São Bernardo vs Cianorte – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
15/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 4

Match Stats

Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
54
Corner kicks
55
Yellow cards
33
Total shots
89
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
35
Corner kicks
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+2', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Hyoran , Junior Urso ,
  • 47', Davi D. , Fabricio Daniel ,
  • 62', Lucas Fernandes , Pablo Dyego ,
  • 70', Echapora , Felipe Rodrigues ,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 76', Reifit , Luciano ,
  • 76', Neto Costa , Hwaskar ,
  • 76', David Kaua , Hiago Monteiro ,
  • 77', Caique , Felipe Laurindo ,
  • 81', Carlito Thiago , De Paula Santos R. ,
  • 82', Paulo Roberto , Cristovam ,
  • 87', 0 - 1, Hiago Monteiro ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


São Bernardo
45.7%
Draw
29.9%
Cianorte
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 27% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 26.2% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Bernardo's form might have worsened.
  • Cianorte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Bernardo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cianorte than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cianorte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • São Bernardo - Cianorte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.71)
    3.05
    (3.38)
    3.74
    (4.67)
    9.7%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • São Bernardo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cianorte has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • São Bernardo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, São Bernardo is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São Bernardo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of São Bernardo
    Latest results of Cianorte
    11.04.2026 Santa Catarina - Cianorte 1:0
    29.03.2026 Avaí - Cianorte 2:2
    24.03.2026 Cianorte - Volta Redonda 1:3
    Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias53115:2310
    2Chapecoense-SC53116:4210
    3Novorizontino52216:428
    4Cianorte52217:708
    5Sampaio Correa FE51227:705
    6Tombense512210:11-15


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Volta Redonda53118:6210
    2Operario-PR52304:229
    3Avai52128:807
    4America MG51228:9-15
    5Sao Bernardo50235:8-32
    6Juventude50142:8-61

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