Result
1:1
10/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 20
- Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.19 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (186/254) | 88% (447/510) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (186/254) | 88% (447/510) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (24/58) | 66% (29/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (29/65) | 74% (78/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 31% (10/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 77% (17/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.62 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Acar E. ↓, Gumuskaya M. ↑,
- 7', Yavuz S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', Kakuta G. 🟨,
- 59', Demir M. ↓, Akuazaoku U. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 0, Zwolinski L. ⚽, Erkin C. (A),
- 63', Esendemir Y. ↓, Amaral J. ↑,
- 75', Zwolinski L. ↓, Demir E. ↑,
- 78', Alici K. ↓, Ceylan O. ↑,
- 78', Kehinde T. ↓, Cinemre E. ↑,
- 83', Cihan M. 🟨,
- 83', Kakuta G. ↓, Kobiljar R. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Ndongala D. ⚽, Gumuskaya M. (A),
- 89', Vukovic J. 🟨,
- 90', Kolovetsios D. 🟨,
- 90+2', Mulumba R. 🟨,
- 90+6', Nukan A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Szumski J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sakaryaspor
24.4% | Draw
25.1% | Bandırmaspor
50.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sakaryaspor's form might have worsened.Bandırmaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bandırmaspor's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sakaryaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (-12.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bandırmaspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sakaryaspor - Bandırmaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.8 ↑
(2.59) |
3.68 ↑
(3.25) |
1.82 ↓
(2.45) |
8.3%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor - Bandırmaspor?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Bandırmaspor will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bandırmaspor: 54% – 99.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Sakaryaspor (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Bandırmaspor (1.38) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Bandırmaspor (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bandırmaspor will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakaryaspor (votes: 1 - 10%). Bandırmaspor (votes: 9 - 90%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 1.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Bandırmaspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bandırmaspor is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Altiparmak B.
(Yellow Cards)
Bayram A.
(Suspended)
Dursun S.
(Red Card)
Tekogul Y.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Celibkay T.
(Inactive)
Hountondji C.
(International duty)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1.5:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Bandırmaspor?
Sakaryaspor has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bandırmaspor won against Sakaryaspor?
Bandırmaspor has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sakaryaspor - Bandırmaspor were as follows:
10.08.2025
Bandırmaspor
-
Sakaryaspor
1:1
09.03.2025
Sakaryaspor
-
Bandırmaspor
2:2
27.10.2024
Bandırmaspor
-
Sakaryaspor
3:2
02.02.2024
Sakaryaspor
-
Bandırmaspor
1:0
02.09.2023
Bandırmaspor
-
Sakaryaspor
3:1
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Latest results of Bandırmaspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 35 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 79:24 | 55 | 78 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 75:34 | 41 | 71 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 77:32 | 45 | 67 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 43 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 52:54 | -2 | 42 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 40:42 | -2 | 42 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 43:60 | -17 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
