Result
0:1
09/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 24
- Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.84 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (441/514) | 81% (322/397) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (441/514) | 81% (322/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (30/69) | 58% (31/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (61/102) | 73% (71/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Dursun S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', 0 - 1, Crociata G. ⚽, Akgun S. (A),
- 67', Bostan M. ↓, Yildirim P. ↑,
- 67', Fofana M. ↓, Soro I. ↑,
- 67', Kirtay Y. 🟨,
- 73', Akgun S. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 75', Yavuz S. ↓, Demir E. ↑,
- 78', Keser B. ↓, Yener H. ↑,
- 78', Dursun S. ↓, Cakir B. ↑,
- 79', Crociata G. ↓, Kabak A. ↑,
- 82', Ovacikli O. 🟨,
- 85', Fettahoglu M. ↓, Fernando Andrade ↑,
- 85', Tozlu E. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sakaryaspor
19.1% | Draw
25.7% | Erzurumspor
55.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Sakaryaspor - Erzurumspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.87 ↑
(4.84) |
3.63 ↓
(3.75) |
1.68 ↑
(1.66) |
7.8%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor - Erzurumspor?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Erzurumspor will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Erzurumspor: 53.9% – 93.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.75 - Erzurumspor (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Erzurumspor (2.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Erzurumspor will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakaryaspor (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Erzurumspor (votes: 10 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 1.
- Sakaryaspor is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Erzurumspor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Sakaryaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Erzurumspor is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Bayram A.
(Suspended)
Kolovetsios D.
(Yellow Cards)
Tekogul Y.
(Suspended)
Turken A.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Erzurumspor: Ozhan F.
(Suspended)
Sasi F.
(Inactive)
Sever I.
(Suspended)
Yigit E.
(Suspended)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 0.9:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Erzurumspor?
Sakaryaspor has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Sakaryaspor?
Erzurumspor has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sakaryaspor - Erzurumspor were as follows:
15.09.2025
Erzurumspor
-
Sakaryaspor
1:1
27.04.2025
Sakaryaspor
-
Erzurumspor
1:0
21.12.2024
Erzurumspor
-
Sakaryaspor
0:0
18.12.2024
Erzurumspor
-
Sakaryaspor
2:0
15.04.2024
Erzurumspor
-
Sakaryaspor
0:0
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Latest results of Erzurumspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 35 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 79:24 | 55 | 78 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 77:36 | 41 | 72 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 79:33 | 46 | 70 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 42:44 | -2 | 43 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor AS | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 43 |
| 16 | Boluspor | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 52:54 | -2 | 42 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 44:62 | -18 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
