Result
1:1
20/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Apertura - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Roth J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', Molina D. ↓, Treppo E. ↑,
- 55', Gimenez F. ↓, Camejo F. ↑,
- 56', Auzqui D. ↓, Chavez B. ↑,
- 59', Kreiman B. ↓, Mayola E. ↑,
- 63', Gomez F. 🟨,
- 68', Laborda L. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 0, Treppo E. ⚽,
- 75', Roth J. ↓, Siliman A. ↑,
- 82', Rojas J. ↓, Benitez E. ↑,
- 82', Rivero J. ↓, Aguirre F. ↑,
- 83', Davila M. ↓, Mozzone E. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Mozzone E. ⚽,
- 87', Sergi L. ↓, Serpa I. ↑,
- 89', Tobon J. 🟨,
- 90', Treppo E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
San Martín de Burzaco
32.9% | Draw
34.4% | Sportivo Italiano
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Martín de Burzaco's form might have worsened.Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo Italiano's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Martín de Burzaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Italiano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Martín de Burzaco - Sportivo Italiano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↑
(2.2) |
2.67 ↓
(2.93) |
2.81 ↓
(3.51) |
9%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for San Martín de Burzaco - Sportivo Italiano?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. SM de Burzaco will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Sportivo Italiano will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for SM de Burzaco: 2.5% – 64.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. SM de Burzaco (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 2.
- SM de Burzaco has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sportivo Italiano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, SM de Burzaco won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has San Martín de Burzaco won against Sportivo Italiano?
San Martín de Burzaco has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Italiano won against San Martín de Burzaco?
Sportivo Italiano has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de Burzaco - Sportivo Italiano were as follows:
29.06.2024
San Martín de Burzaco
-
Sportivo Italiano
0:0
11.02.2024
Sportivo Italiano
-
San Martín de Burzaco
1:1
10.07.2023
Sportivo Italiano
-
San Martín de Burzaco
0:4
04.03.2023
San Martín de Burzaco
-
Sportivo Italiano
2:1
03.09.2022
San Martín de Burzaco
-
Sportivo Italiano
0:0
Latest results of San Martín de Burzaco
Latest results of Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera B Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Villa San Carlos | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:6 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Sportivo Italiano | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Midland | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Real Pilar | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Flandria | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Deportivo Armenio | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Sacachispas | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Acassuso | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Laferrere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Brown Adrogue | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 12 | Argentino de Quilmes | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | UAI Urquiza | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Fenix | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Dep. Merlo | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Liniers | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 17 | Dock Sud | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 18 | Comunicaciones | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 19 | Villa Dalmine | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 | Argentino de Merlo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 21 | Excursionistas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)
