Result
3:1
15/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 28
- Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (209/267) | 82% (384/468) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (209/267) | 82% (384/468) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (10/30) | 53% (31/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (65/97) | 68% (47/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 46% (6/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | -1.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Ze Rafael ⚽, Barreal A. (A),
- 5', Barreal A. 🟨,
- 26', Maycon 🟨,
- 38', 2 - 0, Barreal A. ⚽, Joao Schmidt (A),
- 44', Matheuzinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Hugo ↓, Kayke ↑,
- 46', Gui Negao ↓, Andre ↑,
- 54', Breno Bidon 🟨,
- 55', 3 - 0, Rollheiser B. ⚽,
- 58', 3 - 1, Raniele ⚽, Matheuzinho (A),
- 59', Diaz L. 🟨,
- 62', Joao Schmidt 🟨,
- 68', Maycon ↓, Garro R. ↑,
- 68', Angileri F. ↓, Depay M. ↑,
- 71', Garro R. 🟨,
- 71', Rollheiser B. ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
- 71', Barreal A. ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
- 86', Ze Rafael ↓, Arao W. ↑,
- 86', Diaz L. ↓, Robson Junior ↑,
- 88', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
- 90+2', Andre ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
- 90+3', Guilherme ↓, Caballero G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Santos
45% | Draw
30.4% | Corinthians
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Santos - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.2) |
3.14 ↑
(3.06) |
3.81 ↑
(3.6) |
4.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Santos - Corinthians?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Corinthians will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.2% – 76.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 20%). Corinthians (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Santos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Santos: Duarte A.
(International duty)
Mayke
(Muscle Injury)
Neymar
(Thigh Injury)
Tiquinho Soares
(Yellow Cards)
Victor Hugo
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Andre Ramalho
(Hamstring Injury)
Carrillo A.
(Ankle Injury)
Charles Rigon
(Knee Injury)
Garro R.
(Thigh Injury)
Hugo Souza
(Yellow Cards)
Matheus Bidu
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Santos: Joao Basso
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Corinthians: Martinez J.
(Inactive)
Vitinho
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 0.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Corinthians?
Santos has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Santos?
Corinthians has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Corinthians were as follows:
18.05.2025
Corinthians
-
Santos
1:0
09.03.2025
Corinthians
-
Santos
2:1
12.02.2025
Corinthians
-
Santos
2:1
07.02.2024
Santos
-
Corinthians
1:0
29.10.2023
Corinthians
-
Santos
1:1
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
