Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shonan Bellmare – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
06/12/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 38
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan, NHK Hiroshima

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.290.93
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
87
Passes
73% (321/437)71% (235/333)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.290.93
xG on target (xGOT)
1.970.84
Total shots
179
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
87
Touches in opposition box
4013
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
89
Passes
73% (321/437)71% (235/333)
Long passes
41% (22/54)25% (12/48)
Passes in final third
66% (132/201)69% (59/86)
Crosses
31% (9/29)7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.600.39
Throw-ins
2720
Fouls
98
Tackles
72% (13/18)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4632
Clearances
1445
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
0.841.97
Goals prevented
0.84-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Germain R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 66', Koshimichi S. , Kinoshita K. ,
  • 67', Arslan T. , Kato M. ,
  • 69', Ota S. , Fujii T. ,
  • 78', 0 - 1, Kawabe H. (Own goal),
  • 81', Nakamura S. , Suga D. ,
  • 82', Germain R. , Germain V. ,
  • 82', Nitta R. , Ishibashi S. ,
  • 82', Ikeda M. , Okuno K. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Germain V. , Suga D. (A),
  • 90', 2 - 1, Kinoshita K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+2', Barada A. , Watanabe K. ,
  • 90+2', Tamura S. , Okuno H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76.4%
Draw
15.3%
Shonan Bellmare
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73% 17.5% 9.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shonan Bellmare Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.29)
    6.13
    (5.38)
    11.33
    (9.9)
    5.7%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shonan Bellmare?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Hiroshima (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • Shonan Bellmare is Relegated to J2 League
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 3.
    • Hiroshima is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hiroshima is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Matsumoto H. (Red Card) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Oda Y. (Leg Injury) Onose K. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:16. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:7. (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shonan Bellmare 4:1
    03.09.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3:2
    07.05.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1
    19.10.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:1
    07.04.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shonan Bellmare 2:0
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers430107:410
    2Machida4211010:89
    3Verdy4210110:78
    4Kawasaki Frontale4120110:77
    5Urawa Reds420117:57
    6FC Tokyo412016:57
    7Mito401217:104
    8Kashiwa Reysol410036:93
    9Yokohama F. Marinos410035:83
    10Chiba400222:72


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kyoto421107:49
    2Sanfrecce Hiroshima421018:58
    3Vissel Kobe421016:38
    4Gamba Osaka412106:48
    5V-Varen Nagasaki420025:66
    6Nagoya Grampus411114:56
    7Shimizu S-Pulse410214:65
    8Cerezo Osaka410123:44
    9Okayama401215:74
    10Avispa Fukuoka401033:72

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)