Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
05/10/2024 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J1 League - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball, QQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
1420
Shots on Goal
66
Shots off Goal
814
Free Kicks
178
Corner Kicks
117
Offsides
11
Goalkeeper Saves
55
Fouls
715
Yellow Cards
12
Total Passes
498310
Completed Passes
403227
Clearances Completed
2249
Crosses Completed
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', Harada W. 🟨,
  • 60', Kimoto Y. 🟨,
  • 61', Horigome Y. , Watanabe R. ,
  • 61', Hino S. , Togashi C. ,
  • 65', Kim Tae-Hyeon 🟨,
  • 68', Diego Oliveira , Ogashiwa T. ,
  • 68', Higashi K. , Harakawa R. ,
  • 68', Tawaratsumida K. , Endo K. ,
  • 73', 0 - 1, Slivka V. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Ko T. ,
  • 84', Slivka V. , Sakaiya K. ,
  • 84', Fukuta A. , Suzuki D. ,
  • 87', Anzai S. , Nozawa L. ,
  • 87', Nagatomo Y. , Nakamura H. ,
  • 90+1', Nakahara H. , Imazu Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tokyo
50.1%
Draw
25.2%
Sagan Tosu
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 25.5% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 25.4% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Tokyo - Sagan Tosu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.96)
    3.75
    (3.74)
    3.76
    (3.69)
    6.4%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Tokyo - Sagan Tosu?
  • Users Predictions: Tokyo will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tokyo won 3.
    • Recent matches Tokyo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Tosu has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recently Tokyo have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Tokyo is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Tokyo won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 20:29 (average 1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tokyo won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Sagan Tosu were as follows:
    31.05.2024 Sagan Tosu - Tokyo 0:1
    22.05.2024 Sagan Tosu - Tokyo 1:2
    23.09.2023 Tokyo - Sagan Tosu 3:2
    01.04.2023 Sagan Tosu - Tokyo 1:0
    Latest results of Tokyo
    21.09.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo 0:2
    14.09.2024 Tokyo - Nagoya Grampus 4:1
    24.08.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo 3:0
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers141012123:1034
    2FC Tokyo14832129:1332
    3Machida13542221:2025
    4Verdy13630420:1624
    5Kawasaki Frontale14521620:2520
    6Urawa Reds14503620:1918
    7Mito14244421:2818
    8Yokohama F. Marinos14501821:2616
    9Kashiwa Reysol143101016:2111
    10Chiba14203913:269


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe13713223:1826
    2Gamba Osaka15453328:2125
    3Nagoya Grampus14623325:2025
    4Cerezo Osaka14441517:1421
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima14521621:1920
    6Shimizu S-Pulse14424418:1920
    7Okayama14424418:2420
    8Kyoto13431520:1819
    9Avispa Fukuoka15333618:2718
    10V-Varen Nagasaki14501814:2216

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)