Result
1:4
30/06/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- JAPAN: J1 League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 606 | 446 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 512 | 342 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 117 | 99 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 36 | 31 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Togashi C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 46', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
- 57', Takamine T. ↓, Shirai E. ↑,
- 58', Yamada Y. ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Matheus Savio (Pen),
- 64', 1 - 2, Matheus Savio ⚽, Hosoya M. (A),
- 65', Tezuka K. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
- 66', Horigome Y. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 3, Kinoshita K. ⚽, Diego (A),
- 74', Togashi C. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
- 78', Kim Tae-Hyeon 🟨,
- 80', Hosoya M. ↓, Kumasawa K. ↑,
- 81', Ueebisu K. ↓, Araujo V. ↑,
- 81', Fukuta A. ↓, Fujita N. ↑,
- 89', Matheus Savio ↓, Mitsumaru H. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 4, Kinoshita K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sagan Tosu
25.5% | Draw
25.8% | Kashiwa Reysol
48.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Sagan Tosu - Kashiwa Reysol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.69 ↑
(3.36) |
3.64 ↑
(3.49) |
1.93 ↓
(2.06) |
6.5%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Kashiwa Reysol?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 19.5% – 68.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 16).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tosu won 1.
- Recent matches Tosu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Kashiwa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Kashiwa will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Tosu won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28-22.
- Including matches at home between the teams Tosu won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-12.
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Sagan Tosu has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Sagan Tosu?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
28.04.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Sagan Tosu
1:1
25.11.2023
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Sagan Tosu
2:2
15.04.2023
Sagan Tosu
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:1
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 38 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 32 |
| 12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
