St. Louis City vs San Diego: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS St. Louis City - San Diego
Result
1:2
10/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
St. Louis City - San Diego - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.69
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
81% (313/386)86% (511/595)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.600.83
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
79
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
2420
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
98
Passes
81% (313/386)86% (511/595)
Long passes
59% (41/70)47% (25/53)
Passes in final third
60% (54/90)75% (135/179)
Crosses
27% (4/15)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.811.07
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
89
Tackles
55% (6/11)50% (5/10)
Duels won
3943
Clearances
1424
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.830.60
Goals prevented
-1.17-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Valakari O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 59', Ostrak T. 🟨,
  • 67', Valakari O. , Iloski M. ,
  • 73', Horn J. , Reid J. ,
  • 73', Joao Klauss , Becher S. ,
  • 73', Ostrak T. , Silva X. ,
  • 79', 0 - 1, Iloski M. , Godoy A. (A),
  • 80', Kumado W. , Verhoeven O. ,
  • 84', Baumgartl T. , Pompeu C. ,
  • 87', 0 - 2, Dreyer A. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Hiebert K. ,
  • 90+6', Verhoeven O. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Baumgartl T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
38.1%
Draw
24.9%
San Diego
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 26.7% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 27.8% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • St. Louis City - San Diego Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.43)
    3.82
    (3.56)
    2.58
    (2.79)
    4.8%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for St. Louis City - San Diego?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). San Diego will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • St. Louis City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Burki R. (Hand Injury) Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Totland T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in San Diego: Ingvartsen M. (Leg Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - San Diego were as follows:
    01.03.2025 San Diego - St. Louis City 0:0
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Latest results of San Diego
    03.05.2025 San Diego - FC Dallas 5:0
    26.04.2025 San Diego - Real Salt Lake 1:3
    19.04.2025 Charlotte - San Diego 3:0
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22133646:301642
    2Minnesota United22117439:251440
    3Vancouver Whitecaps21115535:251038
    4Seattle Sounders2196631:28333
    5Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    6Los Angeles FC1995535:241132
    7Colorado Rapids23851027:33-629
    8San Jose Earthquakes2277842:37528
    9Austin FC2176815:23-827
    10Houston Dynamo22751029:35-626
    11Real Salt Lake21741023:28-525
    12Sporting Kansas City22651135:41-623
    13FC Dallas21561027:39-1221
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy22361324:43-1915


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union22134537:211643
    2FC Cincinnati22133635:31442
    3Nashville SC22125538:251341
    4Columbus Crew22118338:29941
    5Inter Miami19115344:301438
    6Orlando City2298540:291135
    7New York City2194827:24331
    8New York Red Bulls2286833:27630
    9Charlotte22921136:36029
    10Chicago Fire2184940:38228
    11New England Revolution2167826:25125
    12Atlanta Utd21471023:38-1519
    13DC United22471118:41-2319
    14Toronto FC21461124:29-518
    15CF Montreal22361319:41-2215

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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    It is being streamed on channel
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