Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shanghai Port – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Port
Result
1:1
30/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 2
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic, Sport 2 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.40
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
217
Shots on target
112
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
141
Passes
79% (390/495)74% (270/363)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.140.49
Total shots
217
Shots on target
112
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
141
Touches in opposition box
3610
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
109
Passes
79% (390/495)74% (270/363)
Long passes
38% (26/68)29% (19/65)
Passes in final third
67% (144/216)57% (50/88)
Crosses
26% (10/38)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.52
Throw-ins
2418
Fouls
910
Tackles
79% (19/24)73% (16/22)
Duels won
5460
Clearances
3260
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
110
xGOT faced
0.491.14
Goals prevented
-0.510.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Shiotani T. 🟨,
  • 19', 1 - 0, Araki H. , Higashi S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Marcos Junior , Kato M. ,
  • 55', Kim Ju-Sung 🟨,
  • 64', Kuai Jiwen , Leonardo ,
  • 64', Fu Huan , Lu Wenjun ,
  • 65', Maeda N. , Nakajima Y. ,
  • 65', Kinoshita K. , Germain V. ,
  • 73', Matheus Jussa , Yang Shiyuan ,
  • 73', Melendo O. , Gabrielzinho ,
  • 77', Jojo A. C. 🟨,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Gabrielzinho , Wei Zhen (A),
  • 87', Kawabe H. , Suga D. ,
  • 87', Higashi S. , Arslan T. ,
  • 90', Gustavo 🟥,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yc4fdvn8

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
Draw
14.4%
Shanghai Port
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.6% 17.4% 11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9% 16.6% 11.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sanfrecce Hiroshima's performance.
  • Shanghai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Port Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.33)
    6.53
    (5.39)
    9.76
    (7.88)
    6.5%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Port?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Shanghai Port will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 50%). Shanghai Port (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Hiroshima (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hiroshima is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shanghai Port has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hiroshima is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Hiroshima will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Latest results of Shanghai Port
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ulsan HD32104:227
    2Vissel Kobe32017:436
    3Gangwon32016:516
    4Machida31203:125
    5Shanghai Shenhua31114:314
    6Seoul31114:314
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima31113:214
    8Johor DT31113:214
    9Melbourne City31022:4-23
    10Chengdu Rongcheng31022:4-23
    11Buriram31023:6-33
    12Shanghai Port30121:6-51


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal33008:449
    2Al Ahli SC321010:467
    3Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai32106:247
    4Al Wahda32105:237
    5Tractor31206:155
    6Al Sharjah31115:9-44
    7Al Ittihad31025:413
    8Al-Gharafa31025:8-33
    9Al-Sadd30213:5-22
    10Al-Duhail30124:7-31
    11Al Shorta30122:7-51
    12Nasaf Qarshi30035:11-60

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