Shonan Bellmare vs Tokyo Verdy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
03/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.50
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
60
Passes
79% (411/519)74% (232/315)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.171.17
Total shots
107
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
60
Touches in opposition box
2112
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
79% (411/519)74% (232/315)
Long passes
41% (31/76)26% (16/61)
Passes in final third
62% (93/149)51% (45/89)
Crosses
15% (4/27)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.70
Throw-ins
2832
Fouls
1314
Tackles
78% (7/9)50% (8/16)
Duels won
5648
Clearances
2046
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.170.17
Goals prevented
0.170.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Toyama S. , Matsuhashi Y. ,
  • 55', 0 - 1, Someno I. , Matsuhashi Y. (A),
  • 57', Matsuhashi Y. 🟨,
  • 66', Morita K. , Hirakawa R. ,
  • 68', Hiraoka T. , Okuno H. ,
  • 68', Watanabe K. , Nitta R. ,
  • 70', Arai Y. , Hirao H. ,
  • 73', Uchida Y. 🟨,
  • 76', Matsumura S. , Nakano S. ,
  • 80', Someno I. , Teranuma S. ,
  • 80', Uchida Y. , Inami T. ,
  • 83', Fujii T. , Ikeda M. ,
  • 83', Onose K. , Oda Y. ,
  • 90+1', Inami T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shonan Bellmare
28.6%
Draw
31.3%
Tokyo Verdy
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 30.7% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 30.7% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.29
    (2.98)
    3.01
    (3.11)
    2.36
    (2.58)
    6%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo Verdy: 30.1%75.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Tokyo Verdy (1.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.25 - Shonan Bellmare (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tokyo Verdy will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tokyo Verdy (votes: 9 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 4.
    • Shonan Bellmare is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Tokyo Verdy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Shonan Bellmare has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Ishii H. (International duty) Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Takahashi N. (Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare 0:2
    06.10.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare 0:2
    10.07.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy 1:0
    03.04.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy 1:2
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers131002121:932
    2FC Tokyo13732127:1329
    3Machida12541220:1824
    4Verdy12530419:1621
    5Kawasaki Frontale13521520:2320
    6Mito13234419:2716
    7Urawa Reds13403618:1915
    8Yokohama F. Marinos13500820:2415
    9Kashiwa Reysol13310916:2011
    10Chiba13203813:249


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe12713123:1326
    2Nagoya Grampus13523323:1922
    3Gamba Osaka14353323:2122
    4Sanfrecce Hiroshima13521521:1820
    5Kyoto12431419:1619
    6Cerezo Osaka13431515:1319
    7Shimizu S-Pulse13324416:1817
    8Okayama13324417:2417
    9Avispa Fukuoka14332617:2517
    10V-Varen Nagasaki13501713:2016

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)