Result
1:1
22/01/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 4
- Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, HBO Max, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (318/389) | 83% (269/326) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (318/389) | 83% (269/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (16/36) | 58% (35/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (59/94) | 68% (45/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Yuri Alberto ⚽,
- 43', Igor Vinicius 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Joao Schmidt ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
- 48', Willian Arao 🟨,
- 52', Vojvoda J. 🟨,
- 55', Thaciano ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 59', Andre Ramalho 🟨,
- 60', Pereira M. 🟨,
- 62', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
- 63', Carrillo A. 🟨,
- 63', Carrillo A. ↓, Garro R. ↑,
- 64', Frias A. 🟨,
- 69', Vinicius Lira ↓, Ze Rafael ↑,
- 69', Rollheiser B. ↓, Robinho Jr. ↑,
- 78', Pereira M. ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,
- 79', Andre 🟨,
- 82', Robinho Jr. 🟨,
- 84', Barreal A. ↓, Miguelito ↑,
- 85', Yuri Alberto ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 86', Raniele ↓, Gabriel Paulista ↑,
- 90+3', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Gabriel Barbosa ⚽,
Chances of winning
Santos
44.2% | Draw
29% | Corinthians
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Santos - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.14) |
3.19 ↓
(3.25) |
3.43 ↑
(3.4) |
8.4%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Santos - Corinthians?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Corinthians will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Corinthians (3.25) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - no (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Corinthians will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Corinthians (votes: 8 - 88.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
- Santos is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Corinthians's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Santos might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Santos: Gabriel Barbosa
(Inactive)
Gabriel Bontempo
(Inactive)
Neymar
(Knee Injury)
Tiquinho Soares
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Depay M.
(Inactive)
Garro R.
(Inactive)
Martinez J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 0.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Corinthians?
Santos has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Santos?
Corinthians has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Corinthians were as follows:
15.10.2025
Santos
-
Corinthians
3:1
18.05.2025
Corinthians
-
Santos
1:0
09.03.2025
Corinthians
-
Santos
2:1
12.02.2025
Corinthians
-
Santos
2:1
07.02.2024
Santos
-
Corinthians
1:0
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Novorizontino ✔ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Corinthians | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Guarani | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Capivariano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Santos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Mirassol | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Primavera | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Noroeste | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Velo Clube | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Paulista A2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Novorizontino is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Palmeiras is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Ponte Preta is Relegated to Paulista A2
