Güemes vs San Miguel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
28/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 33

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
30
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
84
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Gerez M. , Juarez N. (A),
  • 7', Salto C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 70', Veliz D. , Chiozza L. ,
  • 71', Sala S. G. , Albertengo M. ,
  • 73', Salto C. , Jerez T. ,
  • 73', Dening E. , Nasta B. ,
  • 73', Ferrero J. , Sosa D. ,
  • 73', Juarez J. , Mosca C. ,
  • 83', Palacios P. , Alvarez M. ,
  • 90+1', Gerez M. , Federico T. ,
  • 90+2', Cravero T. , Gordillo T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Güemes
46.7%
Draw
33.9%
San Miguel
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 36.4% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 35.2% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Güemes - San Miguel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (2.17)
    2.37
    (2.55)
    4
    (4.45)
    24.9%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Güemes - San Miguel?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Güemes will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). San Miguel will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - San Miguel (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. San Miguel (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • San Miguel is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • San Miguel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Güemes is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Güemes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Güemes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Güemes - San Miguel were as follows:
    24.05.2025 San Miguel - Güemes 1:1
    21.09.2024 Güemes - San Miguel 2:0
    04.05.2024 San Miguel - Güemes 1:0
    Latest results of Güemes
    22.09.2025 Quilmes - Güemes 0:0
    31.08.2025 Güemes - Colegiales 1:0
    23.08.2025 Arsenal Sarandí - Güemes 2:1
    Latest results of San Miguel
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colon Santa Fe852111:5617
    2Def. de Belgrano83508:3514
    3Deportivo Moron842212:8414
    4Godoy Cruz83418:6213
    5Deportivo Madryn833211:7412
    6Los Andes83326:3312
    7San Miguel83328:8012
    8Racing Cordoba83235:8-311
    9Ciudad Bolivar81705:3210
    10Ferro82336:7-19
    11Acassuso83058:10-29
    12All Boys82334:6-29
    13Central Norte82333:5-29
    14CA Estudiantes83055:8-39
    15CA Mitre81527:9-28
    16San Telmo822410:13-38
    17Almirante Brown82245:8-38
    18Chaco For Ever81258:14-65


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy860212:10218
    2Tristan Suarez74309:2715
    3San Martin T835010:5514
    4Nueva Chicago74218:4414
    5Temperley83417:5213
    6Midland73316:3312
    7Quilmes832311:7411
    8Atl. Rafaela73226:5111
    9Gimnasia y Tiro83238:9-111
    10Club A. Guemes82339:11-29
    11Almagro82244:6-28
    12Chacarita Juniors82248:11-38
    13Agropecuario82246:9-38
    14Patronato82244:9-58
    15San Martin S.J71426:7-17
    16Atletico Atlanta72146:7-17
    17Deportivo Maipu821510:13-37
    18Colegiales82155:11-67

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation