Santos vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Santos - Atlético Mineiro
Result
2:0
16/04/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 4
  • Referee: Machado B. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.150.98
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
80% (233/290)87% (426/490)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.150.98
xG on target (xGOT)
2.140.69
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1526
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
80% (233/290)87% (426/490)
Long passes
46% (21/46)67% (35/52)
Passes in final third
67% (54/81)76% (109/144)
Crosses
43% (3/7)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.89
Fouls
1117
Tackles
74% (14/19)77% (10/13)
Duels won
5144
Clearances Total
409
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.692.14
Goals prevented
0.690.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Ze Ivaldo ,
  • 27', 2 - 0, Barreal A. , Gabriel Bontempo (A),
  • 34', Neymar , Rollheiser B. ,
  • 45+1', Caio Paulista 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gustavo Scarpa , Igor Gomes ,
  • 46', Renzo Saravia , Natanael ,
  • 46', Godoy L. , Joao Pedro Chermont ,
  • 56', Caio Paulista , Gabriel Menino ,
  • 62', Gil 🟨,
  • 63', Ze Ivaldo 🟨,
  • 71', Fausto Vera , Bernard ,
  • 75', Barreal A. , Diego Pituca ,
  • 76', Gabriel Bontempo , Rincon T. ,
  • 77', Hulk 🟨,
  • 77', Hulk , Joao Marcelo ,
  • 87', Rollheiser B. , Thaciano ,
  • 90+5', Cuello 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Santos
38.8%
Draw
30%
Atlético Mineiro
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 29% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 30.4% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.
  • Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Santos - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.8)
    3.15
    (3.26)
    3.05
    (2.53)
    5.7%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Santos - Atlético Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Santos won 0.
    • Santos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Atlético MG is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Santos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Santos will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Santos: Souza (Ankle Injury) Ze Rafael (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu (Knee Injury) Caio Maia (Inactive) Igor Rabello (Inactive) Junior Santos (Muscle Injury) Palacios Alzate B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Santos: Aderlan (Knee Injury) Hyan (Inactive) Soteldo Y. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlético MG: Franco A. (Injury) Guilherme Arana (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Santos won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 29:25 (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Santos won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23:9 (average 2.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
    27.08.2023 Atlético Mineiro - Santos 2:0
    23.04.2023 Santos - Atlético Mineiro 0:0
    05.10.2022 Santos - Atlético Mineiro 1:2
    Latest results of Santos
    13.04.2025 Fluminense - Santos 1:0
    06.04.2025 Santos - Bahia 2:2
    30.03.2025 Vasco da Gama - Santos 2:1
    09.03.2025 Corinthians - Santos 2:1
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1584320:13728
    5Bragantino1783620:20027
    6Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    9Ceara1663716:16021
    10Internacional1656517:20-321
    11Corinthians1756616:20-421
    12Fluminense1562717:20-320
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1655616:22-620
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1543816:20-415
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

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