Corinthians vs Santos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Corinthians - Santos
Result
1:0
18/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 9
  • Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.50
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
91% (485/533)83% (269/323)
Yellow Cards
26
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.010.00
Total shots
116
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
912
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
148
Passes
91% (485/533)83% (269/323)
Long passes
79% (33/42)37% (13/35)
Passes in final third
80% (78/98)52% (34/66)
Crosses
33% (7/21)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.67
Throw-ins
2016
Fouls
814
Tackles
58% (7/12)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4636
Clearances
2016
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.501.01
Goals prevented
0.500.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Ze Rafael 🟨,
  • 28', Escobar G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', Ze Rafael , Gabriel Bontempo ,
  • 63', Tiquinho Soares , Deivid Washington ,
  • 63', Ze Ivaldo 🟨,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Yuri Alberto , Martinez J. (A),
  • 72', Igor Coronado 🟨,
  • 73', Barreal A. , Thaciano ,
  • 73', Soteldo Y. , Mateus Xavier ,
  • 78', Breno Bidon , Angel Romero ,
  • 78', Igor Coronado , Raniele ,
  • 80', Martinez J. 🟨,
  • 80', Escobar G. 🟨,
  • 89', Joao Paulo 🟨,
  • 90+1', Luan Peres 🟨,
  • 90+2', Carrillo A. , Ryan ,
  • 90+3', Rollheiser B. , Luca Meirelles ,
  • 90+7', Martinez J. , Talles Magno ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Corinthians
47.2%
Draw
29.6%
Santos
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 28.7% 26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 29.2% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Corinthians - Santos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.1)
    3.22
    (3.3)
    4.09
    (3.63)
    5.6%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Corinthians - Santos?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Corinthians will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 3.
    • Corinthians is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Santos has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Santos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Corinthians is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Corinthians: Garro R. (Knee Injury) Gustavo Henrique (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Santos: Guilherme (Hip Injury) Joao Schmidt (Inactive) Neymar (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 1.2:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.5:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Santos were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Corinthians - Santos 2:1
    12.02.2025 Corinthians - Santos 2:1
    07.02.2024 Santos - Corinthians 1:0
    29.10.2023 Corinthians - Santos 1:1
    21.06.2023 Santos - Corinthians 0:2
    Latest results of Corinthians
    Latest results of Santos
    12.05.2025 Santos - Ceará 0:0
    04.05.2025 Grêmio - Santos 1:0
    01.05.2025 Santos - CRB Maceio 1:1
    20.04.2025 São Paulo - Santos 2:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1584320:13728
    5Bragantino1783620:20027
    6Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    9Ceara1663716:16021
    10Internacional1656517:20-321
    11Corinthians1756616:20-421
    12Fluminense1562717:20-320
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1655616:22-620
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1543816:20-415
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet