Result
0:1
26/04/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | AFA Play, ESPN Premium |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (341/406) | 82% (287/350) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (341/406) | 82% (287/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (29/44) | 49% (19/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (91/127) | 72% (78/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Lopez S. 🟨,
- 42', Navarro F. 🟨,
- 43', Malcorra I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lovera M. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
- 61', Broun J. 🟨,
- 65', Irala E. 🟨,
- 66', Gimenez E. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
- 66', Lopez S. ↓, Giaccone L. ↑,
- 70', Braida M. 🟨,
- 72', Braida M. ↓, Reali M. ↑,
- 73', Romana J. 🟨,
- 74', Cerutti E. 🟨,
- 76', Reali M. 🟨,
- 83', Irala E. ↓, Cecchini E. ↑,
- 83', Vombergar A. ↓, Cuello A. ↑,
- 90+1', 0 - 1, Copetti E. ⚽, Giaccone L. (A),
Chances of winning
San Lorenzo
39.3% | Draw
34.7% | Rosario Central
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
San Lorenzo - Rosario Central Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.04) |
2.71 ↓
(3.13) |
3.65 ↓
(4.06) |
5.8%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Rosario Central?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Rosario will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Lorenzo: 10.6% – 60.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 50%). Rosario (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- San Lorenzo is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Rosario is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 2.
- Now both teams are in good shape.
- San Lorenzo will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F.
(Elbow Injury)
Dominguez N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J.
(Inactive)
Ibarra F.
(Yellow Cards)
Lovera M.
(Injury)
Modica A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Rosario: Campaz J.
(Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:14 (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Rosario Central?
San Lorenzo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rosario Central won against San Lorenzo?
Rosario Central has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Rosario Central were as follows:
09.11.2024
Rosario Central
-
San Lorenzo
0:1
01.07.2023
San Lorenzo
-
Rosario Central
1:0
27.08.2022
San Lorenzo
-
Rosario Central
1:1
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Latest results of Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barracas Central | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Estudiantes L.P | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Huracan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 |
| 5 | Union de Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Tigre | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Banfield | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Newells Old Boys | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 11 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 11 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Lanus | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Velez Sarsfield | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Dep. Riestra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Gimnasia L.P | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Platense | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Instituto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 5 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Independiente | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
