Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Jose Earthquakes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
05/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Mendoza R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.630.46
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
85% (407/479)76% (230/302)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
2.630.46
xG on target (xGOT)
3.300.68
Total shots
187
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
40
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
379
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1519
Passes
85% (407/479)76% (230/302)
Long passes
45% (20/44)43% (24/56)
Passes in final third
75% (104/139)52% (33/63)
Crosses
21% (3/14)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.320.46
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
1915
Tackles
56% (10/18)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4053
Clearances
1417
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.683.30
Goals prevented
-0.32-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', Espinoza C. 🟨,
  • 38', Kikanovic B. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Elloumi R. , Berhalter S. (A),
  • 42', Arango C. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Cubas A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Harkes I. , Buck N. ,
  • 47', Ocampo E. 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 0, Muller T. , Ahmed A. (A),
  • 66', Bouda O. , Ricketts J. ,
  • 66', Floriani M. , Romney D. ,
  • 66', Kikanovic B. , Judd P. ,
  • 67', Judd P. 🟨,
  • 72', Cubas A. , Badwal J. ,
  • 72', Elloumi R. , Rios D. ,
  • 74', 3 - 0, Berhalter S. , Badwal J. (A),
  • 78', Nelson J. , Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ,
  • 78', Ahmed A. , Gauld R. ,
  • 79', Vieira R. , Leroux B. ,
  • 86', Ocampo E. , Bovalina G. ,
  • 89', 3 - 1, Leroux B. ,
  • 90+2', 4 - 1, Berhalter S. , Muller T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vancouver Whitecaps
63.3%
Draw
19.7%
San Jose Earthquakes
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.7% 21.5% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 21.2% 18.6%

Vancouver Whitecaps - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.51
(1.58)
4.78
(4.38)
5.54
(5.01)
5.2%
(6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Vancouver Whitecaps - San Jose Earthquakes?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Vancouver will win (votes: 17 - 85%). San Jose will win (votes: 3 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vancouver: 69.4%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1, 1st Half - Vancouver (3.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Vancouver (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vancouver Whitecaps will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Vancouver (votes: 12 - 92.3%). San Jose (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • Vancouver is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 2.
    • Vancouver is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • San Jose's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Vancouver may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Vancouver is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Vancouver: Adekugbe S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Blackmon T. (Knee Injury) Pupe J. (Injury) Schonlau S. (Inactive) Veselinovic R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in San Jose: Jones D. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Jose: Rodrigues (Lower-Body Injury)
    • We predict that Vancouver will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:31. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vancouver won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 2.2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vancouver Whitecaps - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
    09.08.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Vancouver Whitecaps 2:1
    14.09.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps - San Jose Earthquakes 2:0
    09.03.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Vancouver Whitecaps 0:2
    20.08.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps - San Jose Earthquakes 0:1
    04.03.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - Vancouver Whitecaps 2:1
    Latest results of Vancouver Whitecaps
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Dallas00000:000
    2Houston Dynamo00000:000
    3Los Angeles Galaxy00000:000
    4Real Salt Lake00000:000
    5San Jose Earthquakes00000:000
    6Colorado Rapids00000:000
    7Sporting Kansas City00000:000
    8Seattle Sounders00000:000
    9Portland Timbers00000:000
    10Vancouver Whitecaps00000:000
    11Minnesota United00000:000
    12Los Angeles FC00000:000
    13Austin FC00000:000
    14St. Louis City00000:000
    15San Diego FC00000:000


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New England Revolution00000:000
    2DC United00000:000
    3Toronto FC00000:000
    4New York Red Bulls00000:000
    5Columbus Crew00000:000
    6Chicago Fire00000:000
    7CF Montreal00000:000
    8Philadelphia Union00000:000
    9Orlando City00000:000
    10New York City00000:000
    11FC Cincinnati00000:000
    12Atlanta Utd00000:000
    13Nashville SC00000:000
    14Inter Miami00000:000
    15Charlotte00000:000

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)