Güemes vs San Miguel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Güemes - San Miguel
Result
1:0
28/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 33

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
30
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
84
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Gerez M. , Juarez N. (A),
  • 7', Salto C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 70', Veliz D. , Chiozza L. ,
  • 71', Sala S. G. , Albertengo M. ,
  • 73', Salto C. , Jerez T. ,
  • 73', Dening E. , Nasta B. ,
  • 73', Ferrero J. , Sosa D. ,
  • 73', Juarez J. , Mosca C. ,
  • 83', Palacios P. , Alvarez M. ,
  • 90+1', Gerez M. , Federico T. ,
  • 90+2', Cravero T. , Gordillo T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Güemes
46.7%
Draw
33.9%
San Miguel
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 36.4% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 35.2% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Güemes - San Miguel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (2.17)
    2.37
    (2.55)
    4
    (4.45)
    24.9%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Güemes - San Miguel?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Güemes will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). San Miguel will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • San Miguel is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • San Miguel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Güemes is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Güemes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Güemes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Güemes - San Miguel were as follows:
    24.05.2025 San Miguel - Güemes 1:1
    21.09.2024 Güemes - San Miguel 2:0
    04.05.2024 San Miguel - Güemes 1:0
    Latest results of Güemes
    22.09.2025 Quilmes - Güemes 0:0
    31.08.2025 Güemes - Colegiales 1:0
    23.08.2025 Arsenal Sarandí - Güemes 2:1
    Latest results of San Miguel
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn ✔ 341612645:281760
    2Atletico Atlanta ✔ 341413731:28355
    3Tristan Suarez ✔ 341216633:231052
    4Gimnasia y Tiro ✔ 341312934:231151
    5San Miguel ✔ 341214832:28450
    6San Martin T. ✔ 341213932:29349
    7Deportivo Maipu ✔ 3412121034:30448
    8Patronato ✔ 3412121031:28348
    9Colegiales341381326:26047
    10Racing Cordoba3410111338:45-741
    11Ferro3410111324:33-941
    12Los Andes3310101328:28040
    13Club A. Guemes348161028:32-440
    14Quilmes348141230:32-238
    15All Boys33717923:25-238
    16Almagro347141324:31-735
    17Arsenal Sarandi ✔ 348101638:47-934
    18Alvarado ✔ 346151318:33-1533


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Mendoza341712535:181763
    2Estudiantes Rio Cuarto341612635:221360
    3CA Estudiantes34178941:221959
    4Deportivo Moron341513636:191758
    5Gimnasia Jujuy ✔ 341512736:201657
    6Temperley341413730:22855
    7Agropecuario341591043:34954
    8Chaco For Ever341581134:26853
    9Chacarita Juniors341213937:29849
    10Def. de Belgrano3412121030:26448
    11Nueva Chicago3410111327:33-641
    12San Telmo3410111331:42-1141
    13CA Mitre3410101428:31-340
    14Almirante Brown348121428:38-1036
    15Central Norte341061827:41-1436
    16Colon Santa Fe34952022:39-1732
    17Talleres (R.E) ✔ 34652317:40-2323
    18Defensores Unidos ✔ 343121917:52-3521

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Deportivo Madryn is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Super final )
    Atletico Atlanta is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Tristan Suarez is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Gimnasia y Tiro is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    San Miguel is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    San Martin T. is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Deportivo Maipu is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Patronato is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Arsenal Sarandi is Relegated to
    Alvarado is Relegated to
    Gimnasia Jujuy is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Talleres (R.E) is Relegated to
    Defensores Unidos is Relegated to