Varzim vs Sanjoanense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
17/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
54
Corner kicks
25
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
127
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
73
Corner kicks
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', Gomes V. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Franca F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Rebelo M. 🟨,
  • 59', Rebelo M. , Boloto ,
  • 59', Filipe L. , Pimenta G. ,
  • 59', Teixeira G. , Chamito ,
  • 71', Couto J. , Maicol J. ,
  • 75', Collazos J. 🟨,
  • 80', Pedro Clemente , Sequeira D. ,
  • 81', 2 - 0, Chamito ,
  • 85', Vila Cova M. 🟨,
  • 87', Franca F. , Benchi D. ,
  • 87', Talles Wander , Gomes R. ,

Chances of winning


Varzim
59.6%
Draw
23.9%
Sanjoanense
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 26.4% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 24.9% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varzim's performance.
  • Sanjoanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Varzim - Sanjoanense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.68)
    3.83
    (3.43)
    5.51
    (4.61)
    9.5%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
    • Sanjoanense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varzim won 4.
    • Recent performances by Varzim have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sanjoanense is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Varzim is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Varzim won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Varzim won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Varzim - Sanjoanense were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Sanjoanense - Varzim 3:3
    12.01.2025 Sanjoanense - Varzim 1:2
    28.09.2024 Varzim - Sanjoanense 3:0
    21.01.2024 Sanjoanense - Varzim 0:3
    08.10.2023 Varzim - Sanjoanense 2:1
    Latest results of Varzim
    04.01.2026 Fafe - Varzim 1:0
    20.12.2025 Varzim - Trofense 0:1
    13.12.2025 Paredes - Varzim 0:0
    07.12.2025 Varzim - Braga B 3:1
    Latest results of Sanjoanense
    10.01.2026 Sanjoanense - Trofense 2:4
    04.01.2026 Paredes - Sanjoanense 3:0
    20.12.2025 Sanjoanense - Braga B 0:2
    06.12.2025 Sanjoanense - Amarante 0:2
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Varzim32014:226
    2Os Belenenses31205:415
    3Vitoria Guimaraes B31113:304
    4Academica21013:303
    5Amarante21012:203
    6Santarem21012:203
    7Mafra21011:103
    8Trofense30121:4-31

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