Result
0:2
11/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 42', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Castrumfavara
24.9% | Draw
30.7% | Sambiase
44.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Castrumfavara - Sambiase Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.62 ↑
(2.52) |
2.94 ↓
(3.4) |
2.03 ↓
(2.38) |
10.8%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 7).
- Castrumfavara is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Sambiase has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sambiase may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Sambiase has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castrumfavara won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Castrumfavara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrumfavara won against Sambiase?
Castrumfavara has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sambiase won against Castrumfavara?
Sambiase has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castrumfavara - Sambiase were as follows:
14.09.2025
Sambiase
-
Castrumfavara
1:1
23.02.2025
Castrumfavara
-
Sambiase
1:2
23.10.2024
Sambiase
-
Castrumfavara
1:1
Latest results of Castrumfavara
Latest results of Sambiase
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 36:19 | 17 | 38 |
| 2 | Igea Virtus | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 33:19 | 14 | 38 |
| 3 | Athletic Palermo | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
| 4 | Reggina | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 25:14 | 11 | 36 |
| 5 | Nissa | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 26:21 | 5 | 33 |
| 6 | Sambiase | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 32 |
| 7 | Milazzo | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 32 |
| 8 | Gela | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 28:21 | 7 | 31 |
| 9 | Gelbison | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
| 10 | Vibonese | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 23 |
| 11 | Enna | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 27:30 | -3 | 22 |
| 12 | Sancataldese | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 13 | AS Acireale | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25:31 | -6 | 20 |
| 14 | Vigor Lamezia | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19:22 | -3 | 19 |
| 15 | USD Ragusa | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 12:22 | -10 | 18 |
| 16 | Castrumfavara | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16:28 | -12 | 17 |
| 17 | ACR Messina | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 15 |
| 18 | Paterno | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 9:36 | -27 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
