Samsunspor vs AEK Athens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
1:2
11/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
chinaChinaZhiBo8
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 13
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 13
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 12
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.66
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
87% (424/490)84% (367/439)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.66
xG on target (xGOT)
0.211.05
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
115
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
1924
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
98
Passes
87% (424/490)84% (367/439)
Long passes
48% (19/40)43% (19/44)
Passes in final third
80% (101/126)78% (95/122)
Crosses
17% (4/23)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.88
Throw-ins
1620
Fouls
89
Tackles
80% (12/15)43% (6/14)
Duels won
4242
Clearances
1322
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.050.21
Goals prevented
-0.950.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Moukoudi H. (Own goal),
  • 7', Marin R. 🟨,
  • 33', Satka L. 🟨,
  • 44', Mantalos P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Moukoudi H. ↓, Vida D. ↑,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Marin R. ⚽,
  • 57', Pineda O. 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 2, Koita A. ⚽, Rota L. (A),
  • 74', Musaba A. ↓, Bulbul T. ↑,
  • 76', Jovic L. 🟨,
  • 78', Ntcham O. ↓, Aydogdu S. ↑,
  • 78', Yavru Z. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
  • 82', Mantalos P. ↓, Grujic M. ↑,
  • 84', Koita A. ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
  • 86', Tomasson L. ↓, Ceesay E. ↑,
  • 90+3', Marin R. ↓, Penrice J. ↑,

Chances of winning


Samsunspor
32.7%		Draw
31.6%		AEK Athens
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 28.7% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 30.1% 32.1%

Samsunspor - AEK Athens Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.91 ↑
(2.47)		 3 ↓
(3.23)		 2.67 ↓
(2.74)		 5.2%
(8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Samsunspor - AEK Athens?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 12 - 50%). AEK will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 30% – 70%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Samsunspor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • AEK is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • AEK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Samsunspor: Aydin E. (Inactive) Coulibaly T. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye C. (Inactive) Satka L. (Injury) Sousa A. (Ankle Injury) Ustun E. (Inactive) Yuksel C. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in AEK: Jonsson J. (Inactive) Kaloskamis D. (Inactive) Kolimatsis C. (Inactive) Kutesa D. (Inactive) Mitoglou G. (Inactive) Odubajo M. (Inactive) Pierrot F. (Injury) Zini (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Samsunspor: Ceesay E. (Injury) Cetin B. (Knee Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    05.12.2025 Galatasaray - Samsunspor 3:2 ✺
    01.12.2025 Samsunspor - Alanyaspor 1:1 ✺
    27.11.2025 Breiðablik - Samsunspor 2:2 ✺
    23.11.2025 Beşiktaş - Samsunspor 1:1 ✺
    09.11.2025 Samsunspor - Eyüpspor 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of AEK Athens
    07.12.2025 AEK Athens - Atromitos Athens 4:1 ✺
    03.12.2025 AEK Athens - OFI 2:0 ✺
    30.11.2025 Panathinaikos - AEK Athens 2:3 ✺
    27.11.2025 Fiorentina - AEK Athens 0:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 AEK Athens - Aris 1:0 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg651011:5616
    2Rakow64209:2714
    3AEK Athens641114:7713
    4Sparta Prague641110:3713
    5Rayo Vallecano641113:7613
    6Shakhtar Donetsk641110:5513
    7Mainz64117:3413
    8AEK Larnaca63307:1612
    9Lausanne63216:3311
    10Crystal Palace631211:6510
    11Lech Poznan631212:8410
    12Samsunspor631210:6410
    13Celje63128:7110
    14AZ Alkmaar63127:7010
    15Fiorentina63038:539
    16Rijeka62315:239
    17Jagiellonia62315:419
    18Omonia62225:418
    19Noah62226:7-18
    20Drita62224:8-48
    21KuPS61416:517
    22Shkendija62134:5-17
    23Zrinjski62138:10-27
    24Sigma Olomouc62137:9-27
    25Univ. Craiova62136:8-27
    26Lincoln Red Imps62137:15-87
    27Dyn. Kyiv62049:906
    28Legia62048:806
    29Slovan Bratislava62045:9-46
    30Breidablik61236:11-55
    31Shamrock Rovers61147:13-64
    32Hacken60335:8-33
    33Hamrun61054:11-73
    34Shelbourne60240:7-72
    35Aberdeen60243:14-112
    36SK Rapid60153:14-111

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