Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
05/10/2024 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J1 League - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball, QQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
1420
Shots on Goal
66
Shots off Goal
814
Free Kicks
178
Corner Kicks
117
Offsides
11
Goalkeeper Saves
55
Fouls
715
Yellow Cards
12
Total Passes
498310
Completed Passes
403227
Clearances Completed
2249
Crosses Completed
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', Harada W. 🟨,
  • 60', Kimoto Y. 🟨,
  • 61', Horigome Y. , Watanabe R. ,
  • 61', Hino S. , Togashi C. ,
  • 65', Kim Tae-Hyeon 🟨,
  • 68', Diego Oliveira , Ogashiwa T. ,
  • 68', Higashi K. , Harakawa R. ,
  • 68', Tawaratsumida K. , Endo K. ,
  • 73', 0 - 1, Slivka V. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Ko T. ,
  • 84', Slivka V. , Sakaiya K. ,
  • 84', Fukuta A. , Suzuki D. ,
  • 87', Anzai S. , Nozawa L. ,
  • 87', Nagatomo Y. , Nakamura H. ,
  • 90+1', Nakahara H. , Imazu Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tokyo
50.1%
Draw
25.2%
Sagan Tosu
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 25.5% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 25.4% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Tokyo - Sagan Tosu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.96)
    3.75
    (3.74)
    3.76
    (3.69)
    6.4%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Tokyo - Sagan Tosu?
  • Users Predictions: Tokyo will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tokyo won 3.
    • Recent matches Tokyo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Tosu has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recently Tokyo have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Tokyo is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Tokyo won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 20:29 (average 1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tokyo won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Sagan Tosu were as follows:
    31.05.2024 Sagan Tosu - Tokyo 0:1
    22.05.2024 Sagan Tosu - Tokyo 1:2
    23.09.2023 Tokyo - Sagan Tosu 3:2
    01.04.2023 Sagan Tosu - Tokyo 1:0
    Latest results of Tokyo
    21.09.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo 0:2
    14.09.2024 Tokyo - Nagoya Grampus 4:1
    24.08.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo 3:0
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers430107:410
    2Machida4211010:89
    3Verdy4210110:78
    4Kawasaki Frontale4120110:77
    5Urawa Reds420117:57
    6FC Tokyo412016:57
    7Mito401217:104
    8Kashiwa Reysol410036:93
    9Yokohama F. Marinos410035:83
    10Chiba400222:72


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kyoto421107:49
    2Sanfrecce Hiroshima421018:58
    3Vissel Kobe421016:38
    4Gamba Osaka412106:48
    5V-Varen Nagasaki420025:66
    6Nagoya Grampus411114:56
    7Shimizu S-Pulse410214:65
    8Cerezo Osaka410123:44
    9Okayama401215:74
    10Avispa Fukuoka401033:72

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)