Result
2:0
09/02/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 8
- Referee: de Oliveira L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Brasileirao Play, Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 36 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (571/644) | 73% (184/253) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 78% (133/170) | 52% (39/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 0% (0/10) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 48% (11/23) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 31 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Ryan 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Romisson ↓, Emerson Santos ↑,
- 46', Guilherme Queiroz ↓, Rodolfo ↑,
- 55', Ryan ↓, Garro R. ↑,
- 60', Helder Maciel 🟨,
- 65', Pedro Raul ↓, Depay M. ↑,
- 67', Daniel Fabricio ↓, Lucas Rian ↑,
- 70', Leo Jaba ↓, Lucas Tocantins ↑,
- 75', Matheus Bidu ↓, Hugo ↑,
- 75', Igor Coronado ↓, Maycon ↑,
- 75', Martinez J. ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
- 82', Lucas Lima ↓, Kadi Silva ↑,
- 90', Kadi Silva 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 0, Angel Romero ⚽,
- 90+9', 2 - 0, Depay M. ⚽, Angel Romero (A),
Chances of winning
Corinthians
62.4% | Draw
23.2% | São Bernardo
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Corinthians - São Bernardo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.42) |
3.98 ↓
(4.13) |
6.42 ↓
(7.6) |
7.9%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 3.
- Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
- Corinthians could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Corinthians have a series of guest games.
- In this match Corinthians is a favorite.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:4 (average 1.4:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Corinthians won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:1 (average 1.5:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against São Bernardo?
Corinthians has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Bernardo won against Corinthians?
São Bernardo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - São Bernardo were as follows:
14.03.2024
São Bernardo
-
Corinthians
0:2
27.01.2024
São Bernardo
-
Corinthians
1:0
09.02.2023
São Bernardo
-
Corinthians
2:0
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of São Bernardo
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sao Bernardo | Palmeiras | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | Novorizontino | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Mirassol | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Santos | Bragantino | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Santos | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Palmeiras | Corinthians | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
