St. Louis City vs San Diego – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

CITYPARK (St. Louis, MO).

MLS
Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.61	0.69
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
16	15
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
6	1
Passes
81% (313/386)	86% (511/595)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61	0.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.60	0.83
Total shots
16	15
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
7	9
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
9	6
Shots outside the Box
7	9
Hit the Woodwork
1	2
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
6	1
Touches in opposition box
24	20
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
3	4
Free Kicks
9	8
Passes
81% (313/386)	86% (511/595)
Long passes
59% (41/70)	47% (25/53)
Passes in final third
60% (54/90)	75% (135/179)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.81	1.07
Throw-ins
15	20
Fouls
8	9
Tackles
55% (6/11)	50% (5/10)
Duels won
39	43
Clearances
14	24
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.83	0.60
Goals prevented
-1.17	-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Valakari O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', Ostrak T. 🟨,
67', Valakari O. ↓, Iloski M. ↑,
73', Horn J. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
73', Joao Klauss ↓, Becher S. ↑,
73', Ostrak T. ↓, Silva X. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Iloski M. ⚽, Godoy A. (A),
80', Kumado W. ↓, Verhoeven O. ↑,
84', Baumgartl T. ↓, Pompeu C. ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Dreyer A. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, Hiebert K. ⚽,
90+6', Verhoeven O. 🟨,
90+6', Baumgartl T. 🟨,

Chances of winning

St. Louis City
38.1%

Draw
24.9%

San Diego
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

26.7%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

27.8%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

St. Louis City - San Diego Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.43)	3.82 ↑ (3.56)	2.58 ↓ (2.79)	4.8% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for St. Louis City - San Diego?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). San Diego will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
St. Louis City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in St. Louis City: Burki R. (Hand Injury) Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Totland T. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in San Diego: Ingvartsen M. (Leg Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City won against San Diego?

St. Louis City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has San Diego won against St. Louis City?

San Diego has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - San Diego were as follows:

01.03.2025 San Diego - St. Louis City 0:0

Latest results of St. Louis City

07.05.2025 St. Louis City - Union Omaha 2:0 ✺

03.05.2025 Seattle Sounders - St. Louis City 4:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Los Angeles - St. Louis City 2:2 ✺

19.04.2025 St. Louis City - Vancouver Whitecaps 0:0 ✺

13.04.2025 St. Louis City - Columbus Crew 1:2 ✺

Latest results of San Diego

03.05.2025 San Diego - FC Dallas 5:0 ✺

26.04.2025 San Diego - Real Salt Lake 1:3 ✺

19.04.2025 Charlotte - San Diego 3:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Colorado Rapids - San Diego 3:2 ✺

05.04.2025 San Diego - Seattle Sounders 3:0 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC	27	16	4	7	52:33	19	52
2	Minnesota United	27	13	8	6	44:30	14	47
3	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	13	7	6	44:29	15	46
4	Seattle Sounders	26	11	8	7	43:36	7	41
5	Los Angeles FC	24	11	7	6	43:30	13	40
6	Portland Timbers	26	10	7	9	35:37	-2	37
7	Colorado Rapids	27	10	6	11	36:41	-5	36
8	Austin FC	25	9	8	8	24:29	-5	35
9	San Jose Earthquakes	27	8	8	11	50:47	3	32
10	Real Salt Lake	26	9	4	13	27:33	-6	31
11	FC Dallas	26	7	8	11	38:46	-8	29
12	Houston Dynamo	26	7	8	11	33:42	-9	29
13	Sporting Kansas City	26	6	6	14	37:50	-13	24
14	St. Louis City	26	5	6	15	29:44	-15	21
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	26	3	7	16	29:55	-26	16

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Cincinnati	27	16	4	7	42:34	8	52
2	Philadelphia Union	27	15	6	6	44:26	18	51
3	Nashville SC	27	14	5	8	44:31	13	47
4	Orlando City	27	13	8	6	53:35	18	47
5	Inter Miami	24	13	6	5	53:39	14	45
6	Columbus Crew	26	12	9	5	42:37	5	45
7	Charlotte	27	14	2	11	45:39	6	44
8	New York City	25	12	5	8	36:30	6	41
9	Chicago Fire	26	11	6	9	50:44	6	39
10	New York Red Bulls	27	11	6	10	42:37	5	39
11	New England Revolution	26	7	7	12	33:37	-4	28
12	Toronto FC	26	5	8	13	27:34	-7	23
13	Atlanta Utd	26	4	10	12	31:49	-18	22
14	CF Montreal	27	4	8	15	25:48	-23	20
15	DC United	27	4	8	15	23:52	-29	20

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)