Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Johor Darul Takzim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaParamount+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
chinaChinaiQIYI
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
pakistanPakistanTapmad
russiaRussiaTV Start
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
ukraineUkraineSport 2
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball, Sport 2 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.000.22
Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
14
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
93
Passes
77% (335/433)58% (148/257)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
2.000.22
xG on target (xGOT)
0.790.43
Total shots
166
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
60
Blocked shots
92
Shots inside the box
134
Shots outside the box
32
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
308
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
2016
Passes
77% (335/433)58% (148/257)
Long passes
52% (32/62)15% (10/67)
Passes in final third
74% (125/170)49% (38/78)
Crosses
14% (6/44)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.13
Throw ins
2417
Fouls
1620
Tackles
100% (4/4)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4441
Clearances
1248
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
40
xGOT faced
0.430.79
Goals prevented
0.43-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Jairo 🟨,
  • 32', Germain R. 🟨,
  • 37', Nene 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fazail A. , Aketxe A. ,
  • 48', Aketxe A. 🟨,
  • 55', Sasaki S. , Arai N. ,
  • 56', Nakamura S. , Kinoshita K. ,
  • 61', Kinoshita K. 🟨,
  • 68', Silva J. , Lowry S. ,
  • 73', Suzuki A. , Kato M. ,
  • 73', Germain R. , Nakajima Y. ,
  • 86', Jairo , Bergson ,
  • 87', Shichi T. , Ohara M. ,
  • 90', 1 - 0, Kinoshita K. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3ncy5wmt

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sanfrecce Hiroshima
61.5%
Draw
19.8%
Johor Darul Takzim
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 19.8% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63% 21.4% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Johor Darul Takzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Johor Darul Takzim than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Johor Darul Takzim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.6)
    4.73
    (4.72)
    5.04
    (4.28)
    6.5%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Johor Darul Takzim?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Johor (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Johor (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-3. Second leg.
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Hiroshima has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Johor is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Hiroshima is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Hiroshima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Johor Darul Takzim were as follows:
    04.03.2026 Johor Darul Takzim - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3:1
    10.02.2026 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Johor Darul Takzim 2:1
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Latest results of Johor Darul Takzim
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Al Hilal (1)Al-Sadd (8)
    2Al Ahli SC (2)Al-Duhail (7)
    3Tractor (3)Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6)
    4Al Ittihad (4)Al Wahda (5)
    5Machida (1)Gangwon (8)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    6Vissel Kobe (2)Seoul (7)2 : 1, 1 : 0
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3)Johor DT (6)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    8Buriram (4)Melbourne City (5)1 : 0, 1 : 1