Result
1:1
15/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Spain | Movistar Plus+ |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (233/299) | 81% (310/383) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (233/299) | 81% (310/383) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (14/38) | 38% (13/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (56/98) | 78% (90/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 55% (6/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 2.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | 1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', Kaio Cesar 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Depay M. ⚽, Kaio Cesar (A),
- 21', 1 - 1, Gabriel Barbosa ⚽, Neymar (A),
- 23', Barreal A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Rony 🟨,
- 62', Andre ↓, Kayke ↑,
- 62', Kaio Cesar ↓, Garro R. ↑,
- 65', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Willian Arao ↑,
- 72', Barreal A. ↓, Vinicius Lira ↑,
- 72', Gabriel Barbosa ↓, Thaciano ↑,
- 78', Oliva C. ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
- 78', Gustavo Henrique ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
- 79', Carrillo A. ↓, Allan ↑,
- 85', Rollheiser B. 🟨,
- 85', Luan Peres 🟨,
- 87', Luan Peres 🟨,
- 90', Raniele ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
- 90+5', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santos
36.6% | Draw
31.6% | Corinthians
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Santos - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↑
(2.26) |
3.01 ↓
(3.12) |
2.99 ↓
(3.13) |
5.2%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Santos - Corinthians?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Corinthians will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Corinthians (3.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Corinthians has had a series of away games.
- Santos might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Santos: Ze Rafael
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Felipe Longo
(Inactive)
Hugo
(Injury)
Kaio Cesar
(Injury)
Pereira M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Santos: Luan Peres
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Corinthians: Yuri Alberto
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:25. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Corinthians?
Santos has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Santos?
Corinthians has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Corinthians were as follows:
22.01.2026
Santos
-
Corinthians
1:1
15.10.2025
Santos
-
Corinthians
3:1
18.05.2025
Corinthians
-
Santos
1:0
09.03.2025
Corinthians
-
Santos
2:1
12.02.2025
Corinthians
-
Santos
2:1
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 14 |
| 5 | Bahia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Gremio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Vasco | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Internacional | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Bragantino | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Chapecoense-SC | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Santos | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Remo | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
