Result
2:0
16/04/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 4
- Referee: Machado B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (233/290) | 87% (426/490) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (233/290) | 87% (426/490) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (21/46) | 67% (35/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (54/81) | 76% (109/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.89 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 44 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 40 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 2.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Ze Ivaldo ⚽,
- 27', 2 - 0, Barreal A. ⚽, Gabriel Bontempo (A),
- 34', Neymar ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
- 45+1', Caio Paulista 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
- 46', Renzo Saravia ↓, Natanael ↑,
- 46', Godoy L. ↓, Joao Pedro Chermont ↑,
- 56', Caio Paulista ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
- 62', Gil 🟨,
- 63', Ze Ivaldo 🟨,
- 71', Fausto Vera ↓, Bernard ↑,
- 75', Barreal A. ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
- 76', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Rincon T. ↑,
- 77', Hulk 🟨,
- 77', Hulk ↓, Joao Marcelo ↑,
- 87', Rollheiser B. ↓, Thaciano ↑,
- 90+5', Cuello 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santos
38.8% | Draw
30% | Atlético Mineiro
31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Santos - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↓
(2.8) |
3.15 ↓
(3.26) |
3.05 ↑
(2.53) |
5.7%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Santos - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Santos won 0.
- Santos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Atlético MG is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Santos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Santos will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Santos: Souza
(Ankle Injury)
Ze Rafael
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Inactive)
Igor Rabello
(Inactive)
Junior Santos
(Muscle Injury)
Palacios Alzate B.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Santos: Aderlan
(Knee Injury)
Hyan
(Inactive)
Soteldo Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético MG: Franco A.
(Injury)
Guilherme Arana
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Santos won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 29:25 (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Santos won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23:9 (average 2.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Atlético Mineiro?
Santos has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Santos?
Atlético Mineiro has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
27.08.2023
Atlético Mineiro
-
Santos
2:0
23.04.2023
Santos
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:0
05.10.2022
Santos
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:2
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
