Samsunspor vs Gaziantep – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
01/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 24
  • Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.930.25
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
30
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
62
Passes
83% (404/489)75% (248/331)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
0.930.25
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.00
Total shots
126
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
74
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
83
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
267
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1316
Passes
83% (404/489)75% (248/331)
Long passes
46% (23/50)31% (17/54)
Passes in final third
66% (87/132)62% (33/53)
Crosses
32% (8/25)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.10
Throw ins
2420
Fouls
1613
Tackles
58% (11/19)68% (13/19)
Duels won
5052
Clearances
727
Interceptions
1416
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
03
xGOT faced
0.000.85
Goals prevented
0.00-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Assoumou J. , Holse C. ,
  • 37', Kayan Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Abena M. , Sorescu D. ,
  • 57', Camara D. , Gidado V. ,
  • 58', Sangare N. 🟨,
  • 67', Ozcicek O. , Maxim A. ,
  • 72', Lungoyi C. 🟨,
  • 76', Tomasson L. , Gonul S. ,
  • 76', Marius , Ndiaye C. ,
  • 76', Kayan Y. , Makoumbou A. ,
  • 77', Kozlowski K. 🟨,
  • 80', Kozlowski K. , Gassama K. ,
  • 80', Bayo M. , Kabadayi Y. ,
  • 89', Yuksel C. , Diabbate A. B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Samsunspor
50.4%
Draw
27.1%
Gaziantep
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 24.1% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 23.3% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Samsunspor's form might have worsened.
  • Gaziantep has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samsunspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Samsunspor - Gaziantep Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.69)
    3.48
    (3.92)
    4.23
    (4.7)
    5.8%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Samsunspor - Gaziantep?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Gaziantep will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 48.9%92.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Samsunspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Samsunspor is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Samsunspor: Bulbul T. (Injury) Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly T. (Knee Injury) Kilinc E. (Inactive) Sousa A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Gaziantep: Ablak A. (Knee Injury) M'Bakata S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gaziantep: Ndiaye B. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - Gaziantep were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Gaziantep - Samsunspor 2:2
    24.01.2025 Samsunspor - Gaziantep 2:1
    18.08.2024 Gaziantep - Samsunspor 0:1
    18.02.2024 Gaziantep - Samsunspor 1:1
    29.09.2023 Samsunspor - Gaziantep 1:2
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    Latest results of Gaziantep
    22.02.2026 Gaziantep - Trabzonspor 1:2
    15.02.2026 Kocaelispor - Gaziantep 3:0
    09.02.2026 Gaziantep - Kasımpaşa 2:1
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray24184258:184058
    2Fenerbahce24159054:233154
    3Trabzonspor24156348:282051
    4Besiktas24137445:291646
    5Goztepe24119427:161142
    6Basaksehir24116742:261639
    7Samsunspor24711625:27-232
    8Kocaelispor24861021:25-430
    9Gaziantep2478930:40-1029
    10Rizespor2469931:35-427
    11Alanyaspor24511826:30-426
    12Genclerbirligi24661228:34-624
    13Antalyaspor24661224:38-1424
    14Konyaspor24581127:37-1023
    15Eyupspor24571219:35-1622
    16Kasimpasa24481220:35-1520
    17Kayserispor243111018:43-2520
    18Karagumruk24341721:45-2413

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig