San Lorenzo vs Rosario Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional San Lorenzo - Rosario Central
Result
0:1
26/04/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaAFA Play, ESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
portugalPortugalSport TV3
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldDisney+, TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.84
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
84% (341/406)82% (287/350)
Yellow Cards
54
Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.331.88
Total shots
109
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2013
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
139
Passes
84% (341/406)82% (287/350)
Long passes
66% (29/44)49% (19/39)
Passes in final third
72% (91/127)72% (78/108)
Crosses
26% (5/19)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.79
Throw-ins
929
Fouls
913
Tackles
76% (13/17)50% (7/14)
Duels won
5335
Clearances
3427
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.880.33
Goals prevented
0.540.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Lopez S. 🟨,
  • 42', Navarro F. 🟨,
  • 43', Malcorra I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Lovera M. , Duarte G. ,
  • 61', Broun J. 🟨,
  • 65', Irala E. 🟨,
  • 66', Gimenez E. , O'Connor T. ,
  • 66', Lopez S. , Giaccone L. ,
  • 70', Braida M. 🟨,
  • 72', Braida M. , Reali M. ,
  • 73', Romana J. 🟨,
  • 74', Cerutti E. 🟨,
  • 76', Reali M. 🟨,
  • 83', Irala E. , Cecchini E. ,
  • 83', Vombergar A. , Cuello A. ,
  • 90+1', 0 - 1, Copetti E. , Giaccone L. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Lorenzo
39.3%
Draw
34.7%
Rosario Central
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 30.2% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 29.3% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.
  • Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • San Lorenzo - Rosario Central Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.04)
    2.71
    (3.13)
    3.65
    (4.06)
    5.8%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Rosario Central?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Rosario will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Lorenzo: 10.6%60.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 50%). Rosario (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • San Lorenzo is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Rosario is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 2.
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • San Lorenzo will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F. (Elbow Injury) Dominguez N. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Inactive) Ibarra F. (Yellow Cards) Lovera M. (Injury) Modica A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rosario: Campaz J. (Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:14 (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Rosario Central were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Rosario Central - San Lorenzo 0:1
    01.07.2023 San Lorenzo - Rosario Central 1:0
    27.08.2022 San Lorenzo - Rosario Central 1:1
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    Latest results of Rosario Central
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P32013:216
    2Barracas Central32014:406
    3Central Cordoba31203:215
    4Union de Santa Fe31202:115
    5Ind. Rivadavia31114:224
    6Belgrano31113:124
    7Defensa y Justicia31113:214
    8Newells Old Boys31113:304
    9Tigre31113:304
    10Banfield31113:4-14
    11Racing Club31021:2-13
    12Huracan31022:5-33
    13Argentinos Jrs30211:2-12
    14Boca Juniors30211:2-12
    15Aldosivi30210:2-22


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate32107:167
    2Dep. Riestra32014:316
    3Rosario Central31202:115
    4Velez Sarsfield31202:115
    5San Lorenzo31202:115
    6San Martin S.J31114:404
    7Talleres Cordoba31113:304
    8Atl. Tucuman31113:304
    9Gimnasia L.P31111:104
    10Instituto31111:4-34
    11Lanus31022:203
    12Godoy Cruz30301:103
    13Sarmiento Junin30212:4-22
    14Platense30211:3-22
    15Independiente30123:5-21

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)