Result
2:1
26/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 31
- Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 0.15 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (216/287) | 86% (446/520) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 0.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 3 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (216/287) | 86% (446/520) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (23/51) | 58% (34/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (66/111) | 65% (55/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 0% (0/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 0.14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.90 | -1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', Ferreira P. ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
- 27', Gustavo Klismahn 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Zalazar R. ⚽, Luisinho (A),
- 40', Tiknaz D. E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 47', Gabriel Silva 🟨,
- 48', Vitor Carvalho ↓, Oliveira P. ↑,
- 48', Tiknaz D. E. ↓, Gorby ↑,
- 48', Zalazar R. ↓, Vasconcelos ↑,
- 51', El Ouazzani A. 🟨,
- 60', El Ouazzani A. ↓, Grillitsch F. ↑,
- 60', Lima S. 🟨,
- 64', Oliveira P. 🟨,
- 65', Gustavo Klismahn ↓, Welinton Torrao ↑,
- 69', Gorby 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 1, Paciencia G. ⚽, Venancio F. (A),
- 78', Tavares J. 🟨,
- 79', Paciencia G. ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
- 79', Brenner ↓, Darlan ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Gabriel Silva ⚽,
- 86', Grillitsch F. ↓, Mordomo R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Santa Clara
28% | Draw
30.9% | Braga
41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Braga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Santa Clara - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.42 ↓
(3.85) |
3.06 ↓
(3.2) |
2.31 ↑
(2.05) |
5.3%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Santa Clara - Braga?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Braga will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 25.1% – 83.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Santa Clara (2.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Santa Clara (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 0.
- Santa Clara has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Braga is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Braga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Braga will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Santa Clara: Silva H.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Braga: Barisic A.
(Muscle Injury)
Moutinho J.
(Yellow Cards)
Niakate S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Rodrigues D.
(Ankle Injury)
Victor P.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Santa Clara: MT
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Braga: Arrey-Mbi B.
(Injury)
Martinez G.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 15:40. (average 0.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.1:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Braga?
Santa Clara has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Santa Clara?
Braga has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Clara - Braga were as follows:
15.12.2025
Braga
-
Santa Clara
1:0
29.10.2025
Braga
-
Santa Clara
5:0
03.05.2025
Braga
-
Santa Clara
1:1
22.12.2024
Santa Clara
-
Braga
0:2
14.05.2023
Braga
-
Santa Clara
5:3
Latest results of Santa Clara
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
