063
    3Kyoto341710758:362261
    4Vissel Kobe34187943:281561
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima34178939:231659
    6Kawasaki Frontale341511865:481756
    7Machida341681049:351456
    8Urawa Reds3414101040:36452
    9Gamba Osaka341551446:52-650
    10Cerezo Osaka3412101252:50246
    11FC Tokyo341191436:46-1042
    12Verdy341191422:35-1342
    13Avispa Fukuoka3410111332:37-541
    14Shimizu S-Pulse3410111338:44-641
    15Okayama341181530:37-741
    16Nagoya Grampus3410101442:50-840
    17Yokohama F. Marinos34971836:44-834
    18Yokohama FC34881823:39-1632
    19Shonan Bellmare34682029:58-2926
    20Albirex Niigata344102030:56-2622

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