Result
0:2
11/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 42', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Castrumfavara
24.9% | Draw
30.7% | Sambiase
44.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castrumfavara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castrumfavara's form might have worsened.Sambiase has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sambiase's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castrumfavara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambiase than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sambiase, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castrumfavara - Sambiase Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.62 ↑
(2.52) |
2.94 ↓
(3.4) |
2.03 ↓
(2.38) |
10.8%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 7).
- Castrumfavara is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Sambiase has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sambiase may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Sambiase has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castrumfavara won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Castrumfavara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrumfavara won against Sambiase?
Castrumfavara has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sambiase won against Castrumfavara?
Sambiase has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castrumfavara - Sambiase were as follows:
14.09.2025
Sambiase
-
Castrumfavara
1:1
23.02.2025
Castrumfavara
-
Sambiase
1:2
23.10.2024
Sambiase
-
Castrumfavara
1:1
Latest results of Castrumfavara
Latest results of Sambiase
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 47:25 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | Igea Virtus | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 41:21 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Athletic Palermo | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 46:29 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | Reggina | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Nissa | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 47 |
| 6 | Gelbison | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 40 |
| 7 | Milazzo | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 27:28 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | Gela | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 35:34 | 1 | 37 |
| 9 | Sambiase | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 25:21 | 4 | 36 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 34:25 | 9 | 35 |
| 11 | Enna | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 41:39 | 2 | 30 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20:28 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 26 |
| 14 | Sancataldese | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:37 | -10 | 24 |
| 15 | ACR Messina | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 23:26 | -3 | 23 |
| 16 | AS Acireale | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 32:44 | -12 | 23 |
| 17 | Castrumfavara | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21:38 | -17 | 21 |
| 18 | Paterno | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 15:53 | -38 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
