Result
2:1
25/04/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (416/520) | 75% (275/368) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (416/520) | 75% (275/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (33/64) | 33% (19/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (91/130) | 69% (88/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (9/34) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.59 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Thiago Andrade ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Thiago Andrade ↓, Sakuragawa S. ↑,
- 53', Ohata A. 🟨,
- 56', Nakajima Y. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
- 56', Arslan T. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
- 63', Shiotani T. 🟨,
- 63', Homma S. ↓, Uejo S. ↑,
- 72', Kato M. ↓, Germain R. ↑,
- 72', Suzuki A. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
- 78', Shibayama M. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
- 78', Okuda H. ↓, Cools D. ↑,
- 85', Matsumoto T. ↓, Ohara M. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Cools D. (Own goal),
- 88', Nakajima M. ↓, Yokoyama Y. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Kinoshita K. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
56.7% | Draw
23.5% | Cerezo Osaka
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.54) |
4 ↓
(4.39) |
4.77 ↓
(5.48) |
6.5%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Hiroshima is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Hiroshima: Kim Ju-Sung
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L.
(Knee Injury)
Sakata R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Takahashi T.
(Back Injury)
Yengi K.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Homma S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:14. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Cerezo Osaka?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Cerezo Osaka has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
22.02.2026
Cerezo Osaka
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:2
31.08.2025
Cerezo Osaka
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:1
06.04.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:1
11.08.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:0
26.05.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:1
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 32 |
| 3 | Machida | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Verdy | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 24 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 20:25 | 20 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Mito | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:28 | 18 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21:26 | 16 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13:26 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 15 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 28:21 | 25 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Okayama | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18:27 | 18 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14:22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
