Result
1:0
18/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 9
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.82 | 0.50 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
91% (485/533) | 83% (269/323) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 6 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.82 | 0.50 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.01 | 0.00 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
9 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
91% (485/533) | 83% (269/323) |
Long passes |
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79% (33/42) | 37% (13/35) |
Passes in final third |
---|
80% (78/98) | 52% (34/66) |
Crosses |
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33% (7/21) | 25% (2/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.98 | 0.67 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
58% (7/12) | 65% (11/17) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 36 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 16 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.50 | 1.01 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.50 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Ze Rafael 🟨,
- 28', Escobar G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', Ze Rafael ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
- 63', Tiquinho Soares ↓, Deivid Washington ↑,
- 63', Ze Ivaldo 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 0, Yuri Alberto ⚽, Martinez J. (A),
- 72', Igor Coronado 🟨,
- 73', Barreal A. ↓, Thaciano ↑,
- 73', Soteldo Y. ↓, Mateus Xavier ↑,
- 78', Breno Bidon ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
- 78', Igor Coronado ↓, Raniele ↑,
- 80', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 80', Escobar G. 🟨,
- 89', Joao Paulo 🟨,
- 90+1', Luan Peres 🟨,
- 90+2', Carrillo A. ↓, Ryan ↑,
- 90+3', Rollheiser B. ↓, Luca Meirelles ↑,
- 90+7', Martinez J. ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
Chances of winning
Corinthians 47.2% | Draw 29.6% | Santos 23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Corinthians - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2 ↓ (2.1) |
3.22 ↓ (3.3) |
4.09 ↑ (3.63) |
5.6% (5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Santos?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Corinthians will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 3.
- Corinthians is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Santos has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Santos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Corinthians is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Garro R.
(Knee Injury)
Gustavo Henrique
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Santos: Guilherme
(Hip Injury)
Joao Schmidt
(Inactive)
Neymar
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 1.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.5:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Santos?
Corinthians has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Corinthians?
Santos has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Santos were as follows:
09.03.2025
Corinthians
-
Santos
2:1
12.02.2025
Corinthians
-
Santos
2:1
07.02.2024
Santos
-
Corinthians
1:0
29.10.2023
Corinthians
-
Santos
1:1
21.06.2023
Santos
-
Corinthians
0:2
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet