Result
2:2
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 7
- Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (456/514) | 67% (148/221) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (456/514) | 67% (148/221) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (29/46) | 32% (17/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (117/143) | 56% (44/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (11/31) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Van Drongelen R. ⚽, Satka L. (A),
- 8', Sorescu D. 🟨,
- 8', Yilmaz B. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 2, Ndiaye C. ⚽,
- 30', Sorescu D. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
- 30', Sanuc T. T. ↓, Lungoyi C. ↑,
- 32', Rodrigues K. 🟨,
- 37', Ndiaye C. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 2, Lungoyi C. ⚽, Camara D. (A),
- 45+5', Ndiaye C. 🟨,
- 45+7', Coulibaly T. 🟨,
- 45+7', Kocuk O. 🟨,
- 45+7', Kabasakal M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Coulibaly T. ↓, Marius ↑,
- 46', Satka L. ↓, Borevkovic T. ↑,
- 65', Yavru Z. 🟨,
- 66', Musaba A. ↓, Gonul S. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 2, Abena M. ⚽, Rodrigues K. (A),
- 78', Cift Y. E. 🟨,
- 78', Cift Y. E. ↓, Yuksel C. ↑,
- 87', Kabasakal M. ↓, Bacuna J. ↑,
- 88', Holse C. ↓, Makoumbou A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gaziantep
33.4% | Draw
28.5% | Samsunspor
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gaziantep has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Gaziantep - Samsunspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.13 ↑
(2.53) |
3.49 ↓
(3.57) |
2.53 ↓
(2.69) |
0.2%
(4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gaziantep - Samsunspor?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Gaziantep will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaziantep: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gaziantep won 2.
- Gaziantep is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Samsunspor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gaziantep may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Samsunspor has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Gaziantep: Ablak A.
(Knee Injury)
M'Bakata S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Aydogdu S.
(Injury)
Kilinc E.
(Injury)
Sousa A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gaziantep: Boateng E.
(Inactive)
Kabadayi Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Samsunspor: Cift Y. E.
(Injury)
Ndiaye C.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Gaziantep won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gaziantep won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Gaziantep won against Samsunspor?
Gaziantep has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Gaziantep?
Samsunspor has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gaziantep - Samsunspor were as follows:
24.01.2025
Samsunspor
-
Gaziantep
2:1
18.08.2024
Gaziantep
-
Samsunspor
0:1
18.02.2024
Gaziantep
-
Samsunspor
1:1
29.09.2023
Samsunspor
-
Gaziantep
1:2
Latest results of Gaziantep
Latest results of Samsunspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:2 | 17 | 21 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Goztepe | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Besiktas | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Samsunspor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Gaziantep | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Konyaspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Antalyaspor | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Kasimpasa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Basaksehir | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Rizespor | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Kayserispor | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
| 16 | Genclerbirligi | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Karagumruk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7:16 | -9 | 3 |
| 18 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
