San Lorenzo vs Rosario Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional San Lorenzo - Rosario Central
Result
0:1
26/04/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaAFA Play, ESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
portugalPortugalSport TV3
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldDisney+, TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.84
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
84% (341/406)82% (287/350)
Yellow Cards
54
Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.331.88
Total shots
109
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2013
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
139
Passes
84% (341/406)82% (287/350)
Long passes
66% (29/44)49% (19/39)
Passes in final third
72% (91/127)72% (78/108)
Crosses
26% (5/19)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.79
Throw-ins
929
Fouls
913
Tackles
76% (13/17)50% (7/14)
Duels won
5335
Clearances
3427
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.880.33
Goals prevented
0.540.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Lopez S. 🟨,
  • 42', Navarro F. 🟨,
  • 43', Malcorra I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Lovera M. , Duarte G. ,
  • 61', Broun J. 🟨,
  • 65', Irala E. 🟨,
  • 66', Gimenez E. , O'Connor T. ,
  • 66', Lopez S. , Giaccone L. ,
  • 70', Braida M. 🟨,
  • 72', Braida M. , Reali M. ,
  • 73', Romana J. 🟨,
  • 74', Cerutti E. 🟨,
  • 76', Reali M. 🟨,
  • 83', Irala E. , Cecchini E. ,
  • 83', Vombergar A. , Cuello A. ,
  • 90+1', 0 - 1, Copetti E. , Giaccone L. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Lorenzo
39.3%
Draw
34.7%
Rosario Central
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 30.2% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 29.3% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.
  • Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • San Lorenzo - Rosario Central Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.04)
    2.71
    (3.13)
    3.65
    (4.06)
    5.8%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Rosario Central?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Rosario will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Lorenzo: 10.6%60.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 50%). Rosario (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • San Lorenzo is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Rosario is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 2.
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • San Lorenzo will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F. (Elbow Injury) Dominguez N. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Inactive) Ibarra F. (Yellow Cards) Lovera M. (Injury) Modica A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rosario: Campaz J. (Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:14 (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Rosario Central were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Rosario Central - San Lorenzo 0:1
    01.07.2023 San Lorenzo - Rosario Central 1:0
    27.08.2022 San Lorenzo - Rosario Central 1:1
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    Latest results of Rosario Central
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Cordoba1356216:10621
    2Estudiantes L.P1363415:13221
    3Union de Santa Fe1355319:13620
    4Defensa y Justicia1354413:13019
    5Argentinos Jrs1353515:10518
    6Belgrano1346313:10318
    7Barracas Central1246215:13218
    8Tigre1346313:11218
    9Racing Club1353514:13118
    10Boca Juniors1245319:10917
    11Banfield1352612:18-617
    12Huracan134456:11-516
    13Ind. Rivadavia1326511:14-312
    14Newells Old Boys1325611:21-1011
    15Aldosivi132385:15-109


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1383218:9927
    2Rosario Central1376015:6927
    3Lanus1382315:9626
    4Velez Sarsfield1374219:91025
    5River Plate1363420:12821
    6San Lorenzo1354411:10119
    7San Martin S.J1345410:11-117
    8Atl. Tucuman1343614:15-115
    9Sarmiento Junin134369:14-515
    10Instituto133647:12-515
    11Talleres Cordoba133557:12-514
    12Gimnasia L.P134188:16-813
    13Platense1325611:20-911
    14Godoy Cruz131759:16-710
    15Independiente131669:13-49

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)