Result
4:1
05/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Mendoza R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (407/479) | 76% (230/302) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.30 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (407/479) | 76% (230/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (20/44) | 43% (24/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (104/139) | 52% (33/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 3.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Espinoza C. 🟨,
- 38', Kikanovic B. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Elloumi R. ⚽, Berhalter S. (A),
- 42', Arango C. 🟨,
- 45+1', Cubas A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Harkes I. ↓, Buck N. ↑,
- 47', Ocampo E. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 0, Muller T. ⚽, Ahmed A. (A),
- 66', Bouda O. ↓, Ricketts J. ↑,
- 66', Floriani M. ↓, Romney D. ↑,
- 66', Kikanovic B. ↓, Judd P. ↑,
- 67', Judd P. 🟨,
- 72', Cubas A. ↓, Badwal J. ↑,
- 72', Elloumi R. ↓, Rios D. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 0, Berhalter S. ⚽, Badwal J. (A),
- 78', Nelson J. ↓, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↑,
- 78', Ahmed A. ↓, Gauld R. ↑,
- 79', Vieira R. ↓, Leroux B. ↑,
- 86', Ocampo E. ↓, Bovalina G. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 1, Leroux B. ⚽,
- 90+2', 4 - 1, Berhalter S. ⚽, Muller T. (A),
Chances of winning
Vancouver Whitecaps
63.3% | Draw
19.7% | San Jose Earthquakes
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vancouver Whitecaps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Vancouver Whitecaps - San Jose Earthquakes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.58) |
4.78 ↑
(4.38) |
5.54 ↑
(5.01) |
5.2%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Vancouver Whitecaps - San Jose Earthquakes?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Vancouver will win (votes: 17 - 85%). San Jose will win (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vancouver: 69.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1, 1st Half - Vancouver (3.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Vancouver (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vancouver Whitecaps will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Vancouver (votes: 12 - 92.3%). San Jose (votes: 1 - 7.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
- Vancouver is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 2.
- Vancouver is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- San Jose's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vancouver may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Vancouver is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Vancouver: Adekugbe S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Blackmon T.
(Knee Injury)
Pupe J.
(Injury)
Schonlau S.
(Inactive)
Veselinovic R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in San Jose: Jones D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in San Jose: Rodrigues
(Lower-Body Injury)
- We predict that Vancouver will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:31. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vancouver won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 2.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vancouver Whitecaps won against San Jose Earthquakes?
Vancouver Whitecaps has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against Vancouver Whitecaps?
San Jose Earthquakes has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vancouver Whitecaps - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
09.08.2025
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Vancouver Whitecaps
2:1
14.09.2024
Vancouver Whitecaps
-
San Jose Earthquakes
2:0
09.03.2024
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Vancouver Whitecaps
0:2
20.08.2023
Vancouver Whitecaps
-
San Jose Earthquakes
0:1
04.03.2023
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Vancouver Whitecaps
2:1
Latest results of Vancouver Whitecaps
Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
MLS Table
2026Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Austin FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | St. Louis City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Real Salt Lake | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | DC United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | New York City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Toronto FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | New England Revolution | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 | Inter Miami | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
