Result
1:0
06/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 16
- Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Israel | 5 GOLD Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (301/365) | 91% (637/700) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (301/365) | 91% (637/700) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (20/39) | 47% (18/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (45/79) | 77% (124/161) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.70 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Annan E. ↓, Old B. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Sekongo A. 🟨,
- 64', Essimi M. ↓, Daho A. ↑,
- 71', El Jamali N. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
- 73', Jaber M. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 0, Bardeli E. ⚽, Zossou A. (A),
- 84', Sekongo A. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
- 84', Zossou A. ↓, Linguet A. ↑,
- 89', Jaber M. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
- 90+3', Miladinovic I. 🟨,
- 90+6', Niflore M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dunkerque
37% | Draw
27.3% | Saint-Étienne
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dunkerque's performance.Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saint-Étienne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dunkerque that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saint-Étienne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dunkerque - Saint-Étienne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↓
(2.93) |
3.43 ↑
(3.3) |
2.63 ↑
(2.23) |
6.8%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dunkerque - Saint-Étienne?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 39.2% – 89.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Dunkerque (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Dunkerque may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F.
(Inactive)
Eguaras I.
(Inactive)
Massock T.
(Inactive)
Sangante O.
(Inactive)
Sylvestre E.
(Inactive)
Yassine G.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Duffus J.
(Inactive)
Ekwah P.
(Inactive)
Lamba C.
(Muscle Injury)
Stassin L.
(Inactive)
Traore L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Dunkerque won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Saint-Étienne?
Dunkerque has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Dunkerque?
Saint-Étienne has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dunkerque - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
03.02.2024
Dunkerque
-
Saint-Étienne
1:0
04.10.2023
Saint-Étienne
-
Dunkerque
2:0
Latest results of Dunkerque
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 50:29 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 41:29 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Red Star | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 47 |
| 5 | Reims | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 6 | Rodez | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:40 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Amiens | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 18 | Bastia | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 15:31 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
