Result
1:0
11/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 11
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (336/396) | 85% (418/493) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (336/396) | 85% (418/493) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (20/40) | 46% (25/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (136/170) | 75% (101/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 5% (1/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (15/26) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.58 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Escobar G. 🟨,
- 21', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
- 23', Cuca 🟨,
- 23', Cuca 🟨,
- 31', Luan Peres 🟨,
- 32', Lyanco 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Gustavo Henrique ↓, Oliva C. ↑,
- 56', Rony ↓, Moises ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Moises ⚽, Gabriel Barbosa (A),
- 71', Natanael ↓, Bernard ↑,
- 71', Reinier ↓, Caua ↑,
- 80', Hulk ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 85', Gabriel Barbosa ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 86', Victor Hugo ↓, Cassierra M. ↑,
- 86', Perez T. ↓, Alexsander ↑,
- 90+4', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Thaciano ↑,
Chances of winning
Santos
43.1% | Draw
29.4% | Atlético Mineiro
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Santos - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(2.18) |
3.22 ↓
(3.3) |
3.44 ↑
(3.4) |
5.3%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Santos - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 1.
- Recent form of Santos has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlético MG has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Santos might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Santos: Barreal A.
(Yellow Cards)
Gabriel Menino
(Hamstring Injury)
Mayke
(Knee Injury)
Vinicius Lira
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Patrick Silva
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:9. (average 2.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Atlético Mineiro?
Santos has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Santos?
Atlético Mineiro has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
14.09.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Santos
1:1
16.04.2025
Santos
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:0
27.08.2023
Atlético Mineiro
-
Santos
2:0
23.04.2023
Santos
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:0
05.10.2022
Santos
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:2
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
