Result
0:1
26/04/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
Argentina | AFA Play, ESPN Premium |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
China | K-Ball |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Italy | Como TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Usa | Fanatiz |
World | Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.49 | 0.84 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
84% (341/406) | 82% (287/350) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.49 | 0.84 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.33 | 1.88 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 9 |
Passes |
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84% (341/406) | 82% (287/350) |
Long passes |
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66% (29/44) | 49% (19/39) |
Passes in final third |
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72% (91/127) | 72% (78/108) |
Crosses |
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26% (5/19) | 15% (3/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.68 | 0.79 |
Throw-ins |
---|
9 | 29 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 13 |
Tackles |
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76% (13/17) | 50% (7/14) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 35 |
Clearances |
---|
34 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.88 | 0.33 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.54 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Lopez S. 🟨,
- 42', Navarro F. 🟨,
- 43', Malcorra I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lovera M. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
- 61', Broun J. 🟨,
- 65', Irala E. 🟨,
- 66', Gimenez E. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
- 66', Lopez S. ↓, Giaccone L. ↑,
- 70', Braida M. 🟨,
- 72', Braida M. ↓, Reali M. ↑,
- 73', Romana J. 🟨,
- 74', Cerutti E. 🟨,
- 76', Reali M. 🟨,
- 83', Irala E. ↓, Cecchini E. ↑,
- 83', Vombergar A. ↓, Cuello A. ↑,
- 90+1', 0 - 1, Copetti E. ⚽, Giaccone L. (A),
Chances of winning
San Lorenzo 39.3% | Draw 34.7% | Rosario Central 25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
San Lorenzo - Rosario Central Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.41 ↑ (2.04) |
2.71 ↓ (3.13) |
3.65 ↓ (4.06) |
5.8% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Rosario Central?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Rosario will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Lorenzo: 10.6% – 60.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 50%). Rosario (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- San Lorenzo is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Rosario is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 2.
- Now both teams are in good shape.
- San Lorenzo will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F.
(Elbow Injury)
Dominguez N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J.
(Inactive)
Ibarra F.
(Yellow Cards)
Lovera M.
(Injury)
Modica A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Rosario: Campaz J.
(Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:14 (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Rosario Central?
San Lorenzo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rosario Central won against San Lorenzo?
Rosario Central has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Rosario Central were as follows:
09.11.2024
Rosario Central
-
San Lorenzo
0:1
01.07.2023
San Lorenzo
-
Rosario Central
1:0
27.08.2022
San Lorenzo
-
Rosario Central
1:1
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Latest results of Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
2 | Barracas Central | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
4 | Union de Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
5 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
6 | Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
7 | Defensa y Justicia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Newells Old Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
12 | Huracan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
13 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
14 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
15 | Aldosivi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 7 |
2 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Rosario Central | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
4 | Velez Sarsfield | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
5 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
6 | San Martin S.J | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Talleres Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Atl. Tucuman | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Gimnasia L.P | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Instituto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
11 | Lanus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Godoy Cruz | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Sarmiento Junin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
14 | Platense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
15 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)