Ajax vs Saint-Gilloise – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Ajax - Saint-Gilloise
Result
1:2 ET
20/02/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
argentinaArgentinaESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
belgiumBelgiumVRT Canvas
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 6
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 2
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoFox Sports
montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 3
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, Sporza, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 3
norwayNorwayViaplay
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 5
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2, Arena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime+
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 12
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.704.29
Ball Possession
33%67%
Goal Attempts
734
Shots on Goal
511
Shots off Goal
114
Blocked Shots
19
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
112
Shots inside the Box
623
Shots outside the Box
111
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
94
Free Kicks
2117
Offsides
13
Fouls
1721
Yellow Cards
76
Red Cards
10
Throw-ins
1431
Touches in the Opposition Box
1163
Passes
71% (260/367)86% (613/716)
Passes in the final third
54% (43/79)77% (205/265)
Crosses
18% (2/11)26% (12/46)
Tackles
48% (10/21)66% (19/29)
Clearances Total
6133
Interceptions
1411

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Mac Allister K. , Boufal S. (A),
  • 25', Klaassen D. 🟥,
  • 28', 0 - 2, David P. (Pen),
  • 33', Rosa L. 🟨,
  • 41', Rasmussen C. , Taylor K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Berghuis S. , Gaaei A. ,
  • 46', Rugani D. , Kaplan A. ,
  • 46', Edvardsen O. , Traore B. ,
  • 60', Gaaei A. 🟨,
  • 60', Boufal S. 🟨,
  • 60', Henderson J. 🟨,
  • 61', Rosa L. , Godts M. ,
  • 61', Boufal S. , Ait El Hadj A. ,
  • 62', Farioli F. 🟨,
  • 71', Kaplan A. 🟨,
  • 73', Sadiki N. 🟨,
  • 73', David P. , Rodriguez K. ,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 91', Mokio J. , Henderson J. ,
  • 93', Khalaili A. 🟨,
  • 93', 1 - 2, Taylor K. (Pen),
  • 94', Khalaili A. , Fuseini M. ,
  • 94', Rasmussen M. , Van De Perre K. ,
  • 99', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
  • 100', Taylor K. 🟨,
  • 105', Burgess C. 🟨,
  • 106', Burgess C. , Sykes R. ,
  • 106', Sadiki N. , Leysen F. ,
  • 120+5', Van De Perre K. 🟨,
  • 120+5', Hato J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ajax
41.3%
Draw
27.9%
Saint-Gilloise
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 23.9% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50% 24.5% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajax's form might have worsened.
  • Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Gilloise's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ajax - Saint-Gilloise Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (1.92)
    3.42
    (4.12)
    3.1
    (3.96)
    4.6%
    (1.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Ajax - Saint-Gilloise?
  • Users Predictions: Ajax will win (64 of 80 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.23%88.77%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.
    • Ajax in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Union SG is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ajax will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Baas Y. (Illness) Kaplan A. (Illness) Matheus (Inactive) Regeer Y. (Ankle Injury) Taylor K. (Illness) Weghorst W. (Toe Injury) Wijndal O. (Knee Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Ankle Injury) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Union SG: Van De Perre K. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Henderson J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Union SG: Castro-Montes A. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Ajax won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
    13.02.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Ajax 0:2
    Latest results of Ajax
    16.02.2025 Ajax - Heracles Almelo 4:0
    13.02.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Ajax 0:2
    09.02.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Ajax 0:2
    02.02.2025 Ajax - Feyenoord 2:1
    30.01.2025 Ajax - Galatasaray 2:1
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    3MidtjyllandBye
    4ByeHibernian
    5PAOKBye
    8ByeWolfsberger AC
    9Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    10AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    11OstravaBye
    12LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    13LuganoBye
    14PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    15Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16ByeBraga
    19Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    20ByeUtrecht
    21AnderlechtBye
    22TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    27BesiktasBye
    28Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    2MidtjyllandHibernian
    3PAOKBye
    4ByeWolfsberger AC
    5CeljeAEK Larnaca
    6OstravaLegia
    7LuganoCFR Cluj
    8Levski SofiaBraga
    10Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht
    11AnderlechtHacken
    14BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk

    Semi-finals
    1FredrikstadTBD #2
    2PAOKWolfsberger AC
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5ByeTBD #10
    6TBD #11Bye
    7ByeTBD #14