Samsunspor vs Gaziantep – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish Super League Samsunspor - Gaziantep
Result
2:1
24/01/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportklub 1, SportKlub
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
montenegroMontenegroSportKlub
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaSportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.86
Ball Possession
61%39%
Goal Attempts
1512
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
75
Blocked Shots
54
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
72
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Free Kicks
1420
Offsides
11
Fouls
2014
Yellow Cards
43
Throw-ins
1815
Touches in the Opposition Box
2321
Passes
83% (417/502)74% (238/321)
Passes in the final third
75% (113/150)51% (32/63)
Crosses
27% (6/22)50% (3/6)
Tackles
71% (17/24)63% (12/19)
Clearances Total
919
Interceptions
615

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, Marius , Schindler K. (A),
  • 45+7', Okereke D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kozlowski K. , Dervisoglu H. ,
  • 46', Okereke D. , Lungoyi C. ,
  • 46', Boateng E. , Kodro K. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Kodro K. ,
  • 55', Holse C. 🟨,
  • 58', Mandouki C. 🟨,
  • 59', Ntcham O. , Yuksel C. ,
  • 59', Schindler K. , Dimata L. ,
  • 63', Dimata L. 🟨,
  • 70', Sorescu D. , M'Bakata S. ,
  • 74', Marius , Kara E. ,
  • 80', Holse C. , Aydogdu S. ,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Aydogdu S. , Kara E. (A),
  • 87', Mandouki C. , Ozcicek O. ,
  • 90+1', Kilinc E. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Bozan M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Kara E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Samsunspor
56.3%
Draw
24.5%
Gaziantep
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 22.6% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2% 24.6% 17.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Gaziantep has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samsunspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Samsunspor - Gaziantep Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.64)
    3.87
    (4.2)
    4.98
    (4.89)
    5.2%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Samsunspor - Gaziantep?
  • Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 47 - 75.8%). Gaziantep will win (votes: 2 - 3.2%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 21%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 65.1%86.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Samsunspor won 1.
    • Recent matches Samsunspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Gaziantep is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Samsunspor have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Gaziantep have a series of home games.
    • In this match Samsunspor is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Samsunspor: Van Drongelen R. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Gaziantep: Maxim A. (Yellow Cards) Saborit E. (Ankle Injury) Stephen G. (Leg Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Samsunspor won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:19 (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Samsunspor won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:12 (average 0.6:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - Gaziantep were as follows:
    18.08.2024 Gaziantep - Samsunspor 0:1
    18.02.2024 Gaziantep - Samsunspor 1:1
    29.09.2023 Samsunspor - Gaziantep 1:2
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    18.01.2025 Beşiktaş - Samsunspor 0:0
    11.01.2025 Kayserispor - Samsunspor 0:1
    04.01.2025 Samsunspor - Trabzonspor 2:1
    21.12.2024 Sivasspor - Samsunspor 0:0
    08.12.2024 Eyüpspor - Samsunspor 3:0
    Latest results of Gaziantep
    18.01.2025 Gaziantep - Bodrumspor 0:0
    09.01.2025 Gaziantep - İstanbulspor 4:0
    05.01.2025 Kasımpaşa - Gaziantep 2:2
    22.12.2024 Gaziantep - Antalyaspor 2:0
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goztepe32105:057
    2Konyaspor22007:166
    3Galatasaray22006:066
    4Antalyaspor22003:126
    5Samsunspor22003:126
    6Trabzonspor22002:026
    7Besiktas11002:113
    8Kayserispor10101:101
    9Basaksehir10101:101
    10Alanyaspor10100:001
    11Fenerbahce10100:001
    12Rizespor20110:3-31
    13Genclerbirligi20021:3-20
    14Kasimpasa20021:3-20
    15Kocaelispor20020:2-20
    16Eyupspor20022:6-40
    17Karagumruk20020:5-50
    18Gaziantep20020:6-60

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig