Result
1:0
28/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 33
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Gerez M. ⚽, Juarez N. (A),
- 7', Salto C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 70', Veliz D. ↓, Chiozza L. ↑,
- 71', Sala S. G. ↓, Albertengo M. ↑,
- 73', Salto C. ↓, Jerez T. ↑,
- 73', Dening E. ↓, Nasta B. ↑,
- 73', Ferrero J. ↓, Sosa D. ↑,
- 73', Juarez J. ↓, Mosca C. ↑,
- 83', Palacios P. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
- 90+1', Gerez M. ↓, Federico T. ↑,
- 90+2', Cravero T. ↓, Gordillo T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Güemes 46.7% | Draw 33.9% | San Miguel 19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Güemes - San Miguel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.74 ↓ (2.17) |
2.37 ↓ (2.55) |
4 ↓ (4.45) |
24.9% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Güemes - San Miguel?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Güemes will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). San Miguel will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - San Miguel (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Miguel (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- San Miguel is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- San Miguel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Güemes is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Güemes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Güemes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Güemes won against San Miguel?
Güemes has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Miguel won against Güemes?
San Miguel has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Güemes - San Miguel were as follows:
24.05.2025
San Miguel
-
Güemes
1:1
21.09.2024
Güemes
-
San Miguel
2:0
04.05.2024
San Miguel
-
Güemes
1:0
Latest results of San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Acassuso | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | San Miguel | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Almirante Brown | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Ferro | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 5 | Deportivo Moron | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | Colon Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Def. de Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | All Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | CA Mitre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Godoy Cruz | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Ciudad Bolivar | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Deportivo Madryn | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Los Andes | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | San Telmo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Central Norte | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Chaco For Ever | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | CA Estudiantes | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Nueva Chicago | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | San Martin T | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Tristan Suarez | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Chacarita Juniors | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Midland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Atl. Rafaela | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Atletico Atlanta | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Temperley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Club A. Guemes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Colegiales | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Agropecuario | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Patronato | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Quilmes | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Almagro | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation