Result
14/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
51.1% | Draw
27.3% | Santos
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Atlético Mineiro - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.83) |
3.46 ↓
(3.49) |
4.34 ↓
(4.42) |
5.7%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Santos?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Atlético Mineiro will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 16)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 2.
- Atlético MG is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Santos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Atlético MG is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 1.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Santos?
Atlético Mineiro has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Atlético Mineiro?
Santos has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Santos were as follows:
16.04.2025
Santos
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:0
27.08.2023
Atlético Mineiro
-
Santos
2:0
23.04.2023
Santos
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:0
05.10.2022
Santos
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:2
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
