Sakaryaspor vs Erzurumspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum (Adapazari).

1. Lig - Round 24
Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.28	0.84
Ball possession
56%	44%
Total shots
6	9
Shots on target
2	2
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
0	3
Passes
86% (441/514)	81% (322/397)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.28	0.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.35	0.41
Total shots
6	9
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked shots
2	2
Shots inside the box
3	6
Shots outside the box
3	3
Hit the woodwork
0	2
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
0	3
Touches in opposition box
7	16
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	3
Free kicks
18	15
Passes
86% (441/514)	81% (322/397)
Long passes
43% (30/69)	58% (31/53)
Passes in final third
60% (61/102)	73% (71/97)
Crosses
40% (4/10)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.40	0.91
Throw ins
15	21
Fouls
15	18
Tackles
63% (10/16)	54% (7/13)
Duels won
51	52
Clearances
14	16
Interceptions
3	13
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.41	0.35
Goals prevented
-0.59	0.35

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Dursun S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, Crociata G. ⚽, Akgun S. (A),
67', Bostan M. ↓, Yildirim P. ↑,
67', Fofana M. ↓, Soro I. ↑,
67', Kirtay Y. 🟨,
73', Akgun S. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
75', Yavuz S. ↓, Demir E. ↑,
78', Keser B. ↓, Yener H. ↑,
78', Dursun S. ↓, Cakir B. ↑,
79', Crociata G. ↓, Kabak A. ↑,
82', Ovacikli O. 🟨,
85', Fettahoglu M. ↓, Fernando Andrade ↑,
85', Tozlu E. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Sakaryaspor
19.1%

Draw
25.7%

Erzurumspor
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

24.8%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

23.9%

58.1%

Sakaryaspor - Erzurumspor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.87 ↑ (4.84)	3.63 ↓ (3.75)	1.68 ↑ (1.66)	7.8% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor - Erzurumspor?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Erzurumspor will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Erzurumspor: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.75 - Erzurumspor (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Erzurumspor (2.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Erzurumspor will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Sakaryaspor (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Erzurumspor (votes: 10 - 83.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 1.
Sakaryaspor is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Erzurumspor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Sakaryaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Erzurumspor is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Bayram A. (Suspended) Kolovetsios D. (Yellow Cards) Tekogul Y. (Suspended) Turken A. (Suspended)
There will not play in Erzurumspor: Ozhan F. (Suspended) Sasi F. (Inactive) Sever I. (Suspended) Yigit E. (Suspended)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 0.9:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Erzurumspor?

Sakaryaspor has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Sakaryaspor?

Erzurumspor has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sakaryaspor - Erzurumspor were as follows:

15.09.2025 Erzurumspor - Sakaryaspor 1:1

27.04.2025 Sakaryaspor - Erzurumspor 1:0

21.12.2024 Erzurumspor - Sakaryaspor 0:0

18.12.2024 Erzurumspor - Sakaryaspor 2:0

15.04.2024 Erzurumspor - Sakaryaspor 0:0

Latest results of Sakaryaspor

01.02.2026 Boluspor - Sakaryaspor 2:0 ✺

26.01.2026 Sakaryaspor - Bodrumspor 0:2 ✺

19.01.2026 Igdirspor - Sakaryaspor 1:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Sakaryaspor - Bandırmaspor 1:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Sakaryaspor - Manisa FK 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Erzurumspor

05.02.2026 Fenerbahçe - Erzurumspor 3:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Erzurumspor - Sarıyer 4:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Pendikspor - Erzurumspor 1:2 ✺

18.01.2026 Erzurumspor - Amed SK 2:0 ✺

15.01.2026 Erzurumspor - Çaykur Rizespor 2:0 ✺

Turkish First League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Amedspor	24	15	4	5	53:28	25	49
2	Erzurumspor	24	13	9	2	44:18	26	48
3	Erokspor	24	13	8	3	55:20	35	47
4	Bodrumspor	24	12	6	6	49:20	29	42
5	Corum	24	12	5	7	36:26	10	41
6	Pendikspor	24	10	9	5	34:21	13	39
7	Igdir FK	24	10	7	7	33:32	1	37
8	Keciorengucu	24	9	9	6	46:28	18	36
9	Bandirmaspor	24	10	6	8	32:25	7	36
10	Boluspor	24	10	5	9	42:32	10	35
11	Vanspor FK	24	9	7	8	33:24	9	34
12	Manisa FK	24	9	7	8	36:34	2	34
13	Istanbulspor AS	24	7	11	6	31:33	-2	32
14	Sivasspor	24	7	9	8	27:24	3	30
15	Sariyer	24	9	3	12	24:32	-8	30
16	Umraniyespor	24	8	4	12	27:31	-4	28
17	Serik Spor	24	7	5	12	24:46	-22	26
18	Sakaryaspor	24	6	5	13	32:45	-13	23
19	Hatayspor	24	0	7	17	18:65	-47	7
20	Adana Demirspor ✔	24	0	2	22	15:107	-92	-28

      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Adana Demirspor is Relegated to