San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes La Serena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Cup San Marcos de Arica - Deportes La Serena
Result
1:0
22/03/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHILE: Copa Chile - Round 4

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Rojas J. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Abalos A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Rosales F. , Plaza D. ,
  • 68', Chamorro F. , Rivera M. ,
  • 68', Jara Gonzalez G. A. , Pinto M. ,
  • 68', Abalos A. , Melivilu Fuentes C. ,
  • 68', Barrios A. , Caceres C. ,
  • 73', Caceres C. 🟨,
  • 77', Alarcon L. , Zanini A. ,
  • 77', Gallegos S. , Diaz F. ,
  • 77', Ovando L. , Moreira E. ,
  • 80', Camarda M. , Gauna N. A. ,
  • 85', Dinamarca F. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+7', Moreira E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


San Marcos de Arica
41.1%
Draw
29.2%
Deportes La Serena
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 27.7% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 27.4% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Marcos de Arica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes La Serena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • San Marcos de Arica - Deportes La Serena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.4)
    3.11
    (3.25)
    3.12
    (2.6)
    8.8%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches San Marcos de Arica won 1.
    • San Marcos de Arica is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Deportes La Serena is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • San Marcos de Arica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • San Marcos de Arica will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches San Marcos de Arica won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:21 (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams San Marcos de Arica won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcos de Arica - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Deportes La Serena - San Marcos de Arica 2:1
    14.09.2024 San Marcos de Arica - Deportes La Serena 1:1
    06.05.2024 Deportes La Serena - San Marcos de Arica 2:1
    19.08.2023 Deportes La Serena - San Marcos de Arica 1:1
    17.04.2023 San Marcos de Arica - Deportes La Serena 2:1
    Latest results of San Marcos de Arica
    Latest results of Deportes La Serena
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1LimacheCobreloa3 : 0, 3 : 1
    2Union La CaleraCoquimbo1 : 4, 1 : 2
    3AntofagastaS. Wanderers2 : 3, 0 : 3
    4La SerenaSan Luis4 : 1, 1 : 3
    5U. De ChileCurico Unido2 : 2, 1 : 2
    6A. ItalianoDeportes Temuco2 : 0, 2 : 1
    7NublenseMagallanes2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8HuachipatoD. Concepcion2 : 0, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1LimacheCoquimbo3 : 2, 2 : 1
    2S. WanderersLa Serena1 : 5, 2 : 4
    3Curico UnidoA. Italiano0 : 1, 0 : 1
    4NublenseHuachipato1 : 2, 2 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1LimacheLa Serena
    2A. ItalianoHuachipato