Result
1:1
01/03/2026 at 05:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Escobar M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 75', 1 - 1, Jimenez D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Santurtzi
40% | Draw
30% | Derio
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santurtzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Derio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santurtzi than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derio than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Santurtzi - Derio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↓
(2.52) |
3.24 ↑
(3.16) |
3.24 ↑
(2.52) |
3%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).
- Santurtzi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Derio's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Santurtzi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santurtzi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Santurtzi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Santurtzi won against Derio?
Santurtzi has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derio won against Santurtzi?
Derio has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santurtzi - Derio were as follows:
18.10.2025
Derio
-
Santurtzi
3:0
26.04.2025
Derio
-
Santurtzi
0:0
14.12.2024
Santurtzi
-
Derio
0:1
Latest results of Santurtzi
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 58:17 | 41 | 67 |
| 2 | Leioa | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 40:25 | 15 | 52 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Derio | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 46 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 42 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 42 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Durango | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Eibar C | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Anorga | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 26:49 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:43 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 22 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18:33 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
