Result
1:0
18/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 9
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (485/533) | 83% (269/323) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (485/533) | 83% (269/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 79% (33/42) | 37% (13/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (78/98) | 52% (34/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Ze Rafael 🟨,
- 28', Escobar G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', Ze Rafael ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
- 63', Tiquinho Soares ↓, Deivid Washington ↑,
- 63', Ze Ivaldo 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 0, Yuri Alberto ⚽, Martinez J. (A),
- 72', Igor Coronado 🟨,
- 73', Barreal A. ↓, Thaciano ↑,
- 73', Soteldo Y. ↓, Mateus Xavier ↑,
- 78', Breno Bidon ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
- 78', Igor Coronado ↓, Raniele ↑,
- 80', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 80', Escobar G. 🟨,
- 89', Joao Paulo 🟨,
- 90+1', Luan Peres 🟨,
- 90+2', Carrillo A. ↓, Ryan ↑,
- 90+3', Rollheiser B. ↓, Luca Meirelles ↑,
- 90+7', Martinez J. ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
Chances of winning
Corinthians
47.2% | Draw
29.6% | Santos
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Corinthians - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.1) |
3.22 ↓
(3.3) |
4.09 ↑
(3.63) |
5.6%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Santos?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Corinthians will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 3.
- Corinthians is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Santos has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Santos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Corinthians is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Garro R.
(Knee Injury)
Gustavo Henrique
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Santos: Guilherme
(Hip Injury)
Joao Schmidt
(Inactive)
Neymar
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 1.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.5:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Santos?
Corinthians has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Corinthians?
Santos has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Santos were as follows:
09.03.2025
Corinthians
-
Santos
2:1
12.02.2025
Corinthians
-
Santos
2:1
07.02.2024
Santos
-
Corinthians
1:0
29.10.2023
Corinthians
-
Santos
1:1
21.06.2023
Santos
-
Corinthians
0:2
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
